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Measurements of Morbidity and Mortality Related to Air Pollution
Authors:James McCarroll M D
Institution:1. Professor of Preventive Medicine &2. Director, Environmental Health Division , University of Washington School of Medicine , Seattle , Washington , USA
Abstract:Examination of total deaths in New York City by day of occurrence shows periodic peaks in mortality which are associated with periods of high air pollution. These peaks are usually associated with periods of low wind speed and temperature inversion conditions which permit air pollution to build up to high levels. Unlike the experience of London, fog is not a necessary part of this picture, and therefore the presence of these episodes is often not apparent at the time to most inhabitants. A characteristic feature of these episodes is the immediate rise in mortality occurring on the same day as the peaks of pollution. A second characteristic is their frequent influence on death rates in the 45–64 year age group as well as in those over 65. These characteristics suggest that if these excess deaths are related to air pollution (as we believe to be highly likely) the mechanism is probably protean and pervasive affecting the course of a variety of different diseases through a basic physiologic effect. The relationship of morbidity in a normal urban population to air pollution is also demonstrated by time series analysis of correlation coefficients. The relation of two symptoms (cough and eye irritation) in a group of 1090 persons observed for three years is compared with two measures of air pollution (SO2 and particulate density) to which they were exposed. Time lags of up to 28 days were introduced and a constant relationship between air pollution levels and those symptoms was demonstrated.
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