资源环境约束下的中国经济增长质量研究

现有对于资源环境与经济增长之间关系的研究主要是在经济增长数量分析的框架下展开分析,而很少从经济增长质量分析的框架入手进行考察。经济增长质量是指经济增长内在的性质与规律,具体包括经济增长的结构、经济增长的稳定性、福利变化与成果分配以及资源利用和生态环境代价四个维度。当资源利用效率不断提高和生态环境代价逐渐降低时,经济增长质量都将会得到提高。本文从经济增长质量视角出发,采用国际规范的逻辑实证主义分析方法,以中国经济转型时期的省级面板数据为样本对改革开放以来中国资源环境代价与经济增长质量之间的关系进行理论研究与实证考察。研究表明:模型的估计结果与理论研究的结论是一致的,中国经济转型期资源环境代价与经济增长质量之间存在显著的正向关系。因此,在中国经济发展进入新阶段的背景下,在经济增长数量不断扩张的同时,还需要不断改进经济增长的资源利用效率和生态环境代价,要实现经济增长的数量与质量的统一,追求中国经济发展的长期可持续性。

Empirical Analysis on the Cost of Resources and Environment and Quality of Economic Growth in China

Most studies have put the quantity of growth as the full content of economic growth,but never considered the quality of economic growth.The quality of economic growth refers to the inherent nature and the law of economic growth,including the structure of economic growth,stability of economic growth,welfare distribution,and the cost of resources and the environments.Improvement in efficiency of resource use and ecological environments will contribute to the quality of economic growth.Based on the logical empiricism,this paper brings forward a theoretical explanation and empirical analysis in China.By empirically analyzing Chinese provincial panel data from 1978 to 2007,we find the estimation results of our model is well consistent with the conclusions from theoretical study: our results find resource utilization and cost of the ecological environment have significantly positive relationships with the quality of economic growth.Though China’s economic development has entered a new stage and the quantity of economic growth is in the ever-expanding period,it is still necessary to continuously improve the efficiency of utilizing resources and reduce the costs of eco-environments.In short,our final target is to achieve simultaneous progress in the quantity and quality of economic growth,and keep a long-term sustainability of economic development.