| 基于FRAM-FAHP法的船舶碰撞事故致因分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 张靖雯,马晓雪,刘阳,乔卫亮. 基于FRAM-FAHP法的船舶碰撞事故致因分析[J]. 安全与环境工程, 2021, 28(1): 29-35 |
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| 作者姓名： | 张靖雯 马晓雪 刘阳 乔卫亮 |
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| 作者单位： | 大连海事大学公共管理与人文艺术学院,辽宁大连 116026;大连海事大学轮机工程学院,辽宁大连 116026 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家社会科学基金项目(19BZZ104、14BZZ070);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(3132019346)。 |
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| 摘 要： | 船舶碰撞事故一旦发生,往往会造成严重的人身伤亡、经济损失和环境污染,已成为船舶航行安全的重大隐患之一.针对船舶碰撞事故,构建了功能共振分析方法(FRAM)与模糊层次分析(FAHP)方法相结合的船舶碰撞事故致因分析模型(即FRAM-FAHP法),从事故致因分析入手,将事故相关事件转化为相互关联的功能模块,从功能特征角度辨...
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| 关 键 词： | 船舶碰撞事故 致因分析 功能共振分析 模糊层次分析 失效链接 |
Causation Analysis of Ship Collision Accidents Based on FRAM-FAHP Method |
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| ZHANG Jingwen,MA Xiaoxue,LIU Yang,QIAO Weiliang. Causation Analysis of Ship Collision Accidents Based on FRAM-FAHP Method[J]. Safety and Environmental Engineering, 2021, 28(1): 29-35 |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Jingwen MA Xiaoxue LIU Yang QIAO Weiliang |
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| Affiliation: | (Public Administration and Humanities College,Dalian Maritime University,Dalian 116026,China;Marine Engineering College,Dalian Maritime University,Dalian 116026,China) |
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| Abstract: | A ship collision accident will cause serious economic losses,casualties and environmental pollution.It has become one of the major hidden dangers of ship navigation.For ship collision accidents,this paper constructs an accident cause analysis model(FRAM-FAHP)that combines functional resonance analysis method(FRAM)and fuzzy analytic hierarchy process(FAHP)method.Starting with the causation analysis of an accident,the paper transforms the accident-related events into interrelated functional modules,analyzes the mechanism of the accident from the perspective of functional characteristics,and combines the fuzzy hierarchical analysis method to carry out quantitative research to determine the main failure link leading to the accidents.The results show that the links between“discovery of collision risk”and“manipulation”,“supervision”and“avoidance”,“manipulation”and“avoidance”,“discovery of collision risk”and“external communication”are not only the main failure links leading to accidents,but also the critical path to ensure the safe navigation of ships. |
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| Keywords: | ship collision accident causation analysis functional resonance analysis fuzzy hierarchy failure link |
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