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The System Dynamics of Nuclear Energy in Singapore
Authors:Eng Seng Chia  Chee Kiat Lim  Adam Ng  Ngoc Hoang Long Nguyen
Institution:1. Industrial and Systems Engineering Department, National University of Singapore, Singaporechia_aaron@hotmail.com;3. Industrial and Systems Engineering Department, National University of Singapore, Singapore
Abstract:In this article, a system dynamics model is developed to study the complex issues involving nuclear energy in Singapore by assessing four essential aspects, namely (1) Economic, (2) Environment, (3) Social, and (4) Political in various scenarios. The first factor juxtaposes the monetary benefit from deploying nuclear energy with the current situation. The second deals with carbon dioxide emission, nuclear waste, and thermal pollution from nuclear power plant. The third part discusses the safety and social acceptance toward nuclear project, and the last section analyzes the political stability in provision of nuclear energy advent. The proposed system dynamic model incorporates all four components that allow us to run sensitivity analysis based on various scenarios and enables us to gain insight in how each domain evolves with time. Based on the model, we present advantages and disadvantages of possessing nuclear power plants in Singapore and suggest remedies to rectify the drawbacks.
Keywords:System dynamics  Nuclear energy  Systems modeling  Policy-making  Thermal pollution
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