| 上海市能耗与GDP大气污染的协整关系研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 马玲,蒋大和. 上海市能耗与GDP大气污染的协整关系研究[J]. 环境科学与技术, 2006, 29(9): 64-65,73 |
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| 作者姓名： | 马玲 蒋大和 |
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| 作者单位： | 同济大学环境科学与工程学院,上海,200092;同济大学环境科学与工程学院,上海,200092 |
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| 摘 要： | 采用计量经济学中的协整理论考察上海市能源消费量与经济增长、废气排放量、二氧化硫排放量之间的关系。结果显示,上海市能源消费只与经济增长、废气排放量之间存在长期协整关系,并建立了相应的长期均衡方程及误差修正模型。另外,对1978～2003年的能源消费与经济增长之间进行Granger因果关系检验,提出实现上海市经济-能源-环境和谐发展的措施。
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| 关 键 词： | 能源消费 经济增长 废气排放 协整 误差修正模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-6504（2006）09-0064-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-08-22 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-08-222006-01-20 |
Using Co-integration Analysis to Study Relationships among Energy Consumption, GDP and Air Pollutants Emission in Shanghai |
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| MA Ling,JIANG Da-he. Using Co-integration Analysis to Study Relationships among Energy Consumption, GDP and Air Pollutants Emission in Shanghai[J]. Environmental Science and Technology, 2006, 29(9): 64-65,73 |
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| Authors: | MA Ling JIANG Da-he |
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| Abstract: | The long-term relationships among energy consumption, GDP and emission of air pollutants in Shanghai are verified on the basis of co-integration analysis; and the relevant long-term equilibrium equation and error correction models are set up. According to the data regarding energy consumption and economic growth during the years 1978- 2003, the causality of them is examined using Granger technique. Based o the study, energy saving and energy use in efficient and cleaner ways are essential to attain the goal of sustainable development in Shanghai. |
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| Keywords: | energy consumption GDP exhaust emission error correction model |
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