安徽省农产品主产区生态承载力与产业协同发展分析及优化路径

以农产品主产区安徽省为例，基于耦合协调度模型和剪刀差模型，利用熵权法确定综合权重，测算出2007~2018年安徽省农产品主产区生态承载力与产业协同发展的耦合协调度和两系统变化速率差异。结果表明：研究期间两系统处于低水平基本协同发展状态，耦合协调度在\0.570 3,0.797\]波动，总体呈现上升趋势，2007~2010年度，处于经济滞后型基本协同发展，2011~2018年，属于生态滞后型基本协同发展；两系统变化速率差异稳定在\0.021 9，0.037 3\]，呈现倒U型趋势。讨论分析后提出优化农产品主产区空间总体布局、产业发展、融合发展、绿色转型等发展路径,推动农产品主产区生态承载力与产业协同发展。

Analysis and Optimization Path of Ecological Carrying Capacity and Industrial Coordinated Development of Main Agricultural Products Producing Areas: Take Anhui Province as an Example

Taking Anhui Province which is the main producing area of agricultural products as an example, based on the coupling coordination degree model and the scissors difference model, the entropy weight method is used to determine the comprehensive weight, and the ecological carrying capacity of the main agricultural producing areas in Anhui Province and the coordinated development of the industry are calculated in 2007-2018. Coupling coordination degree and difference in rate of change between the two systems. The results show that during the research period, the two systems are at a low level of basic coordinated development. In 2007-2010, they are in the basic coordinated development of economic lag. In 2011-2018, they belong to the basic coordinated development of ecological lag; the difference between the two systems is stable at \0.0219, 0.0373\], showing an inverted U-shaped trend. After discussion and analysis, it proposes to optimize the overall layout of the main producing areas of agricultural products, industrial development, integrated development, and green transformation and development.