用等维灰色动态预测法预测大连湾污染物排放量

用少量数据建立的长期预测模型所得预测结果一出散性较大，本文介绍的等维灰色动态预测去弥补了这一缺陷。依据这一方法编制的“灰色原理应用系统”软件包，在获得预测结果的同时，还可得到预测值的变化过程及模型的相应参数，可即时对预测结果的可靠性作出判断。

Prediction of the pollutants influx into Dalian Bay by the equal dimension and grey dynamic method

The prediction made using the fewer data and long-term prediction model is much morediscrete. The equal dimension and grey dynamic method introduced in the article has remediedthis defect. The use of the Grey Principle Application System Software Package compiled according to this method, the prediction result not only can be attained, but also its transformation process and the model's parameters, and the reliability of the prediction can be judged. In the lastpart in the article, the influx of the pollutants into Dalian Bay was as an example to examine theefficiency of the method.