Drastic Reductions in Utilizable Fossil Fuel Reserves: An Environmental Imperative |
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Authors: | Geoffrey P Glasby |
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Institution: | (1) Laboratory for Earthquake Chemistry, Graduate School of Science, University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, Japan;(2) Geoffrey P. Glasby, 42, Warminster Crescent, Sheffield, S8 9NW, England |
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Abstract: | We are living in a period of exponential growth of world population and energy consumption. Forecasts suggest that the atmospheric
CO2 concentration could reach 750 p.p.m. by 2100. At this level, the coral reefs and the West Antarctic Ice Sheet would be lost
and thermohaline circulation in the N. Atlantic could possibly shut down. Crippling the ocean conveyor system would have a
major impact on world climate and jeopardize our chances of feeding an enlarged world population. Consumption of the total
global hydrocarbon reserves would increase the atmospheric CO2 concentration to about 2200 p.p.m. We can therefore utilize less than 20% of the global hydrocarbon reserves without an accompanying
massive programme for the sequestration of CO2 if we do not wish to cross the threshold atmospheric CO2 concentration of 750 p.p.m. and risk a major environmental catastrophe. Attention to the global CO2 problem will be the major task of the 21st Century. |
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Keywords: | atmospheric CO2 climate change fossil fuel reserves North Atlantic thermohaline circulation |
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