农地转出:缓解还是加剧了农户的多维贫困?

基于六盘山集中连片区的1 112户农户调研数据，在综合考虑样本选择偏差和异质性的基础上，通过构建内生转换模型分析了农户农地转出行为对多维贫困指数的影响。结果表明：农户农地转出行为能够显著地降低多维贫困指数。通过进一步的反事实假设研究，发现农地转出户如果不转出农地，多维贫困指数将提高22.16%；未转出户如果有机会转出农地，多维贫困指数将下降30.22%。尽管农地转出行为能够降低农户的多维贫困指数，但受制于以地为生思想意识的制约，集中连片区农户并不能做出合理的决策。

Can Land Transfer Ease or Aggravate the Multidimensional Poverty of Households?

Based on the survey data of rural households in the contiguous area of Liupan Mountain, the paper comprehensively considers the bias and heterogeneity of sample selection, and analyzes the transfer decision to the household poverty index and the per income. The results show that: 52.97% of households participated in the transfer of agricultural land. The land transfer can significantly reduce the multidimensional poverty index of peasant households. Through further counterfactual hypothesis research, it was found that if the households who rent out the land do not rent out of farmland, the household’s multidimensional poverty index will increase by 22.16%. If the non-transferred households have the opportunity to rent out the land, the household’s multidimensional poverty index will drop by 30.22%. Although land transfer can reduce the family’s multidimensional poverty index, it is constrained by the ideological consciousness of relying on the land for the livelihood. Concentrated farmers in contiguous destitute areas cannot make reasonable decisions.