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Devils lake emergency outlet diversion conflict
Authors:Ma Jing  Hipel Keith W  De Mitali
Institution:Department of Environment and Geography, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada. umma43@cc.umanitoba.ca
Abstract:The Devils Lake Emergency Outlet Diversion conflict is systematically studied from a strategic viewpoint using the Graph Model for Conflict Resolution in order to obtain insights about the resolution of this nagging international dispute. By modelling the conflict for the situation existing as of July 2005, just before the project began operation, the dispute is put into proper perspective and, subsequently, a stability analysis is carried out to obtain potential resolutions or equilibria. The results of a sensitivity analysis accurately predict the deal which actually took place when Canada and the American state of North Dakota reached a negotiated settlement. Finally, suggestions are put forward for improving the Boundary Waters Treaty of 1909 between Canada and the United States.
Keywords:Graph model for conflict resolution  Transboundary water treaty  Stability analysis  Sensitivity analysis  Strategic decision making
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