基于Gompertz的气象水文装备维修器材消耗量分析与预测

利用由Gompertz曲线推导出的生命周期曲线建立了气象水文装备维修器材消耗-时间模型.计算表明,由Gompertz曲线推导出的生命周期曲线可以较好地反映气象水文装备维修器材消耗量与时间之间的关系,所建模型的预测结果也较好,具有较高的实用性,为探索气象水文装备维修器材消耗规律提供了一种简单有效的科学方法.

Analysis and Forecast of Maintenance Materials and Parts of Meteorological and Hydrological Equipment Consumption Based on Gompertz Curve

Maintenance materials and parts consumption-time model of meteorological and hydrological equipment was established using the life cycle curve deducted from Gompertz curve.Computation results showed that the life cycle curve can better reflect the relationship between maintenance materials and parts consumption of meteorological and hydrological equipment and time;the forecasting results obtained from the model are preferable;the model has higher practicability.The purpose was to provide a valid and scienti...