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Agent-based integrated assessment modelling: the example of climate change
Authors:Scott Moss  Claudia Pahl-Wostl  Thomas Downing
Affiliation:(1) Centre for Policy Modelling, Manchester Metropolitan University, Aytoun Building, Aytoun Street, Manchester, M1 3GH, UK;(2) Swiss Federal Institute of Environmental Science and Technology (EAWAG), Überlandstrasse 133, CH-8600 Dübendorf, Switzerland;(3) Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, 1a Mansfield Road, Oxford, OX1 3SZ, UK
Abstract:Current approaches to deal with the socio-economic implications of climate change rely heavily on economic models that compare costs and benefits of different measures. We show that the theoretical foundations underpinning current approaches to economic modelling of climate change are inappropriate for the type of questions that are being asked. We argue therefore that another tradition of modelling, social simulation, is more appropriate in dealing with the complex environmental problems we face today.
Keywords:social simulation  integrated assessment  climate change  complexity  agent-based modelling  stakeholder participation
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