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中国历代灾害性海潮频率特征及时间序列的分形研究
引用本文:朱晓华 徐容乐. 中国历代灾害性海潮频率特征及时间序列的分形研究[J]. 灾害学, 1998, 13(3): 7-12
作者姓名:朱晓华 徐容乐
作者单位:南京师范大学!南京,210097,南京师范大学!南京,210097,江西省科学院
基金项目:国家自然科学基金!49601019,南京师范大学跨世纪人才基金!21176
摘    要:根据中国历代灾害性海潮史料,运用一般统计方法和分形理论对其时间序列进行了分析,不仅探讨了历史灾害性海潮随时间演进的频率变化特征,而且判定了灾害性海潮时间序列的分形性质,在经基础上,还深入讨论了其分维与历代灾害性海潮暴积累发生次数和累积发生频率之间的关系,以及分维随时间演进的变化趋势。

关 键 词:中国 风暴潮 潮汐 频率特征 时间序列 分形

THE RESEARCH ON CHARACTERISTICS OF FREQUENCY AND FACTUAL ANALYSIS APPLIED TO TIME SERIES OF TIDE DISASTERS IN THE HISTORY OF CHINA
Zhu Xiaohua, Xiao Bin. THE RESEARCH ON CHARACTERISTICS OF FREQUENCY AND FACTUAL ANALYSIS APPLIED TO TIME SERIES OF TIDE DISASTERS IN THE HISTORY OF CHINA[J]. Journal of Catastrophology, 1998, 13(3): 7-12
Authors:Zhu Xiaohua   Xiao Bin
Abstract:Based on the fractal and statistical analyses of tide disasters in the history of China, the characteristics of time series of tide disasters are discussed. The characteristics of frequency changes of hazardous tides with time are anaIyzed and the fractal characteristics of the time series of tide disaster determined. Further more, the fractal dimension of the time series of tide disasters, the correlation between fractal dimensions and accumulating number or accumulating frequencies of hazardous tides, and changes of fractal dimension with time are also discussed.
Keywords:China   Storm tide   Tide disaster   Characteristic of frequency   Time series   Fractal   Fractal dimension
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