火灾规律双重性模型及其对室内漏油火灾的分析

火灾的规律具有双重性:确定性和随机性。只有既研究其确定性又研究其随机性,并进而研究二者的综合才能完整地认识火灾的规律。本文提出火灾双重性规律的学术思想,通过构造室内漏油火灾的确定性和随机性模型,阐明运用火灾双重性规律表述火灾过程的具体方法。文中用微机实施的大量计算表明,该模型能方便地预言:发生室内漏油火灾时,室内设备是否会损坏以及可能被损坏的概率.

DOUBLE QUALITY MODEL AND ITS ANALYSIS OF OILSPILL FIRES IN A COMPARTMENT

Fire has double quality:determinability and probability.Only when we study not only its deter-minability but also its probability and furthermore study synthetically the above two,can we recognizeintegral regularity of fire.The academic thought of double quality of fire has been put forward in thisarticle,and the concrete method of its application to demonstrate fire process has been clarified by con-structing deterministic and probabilitic model for oilspill fires in a compartment.A great quantity ofcalculation on computer shows,this model can predict conveniently whether the equipment in a com-partment will be damaged in an oilspill fire and the possibility of its damage.