呼和浩特强对流天气的数值模拟分析

利用三维积云数值模式模拟了呼和浩特地区强对流天气的发展过程，并结合实时雷达回波资料进行了对比分析，指出模式输出的部分物理量与理论值、雷达回波或地面天气及降雹（水）实况符合得较好。从对模式输出的几个物理量的统计分析，得出利用三维积云数值模式预测强冰雹过程的概念模型。结果表明，三维积云数值模式能用于模拟对流云特别是强对流云的发展过程，可在人工影响天气业务工作中应用并不断发展。

Numerical simulation of severe convection weather in Huhhot

By use of three-dimensional numerical cumulus model, the developments of severe convection weather occurring in Huhhot area are simulated. In combination with the real-time radar echoes, the correlation analysis is conducted. Comparison of calculation with theory and observation shows agreement in many aspects. Depending on the statistical analysis about some physical parameters outputting from the model, the conceptual model to forecast severe hail process using three-dimensional numerical cumulus model is obtained. It shows that the three-dimensional numerical cumulus model is able to simulate the development process of the convective cloud and especially the severe convective cloud. It can be developed and applied continuously in the professional work of the weather modification .