Application of game theory in risk management of urban natural gas pipelines |
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| Institution: | 1. School of Resources Engineering, Xi''an University of Architecture and Technology, No.13 Yanta Road, Xi''an, 710055, China;2. School of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Xi''an University of Architecture and Technology, No.13 Yanta Road, Xi''an, 710055, China;3. Safety and Security Science Section, Faculty of Technology, Policy, and Management, Delft University of Technology, Delft, the Netherlands;1. Université de Lorraine, CNRS, LRGP, Nancy, France;2. INERIS, Parc Technologique ALATA, BP 2, F-60550, Verneuil-en-Halatte, France;1. Institute of Public Safety Research, Department of Engineering Physics, Tsinghua University, China;2. Beijing Key Laboratory of Comprehensive Emergency Response Science, China;1. School of Safety Science and Engineering, Changzhou University, Changzhou 213164, Jiangsu, China;2. Key Laboratory of Mine Safety and High Efficient Mining Jointly Built by Province and Education Ministry, Anhui University of Science and Technology, Huainan, Anhui 232001, China;3. College of Safety Science and Engineering, Anhui University of Science and Technology, Huainan, Anhui 232001, China |
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| Abstract: | This paper presents a game theory methodology for risk management of urban natural gas pipelines, which is a collaborative participation mechanism of the stakeholders, including government, pipeline companies, and the public. Firstly, the involvement proportion of stakeholders in risk management under rational conditions is estimated by the static game theory. Subsequently, the system dynamics (SD) simulation is used to establish an evolution game model of stakeholders in risk management under the irrational conditions, in which the stability of the evolution game process is analyzed. The stakeholders’ involvement proportions from the static game model are utilized as the inputs for the evolution game model to simulate the dynamic evolution behavior of risk management strategies with different involvement proportions of stakeholders. Eventually, the dynamic evaluation game can extract an optimal strategy for risk management of urban natural gas pipelines. A case study is used to illustrate the methodology. In essence, this methodology can be extended for implementing risk management of urban infrastructure. |
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| Keywords: | Risk management Urban natural gas pipeline Game theory System dynamics simulation |
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