中国海洋渔业综合效益评价及耦合协调发展研究

基于综合效益评价模型和耦合协调模型,研究了2006-2015年我国沿海省区海洋渔业综合效益及子系统耦合协调度的演变规律,并运用多元回归模型分析其影响因素。结果表明:(1)我国海洋渔业综合效益呈波动上升趋势,由2006年的1.276上升到2015年的1.356,辽宁、江苏、浙江、福建、山东高于全国平均水平。(2)海洋渔业综合效益子系统耦合度水平以高水平耦合为主。(3)海洋渔业综合效益子系统协调发展水平由2006年的0.628上升到2015年的0.646,且以初级协调和中级协调为主,协调水平提升空间较大。(4)海洋经济发展水平、政府扶持力度、对外开放水平对海洋渔业综合效益子系统协调度的提升产生显著正向影响,其他影响因素对其产生正向影响但不显著。

Study on Comprehensive Benefits Evaluation and Coupling and Coordinated Development of Marine Fishery in China

Based on the comprehensive benefit evaluation model and the coupling coordination model,this study studied the evolution law of the comprehensive benefit and subsystem coupling coordination degree of marine fishery of coastal provinces of China from 2006 to 2015,and analyzed the influencing factors by using the multiple regression model.The results showed that:(1)The comprehensive benefit of marine fishery showed a rising trend of fluctuation,rising from 1.276 in 2006 to 1.356 in 2015.Liaoning,Jiangsu,Zhejiang,Fujian and Shandong were above the level of national average.(2)The level of coupling degree of marine fishery comprehensive benefit subsystem was mainly high level coupling.(3)The coordinated development level of the subsystem of comprehensive benefits of marine fishery increased from 0.628 in 2006 to 0.646 in2015,mainly primary coordination and intermediate coordination,and there was more room for improvement of coordination level.(4)The level of marine economy development,government support and opening to the outside world had a significant positive impact on the improvement of the coordination degree of the subsystem of comprehensive benefits of marine fishery,while other influencing factors had a positive impact on it,but neither of them was significant.