新疆乡村旅游发展与农牧民收入关系实证分析--以乌鲁木齐县为例

以乡村旅游发展较好的新疆乌鲁木齐县为例,通过双变量相关分析和Granger因果关系检验来研究了乡村旅游发展与农牧民增收的关联程度。结果表明:乌鲁木齐县乡村旅游发展与农牧民收入呈高度正相关,二者存在长期均衡关系,且乡村旅游发展与农牧民收入互为因果关系。为更好促进农牧民增收,对乌鲁木齐县乡村旅游发展提出对策建议。

Empirical Analysis on the Relationship between Rural Tourism Development and Income of Farmers and Herdsmen in Xinjiang--Taking Urumqi County as an Example

Taking Urumqi County as an example,this study analyzed the relationship between rural tourism development and the income of farmers and herdsmen through bivariate correlation analysis and Granger causality test.The results showed that:Rural tourism development and the income of farmers and herdsmen were highly positively correlated in Urumqi County,they had a long-term equilibrium relationship,and they were mutually causal.In order to better promote the income of farmers and herdsmen,some feasible suggestions for rural tourism development were put forward.