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中国北方沙尘暴与气候因素关系分析
引用本文:范一大,史培军,朱爱军,冀萌新,关妍. 中国北方沙尘暴与气候因素关系分析[J]. 自然灾害学报, 2006, 15(5): 12-18
作者姓名:范一大  史培军  朱爱军  冀萌新  关妍
作者单位:1. 北京师范大学,资源学院,北京,100875;民政部国家减灾中心,北京,100053
2. 北京师范大学,资源学院,北京,100875
3. 国家卫星气象中心,北京,100081
4. 民政部国家减灾中心,北京,100053
基金项目:科技部社会公益研究项目;国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)
摘    要:利用气象观测数据,分析了我国北方沙尘暴发生频次年际变化与气候因素的关系,结果表明:(1)我国北方沙尘暴发生频次与北方大风日数的分布在空间上并不完全一致,沙尘暴的发生频次受区域特征条件影响较大;(2)我国北方沙尘暴发生频次的年际变化呈现减少的趋势,与我国北方温度持续升高,夏季降水量有所增加的趋势有着较好的一致性;(3)我国北方沙尘暴频次的年际和季节变化特点说明降水和温度通过改变地表植被、土壤等特征,影响着区域沙尘暴发生的风险等级。文章最后还提出了沙尘暴风险评估和建立预警系统的建议。

关 键 词:沙尘暴  气候因素  风险评估
文章编号:1004-4574(2006)05-0012-07
收稿时间:2006-06-28
修稿时间:2006-08-10

Analysis of connection between dust storm and climate factors in northern China
FAN Yi-da,SHI Pei-jun,ZHU Ai-jun,JI Meng-xin,GUAN Yan. Analysis of connection between dust storm and climate factors in northern China[J]. Journal of Natural Disasters, 2006, 15(5): 12-18
Authors:FAN Yi-da  SHI Pei-jun  ZHU Ai-jun  JI Meng-xin  GUAN Yan
Affiliation:1.College of Resource Science and Technology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China; 2. National Disaster Reduction Center, Ministry of Civil Affaics of China, Beijing 100053, China; 3. National Satellite Meteorological Center, Beijing 100081 ,China
Abstract:Based on the meteorological observation data,the article analyses the connection between the annual frequency change of dust storm and climate factors in Northern China.The results show that(1) the frequency of dust storm is not complete consistent with the distribution of wind days in northern China and it is most affected by the regional characteristic conditions;(2) the frequency change of dust storm reflects the decreasing occurrence trend of dust storm,which is fairly consistent with the continual temperature rising and summer precipitation increase in northern China;(3) according to the annual and quarterly frequency change character,precipitation and temperature jointly affected the surface vegetation and soil conditions,which consequently affect the occurrence risk ranks of dust storm.Finally,the article make a suggestion on dust storm risk assessment and establishing dust storm early warning system.
Keywords:dust storm   climate factors    risk assessment
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