| 环境保护科技进步贡献率的测算方法及预测研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 盛学良,任炳相,朱德明. 环境保护科技进步贡献率的测算方法及预测研究[J]. 环境污染与防治, 2003, 25(6): 365-366,369 |
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| 作者姓名： | 盛学良 任炳相 朱德明 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 南京大学城市与资源学系,南京,210093
2. 江苏省环境保护厅,南京,210013 |
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| 基金项目： | 20 0 0年江苏省环境保护科技项目( No.2 0 0 0 - 1 4) |
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| 摘 要： | 以单位产值排污当量为目标函数，人力资本、环保投入、政策影响为投入变量，运用科技进步计量测算模型，对江苏省1980～2000年科技进步在控制环境污染中的贡献份额进行定量分析，并据此对“十五”期间科技进步贡献率进行预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 环境保护 单位产值排污当量 科技进步计量测算模型 贡献率 预测 环境污染控制 |
Study on the method of forecasting contributing rate of scientific and technical progress to environmental projection |
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| Sheng Xueliang,et al.. Study on the method of forecasting contributing rate of scientific and technical progress to environmental projection[J]. Environmental Pollution & Control, 2003, 25(6): 365-366,369 |
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| Authors: | Sheng Xueliang et al. |
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| Affiliation: | Sheng Xueliang,et al. Department of Urban & Resources Sciences,Nanjing University,Nanjing 210093 |
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| Abstract: | The mathematical model for forecasting c ontributing rate of scientific and technical progress to controlling environment al pollution was analyzed and used. This model is a target function based on dis charge equivalent per output value, in which some variables include human resour ces, investment to environmental protection and policy factors. A case study for Jiangsu province from 1980 to 2000 was taken.And the contributing rate during T enth-Five was forecasted. |
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| Keywords: | Environmental protection Scientific and technical progres s Contributing rate Forecast |
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