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煤与瓦斯突出预测研究动态及展望
引用本文:漆旺生,凌标灿,蔡嗣经. 煤与瓦斯突出预测研究动态及展望[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2003, 13(12): 1-4
作者姓名:漆旺生  凌标灿  蔡嗣经
作者单位:1. 北京科技大学;华北科技学院
2. 华北科技学院
3. 北京科技大学
基金项目:华北科技学院科研基金 2 0 0 3A博 - 1,N2 0 0 3- 15支持
摘    要:笔者总结了以突出敏感性指标预测为基础的接触式煤与瓦斯突出预测技术的发展现状 ;阐述了瓦斯地质理论研究进展情况 ;对统计学方法、计算机模拟、模糊数学、灰色系统理论、神经网络技术、专家系统、分形理论、流变与突变理论等数学物理理论在煤与瓦斯突出预测领域中的应用情况作了系统的描述 ;对GIS技术、无线电波透视探测技术及以地震波为主的弹性波技术为煤与瓦斯突出预测技术的发展前景作了必要的分析。

关 键 词:煤与瓦斯突出  预测技术  弹性波  动态  展望
修稿时间:2003-10-01

Developing Trend and Perspective in the Research of Predicting the Coal and Gas Outburst
Qi Wangsheng ,,Assoc.Prof. Ling Biaocan Cai Sijing. Developing Trend and Perspective in the Research of Predicting the Coal and Gas Outburst[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2003, 13(12): 1-4
Authors:Qi Wangsheng     Assoc.Prof. Ling Biaocan Cai Sijing
Affiliation:1 Beijing University of Science & Technology 2 North China Institute of Science & Technology
Abstract:The recent development of contact prediction technique in coal and gas outburst based on sensitivity indexes is summarized, and the progress in the coal bed gas geology research is expatiated. The application of mathematical physics theories in coal and gas outburst prediction, such as statistics, computer simulation, fuzzy mathematics, gray system, neural network technique, expert system, fractal analysis, rheology and catastrophe theory is systematically described. Necessary analysis of the future development is also provided for coal and gas outburst prediction by Geographical Information System (GIS), radio wave nondestructive detection and elastic wave technique based mainly on seismic waves.
Keywords:Coal and gas outburst Prediction technique Elastic wave Development trend Perspective
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