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Comprehensive framework for underground pipeline management with reliability and cost factors using Monte Carlo simulation
Institution:1. School of Chemical and Biological Engineering, Institute of Chemical Processes, Seoul National University, 1 Gwanak-ro, Gwanak-gu, Seoul, 08826, South Korea;1. Laboratory of Petroleum Equipment''s Reliability and Materials, University M''hamed Bougara of Boumerdes Boumerdes, Algeria;2. Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, University of Zabol, P.B. 9861335856 Zabol, Iran;3. INEGI, Faculty of Engineering, University of Porto, Rua Dr. Roberto Frias, 4200-465 Porto, Portugal;4. Department of Mechanics, Material Science and Engineering, Wroc?aw University of Science and Technology, Smoluchowskiego 25, 50-370 Wroc?aw, Poland
Abstract:A reliability model for underground pipeline management that can quantify the trade-off between risk reduction and increased maintenance costs in various underground piping management scenarios can be useful for many pipeline-maintenance decision-makers. In this paper, we propose a comprehensive framework for analyzing underground pipeline management options. Pipeline reliability is calculated using time-dependent and independent limit state functions with a probabilistic model and a deterministic model about the frequency of a failure occurrence event. The proposed framework includes the target reliability, consequences, and cost model, and has the advantage that it can be intuitively utilized for piping management decision-making. We conducted several case studies using a Monte Carlo simulation on pipelines in industrial complexes in Korea.
Keywords:Life-cycle  Quantitative risk assessment  Monte Carlo simulation  Structural reliability analysis  Pipeline management  Pipeline inspection
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