我国31个省(市、自治区)的综合实力评价

选取具有代表性的9类共30个具体评价指标作为我国31个省（市、自治区）的综合实力评价的原始指标，运用因子多变量统计分析法对30个指标数据进行因子分析处理，采取主成分分析法提取公因子，并采取promox斜交旋转，得出6个公因子作为评价我国31个省（市、区）的综合实力的综合变量。计算得出我国各省（市、区）的综合得分。将计算的各省区市的综合得分从大到小排列，确定等级及分值区间。根据分类结果划分为6类地区，得出第Ⅰ、Ⅱ、Ⅲ类地区全部为东部地区，其综合实力得分位居全国前6位，它们依次是广东、江苏、上海、浙江、山东和北京；而第Ⅵ类地区中除海南属于东部地区之外，其余省市区都属于西部地区，其综合实力得分位居全国后7位且均为负值。它们依次是青海、宁夏．贵州、西藏、海南、甘肃和重庆。可见东西部地区社会经济发展的极度不平衡。

The Comprehensive Assessment of Regional Power of 31 Provinces in China

By studying the comprehensive power of the 31 provinces in China, the paper hopes to know well the whole development level and economic difference of the whole country. This is very important to understand our own power, find out their backwardness and formulate development stratagem of the 31 provinces in China. The paper is divided into 3 parts. In the first part, an index system is put forward. Then, study methods are brought forward in the second part. According to the facts, the paper chooses factor analysis as the basic method, chooses 30 representatives variables of nine kinds as primitive variables or indexes to build up an index system of 31 provinces in China, which were used to analyze comprehensive power. After analyzing 30 variable with factor analysis of multivariables, using the extraction method of principle component analysis and prornax rotation of inclined intersect, six public factors are extracted after 30 indexes which are primitive variables have been analyzed in the paper. Subsequently factor scores are calculated by regression and the comprehensive scores of 31 provinces are gained. Afterwards, the comprehensive scores of 31 provinces are arranged sequentially from big to small, and grades and score areas are confirmed. Six kinds of regions are gained according to classified results. The former three kinds of regions are entirely in the east whose scores of comprehensive power are located in the former six places; they are the areas of Guangdong, Jiangsu, Shanghai, Zhejiang, Shandong, and Beijing in turn. While the sixth kind of region is in the west except Hainan province whose scores of comprehensive power are located in the latter seven places and that all are negatives, they are the areas of Qinghai, Ningxia, Guizhou, Tibet, Hainan, Gansu and Chongqing in turn. Thus, it can be seen the imbalance in the social and economic development between the east and the west. The third part is analysis and rank of comprehensive power. On the basis of the former analysis, each of the 31 provinces in China has its comprehensive score of comprehensive power; they are simply analyzed and ranked. Then the 31 provinces in China are appraised by their characteristics and potential. Through this study, not only the 31 provinces in China are analyzed and ranked, the theory and method with changing area comprehensive power are but also provided.