湖北省水资源与社会经济耦合协调发展分析

水资源是可持续发展战略的物质基础，其合理开发利用是实现水资源与社会经济协调发展的重要保障。通过建立水资源和社会经济协调发展度评价指标体系，构建协调发展度模型，分别对湖北省17个地级市水资源与社会经济协调发展度进行了计算，对水资源综合水平与社会经济水平协调发展度的时间序列变化与空间分异特征进行定量计算和系统性、耦合性分析。结果表明：湖北省水资源水平滞后于社会经济水平，但二者相互作用较强；2006~2015年，二者的协调发展状况呈现较为显著的上升趋势，秩相关系数为 0793 2；17个地级市的水资源与社会经济达到了较高的协调发展状态，协调发展度呈现“两极化”的空间分布特征，具体表现为中部、中东部地区协调发展度等级较高，而西北部、西南部地区协调发展等级相对较低

Analysis of Coupling and Coordinated Development Between Water Resources and Social Economy in Hubei Province

Water resources is material foundation of the sustainable development strategy. Sustainable development and utilization of water resources is an important guarantee to coordinate the development between water resources and social economy. On the basis of the evaluation systems which consists of water resources and social economy index build in the article,the coordinated development degree of 17 cities in Hubei province was calculated using a coordinated development degree model. Temporal and spatial variations of the coordinated development degree of water resources and social economy were identified. The results show that the water resources level in Hubei province lags behind the social economic level,and mutual effect is significant. From2006 to 2015,the coordinated development degree of the two elements exhibits a significant upward trend while the rank correlation coefficient is 0. 793 2; The coordinated development degree between water resources and social economy reaches a high value for 17 cities in Hubei province. Polarization is detected in the space distribution feature. The coordinated development degree level in central and eastern region is higher than that of northwest and southwest region.