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黑龙江、松花江和嫩江冰坝凌汛发生原因及预报方法
引用本文:那济海,周秀杰,许秀红,廖厚初,潘华盛. 黑龙江、松花江和嫩江冰坝凌汛发生原因及预报方法[J]. 自然灾害学报, 2011, 0(2)
作者姓名:那济海  周秀杰  许秀红  廖厚初  潘华盛
作者单位:黑龙江省气象台;黑龙江省气象信息中心;黑龙江省水文局;
基金项目:黑龙江省科技攻关项目(GC06C10305)
摘    要:利用1951-2000年水文、气象资料,在对黑龙江、松花江、嫩江发生的特大冰坝的年份监测中分析发现,冰坝发生大多在二江同时发生,个别年份有三江同时发生,并有群发特点。冰坝发生前,秋季降水多,河槽蓄水量多,河流水位高;冬季降雪多、气温低;春季开江期,有明显的降水和升温过程,是冰坝的形成和凌汛发生的重要原因。并且分析冰坝发生前期高空环流形势特点,依此研制了冰坝凌汛预报方法。

关 键 词:冰坝洪水  成因  预报  

Cause and forecast of ice jam and run in Heilong River,Songhua River and Nenjiang River
NA Ji-hai,ZHOU Xiu-jie,XU Xiu-hong,LIAO Hou-chu,PAN Hua-sheng. Cause and forecast of ice jam and run in Heilong River,Songhua River and Nenjiang River[J]. Journal of Natural Disasters, 2011, 0(2)
Authors:NA Ji-hai  ZHOU Xiu-jie  XU Xiu-hong  LIAO Hou-chu  PAN Hua-sheng
Affiliation:NA Ji-hai1,ZHOU Xiu-jie2,XU Xiu-hong1,LIAO Hou-chu3,PAN Hua-sheng1 (1.Meteorological Station of Heilongjiang Province,Harbin 150030,China,2.Meteorologica Informayion Center of Heilongjiang Province,3.Hydrological Bureau of Heilongjiang Province,Harbin 150001,China)
Abstract:Using hydrometeorological data observed from 1951 to 2000,the analysis of especially great ice jam in the Heilong River,Songhua River and Nenjiang River indicates that the ice jam occurs at same time in two rives frequently and in three rivers at times.Ample precipitation,large water storage in riverbed and high water level in river in Aulumn,abundant snowfall and lower temperature in winter and abvious precipitation and temperature rising in spring are important conditions to form ice jam and ice run.Circu...
Keywords:ice jam flood  cause  forecast  
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