基于聚类分析的我国各地化石能源足迹与经济发展定量研究

利用改进后的化石能源足迹公式计算了2000—2009年我国30个地区的人均化石能源足迹,并分别对2000年和2009年中国各地区的数据进行聚类分析,发现我国地区人均化石能源足迹由无明显地域特征转变为东部高于中西部,经济发达地区高于欠发达地区,且能源使用效率和经济发展水平间联系逐渐加强。通过对不同类别代表性地区人均化石能源足迹的分析判断,以北京、上海和广东为代表的发达地区化石能源消耗增长开始趋于缓和甚至出现小幅下降。

Research on Fossil Energy Footprint and Economic Growth in Different Areas Based on Cluster Analysis

Based on the improved fossil energy footprint formula, this paper calculated per capita fossil energy footprint of thirty areas in China from 2000 to 2009. Then this paper carried out the cluster analysis on the variables （per capita fossil energy footprint and per capita GDP） of the year 2000 and 2009. And the research drew the conclusion that per capita fossil energy footprint tend to have a obvious geographical features that developed areas＇ per capita fossil energy footprint was lower than that of developing areas and the relationships between energy consumption efficiency and economic development was becoming stronger gradually. In addition, the authors put forward a view that fossil energy consumption began to increase slowly or even decline slightly in some developed areas, such as Beijing, Shanghai and Guangdong after the analysis on per capita fossil energy footprint＇s trend of the representation in different categories.