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China’s Export Expansion, Export Structure and Energy Consumption
基金项目:interim result of China’s Strategy on Foreign Trade Development and Industrial Safety,which is the phase III construction project of “211 Project” of Shanghai University of Finance and Economics;Study on the Relation between Foreign Trade and China’s Energy Consumption (Grant No.:CXJJ-2009313),which is sponsored by Graduate Students Research and Innovation Fund of Shanghai University of Finance and Economics
摘    要:Since the reform and opening up,China’s export trade has maintained a rapid growth;meanwhile,China’s energy consumption has been increasing sharply. "High export and high energy consumption" has become the feature of China’s trade and economic development.In this paper,based on the input-output analysis approach,the authors have conducted an empirical study on the export trade and energy consumption of 21 trade industrial sectors.The results show that,China is a big net exporter of embodied energy.Assuming that the export growth rate of embodied energy maintains to be about 23.6%,the average annual growth rate of the past 32 years,and based on the input-output data of 2005,by 2030 China’s net export of embodied energy would be over eight times more than the aggregate energy production,which is obviously infeasible.As a country of very low per capita energy,China must change its export pattern,encourage or restrain the export of different industrial sectors according to their energy consumption intensity,and promote structural change of energy-efficient exported products,so as to achieve the sustainable development.Accordingly,the authors put forward some suggestions.

关 键 词:export  trade  embodied  energy  input-output  analysis  sustainable  development

China’s Export Expansion,Export Structure and Energy Consumption
Institution:Lan Yisheng 1,Ning Xuemin 2 1.Shanghai University of Finance and Economics,Shanghai 200433,China;2.Shanghai Jiao Tong University,Shanghai 200052,China
Abstract:Since the reform and opening up,China’s export trade has maintained a rapid growth;meanwhile,China’s energy consumption has been increasing sharply. "High export and high energy consumption" has become the feature of China’s trade and economic development.In this paper,based on the input-output analysis approach,the authors have conducted an empirical study on the export trade and energy consumption of 21 trade industrial sectors.The results show that,China is a big net exporter of embodied energy.Assuming that the export growth rate of embodied energy maintains to be about 23.6%,the average annual growth rate of the past 32 years,and based on the input-output data of 2005,by 2030 China’s net export of embodied energy would be over eight times more than the aggregate energy production,which is obviously infeasible.As a country of very low per capita energy,China must change its export pattern,encourage or restrain the export of different industrial sectors according to their energy consumption intensity,and promote structural change of energy-efficient exported products,so as to achieve the sustainable development.Accordingly,the authors put forward some suggestions.
Keywords:export trade  embodied energy  input-output analysis  sustainable development
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