Risk evaluation in Dutch land-use planning |
| |
| Institution: | 1. Hazardous Substances Council, The Hague, The Netherlands;2. Technical University Eindhoven, The Netherlands;3. Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas, USA;4. Technical Univeristy Delft, The Netherlands;1. Institute of Occupational Safety and Health, Council of Labor Affairs, Taipei County, Taiwan;2. Department of Occupational Safety and Health, Jen—The Junior College of Medicine, Nursing and Management, Taiwan;3. Department of Power Vehicle and Systems Engineering, Chung Cheng Institute of Technology, National Defense University, Taiwan;1. Department of Information Engineering and Mathematics, University of Siena, Siena, Italy;2. Comesa SrL, Prato, Italy;1. Università di Torino, Dipartimento di Chimica, via P. Giuria 5, 10125 Torino, Italy;2. Dipartimento di Scienza Applicata e Tecnologia, Politecnico di Torino, C.so Duca degli Abruzzi 24, 10129 Torino, Italy;3. Instituto de Ciencia y Tecnologia de Polimeros, ICTP-CSIC, Juan de la Cierva, 3, 28006 Madrid, Spain;1. Gexcon AS, R&D, P.O. Box 6015, 5892 Bergen, Norway;2. Department of Informatics, University of Bergen, P.O. Box 7803, 5020 Bergen, Norway;3. Department of Physics and Technology, University of Bergen, Allgaten 55, 5007 Bergen, Norway;1. DIBRIS, Dept. of Informatics, Bioengineering, Robotics and Systems Engineering, University of Genova, Italy;2. Ansaldo STS S.p.A., Innovation Unit – Innovation Projects, Genova, Italy;3. Université de Technologie de Compiègne, Sorbonnes universités, Heudiasyc Laboratory, CNRS UMR 7253, Compiegne, France |
| |
| Abstract: | In Dutch external safety policy, the acceptance of risk for the population in areas surrounding hazardous substances establishments is based on a limit value for individual risk (IR). Additionally, changes to societal risk (SR) must be justified. A specific software program (SAFETI-NL) with the associated Reference Manual Bevi Risk Assessments (RIVM, 2009) is legally required for the calculation of IR and SR. This prescribed “Bevi calculation method” forms the basis for decisions with important consequences for industry, land use planning and the protection of citizens. It is important that the outcome of calculations made with the prescribed method can be relied upon when making decisions about land use planning that affects both industry and population. This is the subject of this paper.The prescribed calculation method has been evaluated by performing a case study. The evaluation focussed on risk modelling of a Boiling Liquid Expanding Vapour Explosion (BLEVE) at an LPG filling station, an incident type that plays a significant role in Dutch external safety. The risk modelling of the BLEVE with the prescribed calculation method was found to have a number of serious deficiencies. It is concluded that the prescribed calculation method yields no reliable perspective on the safety of production, use and storage of hazardous substances, nor of possibilities to increase safety.Decision making should not only depend on quantification of IR and SR. Improving the safety-relevance of the prescribed calculation method requires an increase of the number of dimensions of the outcome of risk calculations in order to make feedback possible. It is recommended to incorporate additional, safety-relevant information into planning and decision-making processes. It is envisaged that a more far-reaching change of Dutch QRA practice is needed (medium to long term). In this context, a number of interesting elements have been noticed in decision-making procedures in other EU Member States. |
| |
| Keywords: | Risk evaluation Land-use planning Safety relevance Relative vs absolute use of risk calculations Hazardous substances BLEVE |
| 本文献已被 ScienceDirect 等数据库收录！ |
|
