| 基于Leslie模型的产业链废物产生量预测研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 王天营. 基于Leslie模型的产业链废物产生量预测研究[J]. 中国人口．资源与环境, 2011, 0(Z1) |
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| 作者姓名： | 王天营 |
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| 作者单位： | 南京审计学院经济学院; |
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| 摘 要： | 利用1987-2002年中国工业行业投入产出数据,在对产业间经济技术联系分析的基础上,构建了一个循环经济模拟产业链,且以2005年该产业链上各产业废物产生量为基期数据,模拟Leslie动物繁衍模型,分别对2010年、2015年和2020年该产业链上各产业废物产生总量进行了预测和分析。可为构建循环经济产业链,以及评价循环经济产业链运行效率提供必要的方法和数据参考。
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| 关 键 词： | Leslie矩阵 产业链 废弃物 循环经济 |
Research on the Forecast of Industrial Chain Waste in Circular Economy Based on Leslie Model |
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| WANG Tian-ying. Research on the Forecast of Industrial Chain Waste in Circular Economy Based on Leslie Model[J]. China Polulation.Resources and Environment, 2011, 0(Z1) |
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| Authors: | WANG Tian-ying |
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| Affiliation: | WANG Tian-ying(School of Economy,Nanjing Audit University,Nanjing Jiangsu 210029,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the analysis of the economic and technological links among different industrial sectors with their input-output data from 1987 to 2002 in China,this paper has constructed an industrial chain in circular economy,and forecast and analyzed the amounts of wastes produced from the chain in 2010,2015 and 2020,drawn from simulating the the model of Leslie's animal propagation and using the waste amounts of the industrial sectors with the chain in 2005 as the base year's data.The result can provide some re... |
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| Keywords: | Leslie matrix industrial chain waste circular economy |
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