黄浦江水环境污染风险的模糊数学综合评价

采用模糊综合评价模型对2005年黄浦江6个监测断面水质状况进行评价。结果表明：2005年间黄浦江6个监测断面水质均属于V（严重污染）类，其主要污染物为氮磷营养物。     

飞机结构试验疲劳裂纹在线测量与预警系统设计

疲劳裂纹是飞机结构主要损伤，及时识别并预警疲劳裂纹对保障飞机结构安全和完整性具有重要意义，基于银涂层的结构裂纹监测技术对裂纹萌生及小损伤敏感，具有在线、实时特点,应用前景广阔。本文面向飞机结构地面强度试验应用，设计开发了一种阵列式银粉涂层裂纹在线测量与预警系统，首先提出了一种分布式、多通道设计的总体架构,并对系统的软硬件展开了设计。最后对该系统进行了试验验证，结果表明，该系统可以实现对金属疲劳裂纹扩展的及时识别和报警。     

美国饮用水预警监测宏观策略评述

从美国饮用水预警监测技术所关注的水体、EPA在预警技术研究中的作用、预警系统(EWS)技术发展理念、EWS的一般设计流程4个方面概述美国饮用水预警监测先进技术在宏观政策层面的情况。详细阐述了美国EWS5个重要的发展理念,以及三步骤EWS设计流程。结合中国当前"水十条"实施工作,指出在预警监测工作中应借鉴的成分。     

我国水质在线监测系统的发展与展望

阐述了我国水质在线监测技术的现状和发展历程，介绍了水质在线监测系统的前沿，分析了我国水质在线监测科技水平与发达国家的差距及存在的问题等，指出了我国水质在线监测技术面，临的机遇与挑战以及今后的发展方向。     

长江(江苏段)沿江开发水质监控预警系统建设

长江（江苏段）水质监控预警体系是以信息技术为基础，综合运用地理信息系统（GIS）、遥感（NS）、网络、多媒体等现代高新科技手段，在沿江开发现状分析和评价的基础上，建立长江（江苏段）水质基础信息平台、不同功能的水质模型及其相应的管理系统，为区域的环境风险管理提供数据支持。     

湖泊水面温度遥感定量反演研究综述

湖泊水面温度与藻类生长密切相关,通过获取水体表层温度信息来监测湖泊水面温度时空动态变化,对于蓝藻水华预警监控具有重要意义。湖泊水面温度遥感定量反演的理论方法与反演地表、海洋表面温度基本相同。本文在介绍遥感反演地表温度原理的基础上,总结了国内外基于热红外波段反演水体表面温度的单窗算法、劈窗算法、多通道算法等几种常用方法,重点分析了各算法的优缺点和反演的主要难点,并对今后在内陆水体藻华预测顸警等方面的应用趋势进行了展望。     

关于我国当前水质自动监测站管理机制的探讨

随着水质自动监测站数量的不断增加，水质自动监测站的管理问题日渐突出，由于缺乏必要的管理经验和管理制度，出现了各种各样的管理模式。水质自动监测站的建成实现了间断性人工监测向连续性自动监测的转变，实现了水质监测实时远程控制的连续性，高频次的监测结果更能客观、准确地判断断面水质的质量状况，使得河流水质评价更具科学性、准确性，能更好地服务于环境管理工作。     

基于MODIS数据的太湖蓝藻水华时空分布规律研究

利用EOS/MODIS遥感影像数据,采用蓝藻水华分级评价方法和蓝藻水华发生频率分析方法,对2010年～2013年不同级别太湖蓝藻水华时空分布规律进行分析和研究,以期为太湖蓝藻水华预警、监控、治理工作提供技术支持.结果表明：（1） 2010年～2013年,全太湖共发生蓝藻水华354次,其中小型水华发生次数最多,蓝藻水华级别越高,发生次数越少.（2）年际变化上,蓝藻水华发生次数总体趋于平稳,蓝藻水华发生呈现“小型多发、中大型少发、重大型偶发”趋势,蓝藻水华发生规模呈显著缩小趋势.（3）月际变化上,蓝藻水华主要发生在8 ～10月,8月和9月尤其是太湖蓝藻水华的高发月份.发生规模上,4～6月蓝藻水华发生规模较小,7月开始规模逐步扩大,到9月达到顶峰,10月规模有所缩小.（4）空间变化上,太湖西部沿岸是太湖蓝藻水华首次爆发最频繁的水域.从空间分布频率来看,太湖西部沿岸区尤其宜兴沿岸是蓝藻水华爆发频率最高的水域.     

江苏省循环经济发展预警系统研究--以江苏省为例

本文利用层次分析．去和灰色关联分析的原理，借鉴循环经济发展评价指标体系，建立预警模型，对循环经济的预警作初步尝试。通过对江苏省循环经济发展预警的实证，得出：该模型能从定量的角度准确地度量出江苏省经济发展模式偏离循环经济运行模式的程度。在此基础上，对未来江苏省循环经济发展状况作出明确的警度界定。本文目的在于尝试构建循环经济发展预警系统的框架，从而为循环经济发展预警的定量研究提供一个新的思路。     

汉江武汉段水质预警预报系统研究与应用

文章基于河流一维水质综合模型和地理信息系统理论，建立了河流空间数据库和属性数据库，以汉江武汉段为例，考虑污染物的迁移和生态转化过程，实现了污染物迁移扩散的常规预报、水华的预警预报以及突发污染事件的模拟，并利用MapObject实现了模拟结果在系统中的实时动态可视化，为河流水环境的管理和决策提供了科学依据。     

A Drinking Water Crisis in Lake Taihu, China: Linkage to Climatic Variability and Lake Management

In late May, 2007, a drinking water crisis took place in Wuxi, Jiangsu Province, China, following a massive bloom of the toxin producing cyanobacteria Microcystis spp. in Lake Taihu, China’s third largest freshwater lake. Taihu was the city’s sole water supply, leaving approximately two million people without drinking water for at least a week. This cyanobacterial bloom event began two months earlier than previously documented for Microcystis blooms in Taihu. This was attributed to an unusually warm spring. The prevailing wind direction during this period caused the bloom to accumulate at the shoreline near the intake of the water plant. Water was diverted from the nearby Yangtze River in an effort to flush the lake of the bloom. However, this management action was counterproductive, because it produced a current which transported the bloom into the intake, exacerbating the drinking water contamination problem. The severity of this microcystin toxin containing bloom and the ensuing drinking water crisis were attributable to excessive nutrient enrichment; however, a multi-annual warming trend extended the bloom period and amplified its severity, and this was made worse by unanticipated negative impacts of water management. Long-term management must therefore consider both the human and climatic factors controlling these blooms and their impacts on water supply in this and other large lakes threatened by accelerating eutrophication.     

基于ISM和ANP的水库水华发生影响因素分析

为提高水库水华发生预警能力,从水华形成机理着手,引入营养盐条件、水动力条件、光热条件和浮游植物生长状况,建立水库水华发生影响因素模型。首先,基于文献研究,建立水库水华发生影响因素体系,共包含10个指标;其次,利用解释结构模型(ISM)建立水库水华发生影响因素递阶结构模型;最后采用网络层次分析法(ANP)构建权重模型,并借助Super Decision(SD)软件求解。结果表明:叶绿素a浓度、悬浮物浓度、磷浓度、氮浓度、铁等微量盐浓度、水流流速、温度和溶解氧为表层直接影响因素,光照和风速为深层根本影响因素;重要度排序为:叶绿素a浓度、悬浮物浓度、磷浓度、水流流速、氮浓度和溶解氧。     

太湖流域水资源综合规划数模研究--水质模型的建立与率定

太湖流域水资源综合规划数模研究建立了一个覆盖全流域的，包括污染负荷模型、河网湖泊相耦合的水量水质模型的数字流域系统。该系统实现了流域的耦合求解，已在流域水资源规划中发挥了重要的作用。本文建宴了流域水质模型，并在水量模型率定的基础上进行了水质模型的率定。率定结果与实测数据吻合较好，相对误差多在30％之内，一定程度上反映了太湖流域的水质概况。     

IN-LAKE WATER QUALITY MANAGEMENT PLAN FOR A RECREATIONAL LAKE IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS1

Johnson Sauk Trail Lake remains highly eutrophic, even though the watershed has long been returned to an undisturbed condition with permanent vegetative cover and with little or no land disturbance in the watershed. Internal regeneration of nutrients has been identified as the major source of nutrients to the lake. Lake destratification, selective harvesting and removal of weeds, and control of algal blooms using chelated copper sulfate application followed by potassium permanganate application have all been chosen as management techniques for improving water quality conditions in the lake. These in-lake techniques are considered not as palliative measures, but as necessary tools in enhancing the lake's water quality characteristics.     

昆山市农产品产地环境质量监测与评价

为研究昆山市农产品产地环境质量,采用采样分析方法,对昆山市农产品产地的代表性土壤、灌溉水、渔业水质量进行了定点取样分析检测,在此基础上依据国家相关环境质量标准进行了单因子污染指数法和综合污染指数法评价。结果表明,该市58.1%的耕层土壤为安全、清洁,36.6%的耕层土壤处于警戒限,为尚清洁,3.8%的耕层土壤为轻污染,1.5%的耕层土壤为中污染;76.0%的灌溉水为安全、清洁,24.0%的灌溉水处于警戒限,为尚清洁;73.5%的渔业水为安全、清洁,23.5%的渔业水处于警戒限,为尚清洁,3%的渔业水为轻污染。     

河流水质模型在双流县流域治理中的应用

研究利用现有的河流水质模型,构建了一个可实时模拟河流水环境质量变化状况的动态模型。模型采用一维稳态单组分水质模型对河流的CODCr、NH3-N的降解进行计算,采用多宾斯-坎普稳态模型对河流的BOD、DO变化情况进行计算。模型引入水文数据、水质监测数据、环境统计数据、社会统计公报数据,以Excel作为数据平台,可以反演出河流不同月份、不同区段的污染物降解系数。研究将该模型应用于双流县的流域治理,以在锦江双流段的应用为例进行了具体说明。根据2008年双流县河流的相关数据,研究使用该模型反演出了锦江双流段的污染物降解系数,并对其反映的流域污染状况进行了分析。随后,研究使用该模型已计算出的岷江中段河流的降解系数,模拟计算了4种情景下锦江双流段出境断面的可能水质变化,以验证拟定的双流县流域治理方案的预期效果。模型具有实用性和进一步扩展的功能。     

A FICKIAN ANALYSIS OF LAKE SEDIMENT UPSURGE1

ABSTRACT. The fundamental hypothesis of this paper is that the stratified-mixed states which occur annually in lakes play a dominant role in the movement of nutrient-rich material from the lake bottom upward into the water column. The stratified-mixed history has been used previously to develop a Fourier type, semi-infinite slab energy model to represent the lake surface temperature, thermal profile, and thermocline position with Julian day (Thibodeaux, 1975). The present paper extends the semi-infinite slab idea to include a Fickian type model for the upsurge of nutrients from the sediment-water interface upward. Relations will be developed for the rate of nutrient upwelling into the epilimnion and the photoactive zone of a lake. A lake time constant emerges from the model equations. This constant is thought to be important in predicting the likelihood of a fall algal bloom. Results of model verification attempts on three lakes are presented.     

Three-dimensional numerical simulation of water quality and sediment-associated processes with application to a Mississippi Delta lake

A three-dimensional water quality model was developed for simulating temporal and spatial variations of phytoplankton, nutrients, and dissolved oxygen in freshwater bodies. Effects of suspended and bed sediment on the water quality processes were simulated. A formula was generated from field measurements to calculate the light attenuation coefficient by considering the effects of suspended sediment and chlorophyll. The processes of adsorption–desorption of nutrients by sediment were described using the Langmuir Equation. The release rates of nutrients from the bed were calculated based on the concentration gradient across the water–sediment interface and other variables including pH, temperature and dissolved oxygen concentration.The model was calibrated and validated by applying it to simulate the concentrations of chlorophyll and nutrients in a natural oxbow lake in Mississippi Delta. The simulated time series of phytoplankton (as chlorophyll) and nutrient concentrations were generally in agreement with field observations. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to demonstrate the impacts of varying suspended sediment concentration on lake chlorophyll levels.     

荧光法快速测定浮游植物以及应用于梅梁湖预警监测可行性探讨

YSI 6600-V2多功能水质自动监测仪采用荧光原理快速测定水体中浮游植物蓝绿藻的密度,梅梁湖夏季水华高发期时,湖体中的浮游植物几乎全部是蓝绿藻。传统的浮游植物监测前处理方面就需要24~48 h,最终要数天后才有镜检结果,导致浮游植物数据滞后,不能很好的应用到预警监测中。通过比对相关性验证,保证荧光法数据的可信度,提高工作效率,为预警监测提供有力的支持。     

Multivariate statistical characterization of water quality in Lake Lanier, Georgia, USA

Watershed monitoring programs depend on water quality characterization data collected for many parameters, at many times and places, and with limited resources. Our objective is to present a strategy that reduces the measured parameters, locations, and frequency without compromising the quality of the monitoring program. One year of twice-monthly (growing season) and monthly (dormant season) water quality data collected from 17 lake and 10 tributary sites are used in conjunction with multivariate statistical techniques to improve the utility of collected data by identifying key parameters and monitoring locations. Factor analysis shows that tributary water quality data consists of three components-stormwater runoff, municipal and industrial discharges, and ground water-which can be distinguished using total suspended solids, total dissolved solids, and alkalinity plus soluble reactive P, respectively. Lake water quality characterization is more ambiguous than tributary water quality characterization, but factor analysis indicates that anoxia associated with lake stratification is the largest source of lake water quality variation, followed by nutrient abundance, and finally by biomass abundance. Cluster analysis suggests that tributary and lake monitoring stations can be consolidated. Reducing the number of parameters and stations frees up resources for increased monitoring elsewhere.