石油化工园区土壤累积影响评价研究

石油化工园区所造成的土壤累积影响日益显著,而现有石油化工园区规划环评工作中仍未开展有效的土壤累积影响评价。结合规划环评技术框架,提出了石油化工园区土壤累积影响评价的技术框架,确定了评价因子筛选原则,将优先控制污染物筛选方法用于评价因子筛选,引入逸度理论进行土壤累积影响预测,并将技术框架与方法应用于SH化工园区土壤累积影响评价。结果表明:(1)提出的技术框架与方法可以满足土壤累积影响评价的要求;(2)SH化工园区建设不会对区域土壤环境带来显著累积影响。     

基于区域环境风险敏感性分析的石油化工行业规划环境风险评价

石油化工行业规划涉及多个石油化工项目的选址和多个备选方案的比选,增大了环境风险评价的不确定性.基于区域环境风险敏感性分析,研究了环境风险评价方法.在传统的环境风险分析框架即事故的发生概率(风险度)与事故的环境后果的基础上,考虑区域环境风险敏感性对环境风险评价的影响,对规划布局涉及区域的环境风险进行评价,最后将该方法初步应用于实际案例中.研究表明,该方法可以有效地分析多个备选方案的规划的环境风险,分析结果直观、可行,且可以辅助决策者对产业布局的合理性作出准确的判断,通过对该方法在应用中存在问题的分析,展望了规划环境风险评价的进一步工作.     

规划环境影响跟踪评价初探

2003年开始实施的<中华人民共和国环境影响评价法>对跟踪评价提出了明确规定.对跟踪评价方法在规划环境影响评价中的运作程序进行了分析,包括判别规划是否需跟踪评价、现状调查、环境影响识别、回顾性评价、有效性分析、预测评价和战略调整7个步骤.并基于压力-状态-响应(PSR)模型建立了指标体系,采用指标体系法有效简化了跟踪评价工作的复杂性.并以<上海市某区国民经济和社会发展第十一个五年规划纲要>跟踪评价为例,进行了规划环境影响跟踪评价的案例研究.通过回顾性评价和预测评价,识别出了主要环境问题以及环境制约因素,并根据规划总目标、阶段目标和环境保护规划、环境功能区划,进一步提出环境保护对策和措施,且对规划目标进行了调整.     

中国交通规划战略环境评价的若干问题探讨

《中华人民共和国环境影响评价法》实施5年多以来,交通规划战略环境评价的开展有效推进了中国交通建设的可持续发展。目前,该领域在理论研究和实践应用方面都取得了一定的成绩,但也存在一些不足。在回顾国内外交通规划战略环境评价发展历程和特点的基础上,就中国交通规划战略环境评价在层次性、定性与定量评价的把握以及如何有效融入决策过程等方面的问题进行了初步探讨,并建议尽早开展利益相关方分析、推广"综合情景+定量模型"的技术方法、引入制度分析方法并开展广泛的公众参与等,为完善中国的交通规划战略环境评价提供参考。     

对当前规划环境影响评价存在问题的探讨

根据战略环境评价的基本内涵.针对当前中国规划环境影响评价实践中存在的诸多问题,重点选择替代方案不完善和评价结果不能有效执行这2个突出问题.并进行了产生原因的深层分析.随后结合规划环境影响评价基础理论及现实需要,提出替代方案优化论证和评价结果有效执行的基本思路,以期对规划环境影响评价制度的进一步完善提供建议.     

地理信息系统在累积影响评价中的应用

累积影响评价是在可持续发展目标要求下环境影响评价的一种新类型,但目前进行累积影响评价的方法和工具仍较缺乏。文章分析了利用地理信息系统进行累积影响评价的能力,结果表明：地理信息系统能改善对发展行为和环境状况的监测和跟踪,能较好地分析环境影响的时、空累积特征,是进行累积影响评价的有效工具;但是,其对环境影响累积过程的本质考虑有限,需要与能反映累积过程的子模式相结合。     

开展战略环境评价的探讨

战略环境评价是环境影响评价在政策，计划和规划等战略层次的应用，是在战略层次上及早协调环境与发展关系的决策和规划手段。ＳＥＡ与项目ＥＩＡ形成了完整有层次的ＥＩＡ体系，提供了一个环境与发展的综合决策框架，可作为贯彻可持续发展的可操作工具。通过借鉴和引入国外ＳＥＡ理论与经验，尽快建立了有中国特色的ＳＥＡ理论和制度成为当前一项重要而紧迫的工作。在回顾ＳＥＡ国内外开展现状的基础上，对在我国开展ＳＥＡ的目标，     

基于数据包络分析方法的绿色港口建设探析

港口绩效评价不仅是港口当局提升管理绩效的有力工具,同时也能为国家和相关地区的港口规划和管理提供重要信息.港口绩效评价的传统研究方法很多,但从港口效率角度进行定量分析并不多见.由于数据包络分析(DEA)方法在处理多输入、多输出问题上具有绝对优势,所以采用该方法,从定量角度选取国内外沿海主要港口的货物吞吐量、码头泊位长度以...     

规划环境影响界定的方法与实例研究

规划环境影响评价隶属于战略环境影响评价的范畴,是国内外环境影响评价发展的一个新的阶段.其评价的方法和内容尚处于研究探索中,并未形成规范的方法系统.以某城市化工园区规划环境影响评价为例,对规划环境影响评价的环境影响界定方法进行初步探讨,提出规划环境影响评价应设置以环境影响识别和层次划分为具体内容的环境影响界定的观点.实例研究表明,在规划环境影响界定中,将规划的决策因子与识别出的主要环境议题联系起来,进行相关性分析和环境影响行为分析是十分有效的.     

高等级公路环境敏感点的大气影响评价方法探索

1 评价要求高等级公路的大气环境影响分析除了对一般路段进行大气污染现状及预测评价外,对于评价范围内特殊的环境敏感点还必须作特殊分析,这样才能完整地表达整条线路的大气环境影响情况.浙江省环境保护局制定的公路评价规范对此提出了较高的要求,这些要求主要包括三方面内容:一是如果在环境敏感点附近有比较方案,则应通过计算说明哪个方案对环境敏感点的影响较小,从而为选定路线方案提供环保上的意见.二是在环境敏感点应进行现状背景实测,从而为预测叠加提供本底浓度值.三是在环境敏感点的预测评价上考虑附近地理位置及气象条件的变化,结合实际情况选     

关于编制“十二五”环保规划的思考

围绕新形势下创建环保工作新道路这一主线,抓住十二五时期重大环境问题做了深刻思考,提出编制十二五环保规划应建立六个机制,即环境现状的评估机制、总量控制的扩项机制、污染减排的拓展机制、专项规划的环评机制、规划项目的筛选机制、规划执行力的保障机制,对基层工作具有借鉴作用。     

Simulating uncertainty in climate-pest models with fuzzy numbers

Inputs in climate-pest models are commonly expressed as point estimates ('crisp' numbers), which implies perfect knowledge of the system in study. In reality, however, all model inputs harbor some level of uncertainty. This is particularly true for climate change impact assessments where the inputs (i.e., climate projections) are highly uncertain. In this study, uncertainties in climate projections were expressed as 'fuzzy' numbers; these are uncertain numbers for which one knows that there is a range of possible values and that some values are 'more possible' than others. A generic pest risk model incorporating the combined effects of temperature, soil moisture, and cold stress was implemented in a fuzzy spreadsheet environment and run with three climate scenarios: (1) present climate (control run); (2) crisp climate change; and (3) fuzzy climate change. Under the crisp climate change scenario, winter and summer temperatures and precipitation were altered using best estimates (averaged predictions from the 1995 assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC]). Under the fuzzy scenario, climate changes were expressed as triangular fuzzy numbers, utilizing the extremes (lowest and highest predictions from the IPCC report) in addition to the best estimates. Under each scenario, environmental favorability was calculated for six locations in two geographical regions (Central North America and Southern Europe) with two hypothetical pest species having temperate or mediterranean climate requirements. Simulations with the crisp climate change scenario suggested only minor changes in overall environmental favorability compared with the control run. When simulations were conducted with the fuzzy climate change scenario, however, important changes in environmental favorability emerged, particularly in Southern Europe. In that region, the possibility of considerably increased winter precipitation led to increased values of environmental favorability. However, the simulations also showed that this result harbored a very broad range of possible outcomes. The results support the notion that uncertainty in climate change projections must be reduced before reliable impact assessments can be achieved.     

规划环境影响评价指标体系及评价方法浅析

对规划环境影响评价的内容作出了概述性的介绍，并根据规划环境影响评价的特点，得出规划环境影响评价的指标体系应包括自然环境指标、生态环境指标、资源利用指标、能源利用指标和社会经济指标5大体系。列举了当前适用于规划环境影响评价的技术方法，并对其进行简单的对比分析。     

区域规划环境影响跟踪评价的理论研究

随着环境影响评价制度的深入实施,其实施领域已由项目环评向区域环评和规划环评转变,评价内容也由广泛实施的预测评价向后评价和跟踪评价转变。然而,对于区域规划环评的评价层次、评价程序和评价内容,目前还没有明晰的认识;同时,对于促进规划环评有效实施的跟踪评价,其相关的理论和实践研究几乎没有。文中就此问题作了深入探讨。     

哑铃湾网箱养殖可持续容量研究

在相关养殖容量研究的基础上,提出了养殖环境容量和可持续养殖容量的概念和内涵.以哑铃湾网箱养殖为例,建立了考虑时间累积效应后的养殖环境容量和考虑了社会、经济和环境综合效益后的可持续养殖容量计算模型.估算了在10年时段内哑铃湾网箱养殖环境容量和可持续养殖容量.结果表明,哑铃湾网箱养殖最优环境容量为每年4.11万箱,可持续养殖容量为每年3.45万箱.     

The environmental impact of changing consumption patterns: a survey

How does environmental impact change when national income increases? So far, this question has been mainly discussed from the point of view of production, but in recent years several studies have dealt with the question of decoupling from the point of view of consumption. The optimistic subscribers to decoupling argue that, with increasing income, the composition of consumption changes in the direction of more environment-friendly goods and services. This paper discusses this hypothesis critically on the basis of several studies dealing with historical experience. First, it is argued that an overall assessment of the environmental impact is most appropriately based on an input approach. Then data on input intensities for different categories of consumption goods are combined with data on changes in consumption patterns, and it is concluded that the historical changes in the composition of consumption seem to have done little to counterbalance the environmental effects of growth.     

Life cycle assessment of fuel selection for power generation in Taiwan

Life cycle assessment (LCA) was applied to performance data from 1997-2002 to evaluate the environmental impacts of the energy input, airborne emission, waterborne emission, and solid waste inventories for Taiwan's electric power plants. Eco-indicator 95 was used to compare the differences among the generation processes and fuel purification. To better understand the environmental trends related to Taiwan's electric power industry, three fuel scenarios were selected for LCA system analysis. Results indicate that there are differences in characteristic environmental impact among the 13 power plants. Scenario simulation provided a basis for minimizing environmental impacts from fuel selection targets. Fuel selection priority should be a gas-fired combined cycle substituted for a coal-fired steam turbine to be more environmentally friendly, particularly in the areas of the greenhouse effect, acidification, winter smog, and solid waste. Furthermore, based purely on economic and environmental criteria, it is recommended that the gas-fired combined cycle be substituted for the oil-fired steam turbine.     

关于推进浙江省规划环境影响评价的思考

推进规划环境影响评价,既是贯彻落实<中华人民共和国环境影响评价法>、促进生态文明建设的需要.也是环境保护行政主管部门加强污染源头控制、参与宏观决策的有效途径.在对江苏、云南、重庆等地进行实地调研的基础上,分析了中国当前规划环境影响评价工作所面临的形势,重点研究了浙江省在推进规划环境影响评价工作中需要重点关注的问题,并提出了浙江省推进规划环境影响评价的相关建议.     

Life Cycle Assessment of Fuel Selection for Power Generation in Taiwan

Abstract

Life cycle assessment (LCA) was applied to performance data from 1997–2002 to evaluate the environmental impacts of the energy input, airborne emission, waterborne emission, and solid waste inventories for Taiwan’s electric power plants. Eco-indicator 95 was used to compare the differences among the generation processes and fuel purification. To better understand the environmental trends related to Taiwan’s electric power industry, three fuel scenarios were selected for LCA system analysis. Results indicate that there are differences in characteristic environmental impact among the 13 power plants. Scenario simulation provided a basis for minimizing environmental impacts from fuel selection targets. Fuel selection priority should be a gas-fired combined cycle substituted for a coal-fired steam turbine to be more environmentally friendly, particularly in the areas of the greenhouse effect, acidification, winter smog, and solid waste. Furthermore, based purely on economic and environmental criteria, it is recommended that the gas-fired combined cycle be substituted for the oil-fired steam turbine.