LPG沸腾液体扩展蒸气爆炸火球热辐射概率风险评估

分析了火球热辐射的特点,针对LPG沸腾液体扩展蒸气爆炸火球造成的热辐射危害存在不确定性,建立了爆炸火球热辐射风险评估模型,提出了一种基于Monte-Carlo模拟的不确定性处理方法,引入实例计算了LPG沸腾液体扩展蒸气爆炸火球伤害范围、事故风险概率曲线方程和累计概率曲线方程,对于定量评估火球热辐射风险具有重要意义.     

基于油罐区火球事故的热辐射危害研究

为了研究油罐区火球事故热辐射危害，基于火球燃烧模型和热辐射传播原理，结合丙烷火球案例研究，并用FDS软件模拟验证。根据参与反应燃料的质量，确定火球燃烧参数：火球最大直径、燃烧时间、最大上升高度以及表面热辐射能。通过改进观测因子和大气透射率公式，建立关于受辐射目标高度的火球危害模型函数。用MATLAB计算结果，对照热辐射通量准则，确定罐体热毁伤等级。理论计算结果与模拟结果吻合度较好，监测点位置越高，接受热辐射通量越大，罐体受损越严重。相较于传统火球危害模型忽略受辐射目标高度，导致低估油罐受损程度，改进后模型分析油罐区火球事故热辐射危害更加安全、可靠。     

火球热辐射改进计算模型

为对火球热辐射影响范围进行合理的计算和危险后果进行合理评价,借鉴点源模型和计算流体力学CFD思想,建立了火球热辐射改进计算模型,并与点源模型进行了对比。结果表明:改进模型比传统的点源模型计算结果偏大,特别是距离火球较近处。随着半径的增加,2种模型的计算结果趋于统一。当测量点的半径大于火球半径的2倍时,可以使用点源模型进行热辐射量的计算,满足工程精度要求;在近火球位置,点源模型精度较差,须用改进模型进行计算。建立的改进计算模型可以实现火球热辐射的快速计算,是有效、可行的。     

BLEVE火球热辐射及其影响评价模型介绍

高压液化易燃、易爆化学品储罐易发生BLEVE,引起热辐射,会造成周围人员伤亡和设备损坏.介绍了BLEVE火球热辐射及其影响模型,通过该模型可以计算BLEVE火球的尺寸、持续时间、升空高度、热辐射通量及预测暴露在BLEVE火球热辐射通量下人的致死概率.     

基于Unity3D的L-CNG加气站事故仿真研究

为了提高员工对站内储罐事故后果的认识,采用灾害机理和灾害效果仿真相结合的方法,在选取泄漏、火球热辐射及爆炸冲击波机理模型并建立L-CNG加气站三维场景的基础上,分别计算火球热辐射和爆炸冲击波的伤害半径,并用Unity3D中的粒子系统模拟了泄漏、火焰、爆炸事故后果及伤害范围,最终开发了一套基于Unity3D平台的事故仿真系统,直观呈现灾害影响范围,对L-CNG加气站的选址及应急方案的制定具有重要意义。     

液化汽罐车爆炸事故灭火救援安全距离的确定

本文综述了沸腾液体扩展蒸气爆炸事故中火球热辐射模型和热辐射伤害破坏准则,应用点源火球热辐射模型和热强度伤害破坏准则,计算确定了一辆容积为23.9m充装10t液化石油气的汽车罐车发生沸腾液体扩展蒸气爆炸事故时灭火救援的安全距离。3     

天然气管道泄漏火球事故后果模拟评价

天然气管道发生泄漏时,大约90%的气体产生燃烧并形成火球,遇火源即发生危害性非常大的火球爆炸事故。本文针对城市天然气管道泄漏事故,综合考虑天然气泄漏后可能发生的火球燃烧和爆炸,利用爆炸冲击波和火球热辐射模型对天然气管道(完全破裂)在发生泄漏时发生火球爆炸进行计算,结果表明:2分钟内泄漏天然气云团超压爆炸的死亡半径和热辐射的火球半径分别高达39.44m和92.93m。因此,通过计算天然气泄漏火球事故爆炸和热辐射范围,对天然气火球爆炸事故预防与应急救援具有一定的意义。     

BLEVE事故后果分析软件化实现

对BLEVE的三种主要灾害模式，火球辐射、超压以及碎片抛射进行了研究，研究总结了各自的灾害计算模型及相关的伤害准则，采用STATLSTICA6．0对火球直径、持续时间进行了重新拟合，给出了爆炸能量计算模型中不确定性参数的选取方法，对碎片抛射的各个不确定性参数的分布进行了总结。根据总结得出的模型，采用VB6．0编制了BLEVE事故后果分析软件，并分别以球罐、丙烷的热BLEVE算例及卧罐、二氧化碳的冷BLEVE算例对软件的计算功能进行演示。     

LPG球罐BLEVE过程中超压与热耦合效应模拟研究

为评估LPG球罐发生BLEVE过程中超压与热耦合效应对化工企业抗爆控制室和避难所选址的影响,采用TNO多能法数学模型计算冲击波超压,采用多源数学模型计算火球热辐射。编写MATLAB计算程序,并应用ANSYS模拟二者破坏效应的耦合作用。LPG球罐发生BLEVE过程中,爆炸冲击波的传播速度、持续时间和火球的传播速度、持续时间不同,爆炸冲击波主要在燃料高速抛散的初期形成,之后基本与火球脱离。分别模拟计算冲击波超压和火球热辐射对抗爆控制室和避难所的影响,结果表明：抗爆控制室选址只需考虑爆炸冲击波的影响;避难所选址需要考虑冲击波超压和火球热辐射作用双重影响。在研究基础上提出,LPG球罐附近人员逃生的避难所应设置在球罐防火堤外紧邻防火堤处的地下,应具有抗震、防渗、防火、防中毒窒息等功能。人员应在BLEVE发生前进入避难所才能逃生。     

火灾事故后果评价方法在LNG储罐发生BLEVE爆炸上的应用

介绍了LNG储罐站的发展背景和现状;采用火灾事故后果分析方法建模,分析计算了LNG储罐站发生BLEVE爆炸所产生的火球直径、持续时间、提升高度、热辐射能量、冲击波破坏的范围、火灾爆炸事故对人及周围设施破坏的程度等;提出了在我国开展此类工程评估工作过程中的一些观点和设想。     

Hazard analysis on LPG fireball of road tanker BLEVE based on CFD simulation

In order to research the hydrocarbon fireball characteristic of LPG tanker Boiled Liquid Evaporate Vapor Explosion (BLEVE) under different conditions, computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations of the hydrocarbon fireballs from the LPG tanker BLEVE accidents were carried out. Several new different factors, such as the mass of fuel, inlet velocity and airflow velocity, were considered to analyze the influence on the evolution of the characteristics of the fireball and the development of the LPG tanker BLEVE accidents. Results indicate that the fireball with a greater mass of fuel radiates more heat but slower. The large longitudinal diameter of the fireball and high radiation heat flux are observed in case of a faster inlet velocity used for the same mass. The airflow was found to shorten the initial phase of the fireball effectively. Some suggestions were proposed to prevent the LPG BLEVE accidents. Analysis performed show that various parameters like fireball diameter, radiative heat flux and lifting speed of fireball can be predicted well using FDS code.     

Thermal radiation from vented dust explosions

The fireball from a vented dust explosion presents a danger to personnel who may be within the vicinity of the event. The risk of serious injury to people caught within the fireball is great, and anyone just outside the fireball may be at risk from thermal radiation. This report describes a project in which the effects of thermal radiation from vented dust explosions was studied. The aim was to establish the areas around a fireball in which people would be at risk from thermal radiation. Six dusts were tested in a large vented vessel and external fireballs were generated under a range of conditions. The fireball geometry and the heat flux from the fireball were studied. A range of material samples were exposed to the fireball. The safe areas around the fireballs were established for each of the six dusts. Generally, the larger vent areas resulted in the larger fireballs and high heat pulse values. However, the fireball was usually too brief to ignite fabric samples unless they were very close to the fireball. The work has shown that in most cases the safe area was relatively close to the surface of the largest fireball.     

Flame-propagation behavior and a dynamic model for the thermal-radiation effects in coal-dust explosions

To reveal the flame-propagation behavior and the thermal-radiation effects during coal-dust explosions, two coal-dust clouds were tested in a semi-enclosed vertical combustion tube. A high-speed video camera and a thermal infrared imaging device were used to record the flame-propagation process and the thermal-radiation effects of the fireball at the combustion-tube outlet. The flame propagated more quickly and with a higher temperature in the more volatile coal-dust cloud. The coal-dust concentration also significantly affected the propagation behavior of the combustion zone. When the coal-dust concentration was increased, the flame-propagation velocity and the fireball temperature increased before decreasing overall. Based on the experimental results, a dynamic model of the thermal radiation was employed to describe the changes in the fireballs quantitatively and to estimate the thermal-radiation effects during coal-dust explosions.     

液化石油气BLEVE事故研究

为了减小液化石油气沸腾液体扩展蒸汽云爆炸事故后果,采用ALOHA软件对液化石油气储罐泄漏事故进行研究,基于液化石油气泄漏量、空气湿度、风速、储存温度等爆炸事故后果影响因素进行数值模拟。研究结果表明:液化石油气泄漏量越大,沸腾液体扩展蒸汽云爆炸事故产生的火球直径越大,燃烧时间或热辐射时间越长,且造成的危害范围越大,事故后果越严重;随着空气湿度增加,事故影响的范围逐渐减小,事故后果相对减小;随着液化石油气储存温度增加,事故影响范围逐渐减小;风速对于事故影响范围无影响;空气湿度、储存温度及风速对火球直径及火球燃烧时间无影响。     

沸腾液体扩展蒸气爆炸机理及相关计算理论模型研究

剖析了沸腾液体扩展蒸气爆炸 (BLEVE)的发生、发展过程 ,阐述了其机理及相关条件 ,研究并提出了两种BLEVE火球热辐射模拟计算理论模型 ,即近地面和抬升火球模型 ,以及爆炸超压模型。与有关实验结果比较和与已有模型的对比计算表明了所建模型的有效性     

An integrated quantitative hazard analysis method for natural gas jet release from underground gas storage caverns in salt rock. I: Models and validation

It is very important and necessary to perform quantitative hazard analysis for possible accidental leakage from an underground gas storage cavern in salt rock. An integrated quantitative hazard analysis method for natural gas jet release from salt caverns is presented in this paper, which was constituted by a revised model for gas leakage rate calculation, a consequence analysis and a model of probability assessment for harm. The presented method was validated by comparing the analytical results with the data collected from the real accidents (including the leakage, jet fire, fireball and vapor cloud explosion). It is indicated that the proposed method was more accurate than the TNT equivalence method for vapor cloud explosion and gave more reasonable results when applied to the consequence analysis for the thermal radiation from jet fire and fireball.     

Analysis of the boiling liquid expanding vapor explosion (BLEVE) of a liquefied natural gas road tanker: The Zarzalico accident

The road accident of a tanker transporting liquefied natural gas (LNG) originated a fire and, finally, the BLEVE of the tank. This accident has been analyzed, both from the point of view of the emergency management and the explosion and fireball effects. The accidental sequence is described: fire, LNG release, further safety valves release, flames impingement on vessel unprotected wall, vessel failure mode, explosion and fireball. According to the effects and consequences observed, the thermal radiation and overpressure are estimated; a mathematical model is applied to calculate the probable mass contained in the vessel at the moment of the explosion. The peak overpressure predicted from two models is compared with the values inferred from the accident observed data. The emergency management is commented.