郑州市PM2.5浓度时空分布特征及预测模型研究

利用统计学原理和GIS技术,对郑州市2013年8月17—12月31日期间PM2.5浓度时空分布特征进行分析,同时结合气象资料与前一日污染数据,建立人工神经网络反向传播算法模型(BP-ANN)和多元线性回归模型用于该市细颗粒物污染的短期预测。结果表明,郑州市PM2.5浓度日变化呈单峰模式,随逆温现象的发生和交通的密集于上午11:00达到峰值,午后逐步下降。在工作日、周末与国庆节的对比中,国庆节期间颗粒物污染浓度高出平日32.8%,表明人为活动的加剧影响PM2.5的排放;周末与工作日期间无显著差异。在空间分布上,金水区、管城回族区污染最为严重,工业燃煤、地铁施工等源排放是造成污染的主要原因;位于远郊的岗里水库,受秸秆焚烧和市区污染输送等影响,PM2.5浓度亦维持较高水平。最后,研究将所构建的BP-ANN预测模型和多元线性回归模型对比,结果发现两模型在建模阶段预测值与真实值的拟合一致性指标分别为0.944、0.918,均方根误差分别为59.788、70.611;验证阶段拟合一致性指标分别为0.854、0.794,平均绝对误差分别为25.298、32.775,表明BP-ANN模型在预测郑州市PM2.5污染过程中更具优势。     

内蒙古干草原冬、春季大气气溶胶的若干特征观测研究

内蒙古半干旱草原区大气气溶胶浓度以及散射等特性对生态环境、气候变化与预测研究有重要意义,文利用2009年1～4月在锡林浩特观象台草原站的观测资料,分析了冬、春季背景大气气溶胶质量浓度、黑碳质量浓度、散射系数的分布特征。研究发现,背景天气下,PM10、PM2.5、PM1.0浓度值都较低,平均值分别为22.7、9.5、6.1μg/m3,3种PM浓度值间的相关性不同;黑碳浓度平均值为0.59μg/m3,小粒子中的含量较高,其日分布规律受人类活动影响较大,与各PM浓度分布有较大不同;散射系数平均值为31.2Mm-1,与PM10、PM2.5、PM1.0、黑碳质量浓度都显著相关。三种PM中,PM2.5对散射和吸收的影响最大。风速、相对湿度对不同粒径的PM以及黑碳浓度、散射系数的影响有所不同。     

“十一五”时期乌鲁木齐市大气污染特征及影响因素分析

为全面了解"十一五"时期(2006—2010年)乌鲁木齐市大气污染状况,评估污染源治理及气象条件对空气质量变化的影响,利用2001年1月—2010年12月主要大气污染物浓度数据和同期地面气象资料,总结"十一五"时期乌鲁木齐市大气污染变化特征,重点分析其变化原因。结果表明:"十一五"时期PM10和SO2年均浓度分别比"十五"下降1.7%和10.3%,采暖季降幅最明显,分别达到2.2%和21.9%;而NO2年均浓度比"十五"升高8.9%,非采暖季增幅最大,为11.7%。2006—2010年PM10、SO2年均浓度整体呈下降趋势,NO2浓度有升高趋势。5年中非采暖季各污染物浓度均达标,采暖季PM10和SO2超标倍数逐年减小,煤烟型污染特征仍然典型。污染源管控(特别是减排工程实施)是"十一五"时期SO2和PM10浓度下降的重要原因,气象条件作用相对有限。NO2浓度升高主要与机动车保有量逐年增加和氮氧化物治理启动滞后有关。     

成都PM2.5与气象条件的关系及城市空间形态的影响

2013年2月1日至3月20日、2013年7月10日至8月10日对成都市大气中细颗粒物(PM2.5)进行连续监测,同步记录气象数据。将PM2.5质量浓度与城市气象条件进行相关性分析,研究气象条件对PM2.5质量浓度的影响。2月1日至3月20日PM2.5质量浓度平均为147.38μg/m3,7月10日至8月10日平均为50.19μg/m3,大气细颗粒物污染最严重的时间出现在2月1—6日。成都市各气象条件中,PM2.5质量浓度与能见度、风速呈现显著负相关,而与其他气象要素相关性较弱,降水对PM2.5质量浓度影响也很大。改善城市通风有利于成都市大气中PM2.5的稀释和消散。通过建立3D模型并运用计算流体力学(CFD)软件模拟成都市选定的一处密集的建成区域,分析城市空间形态对通风的影响。研究发现,在假设等温的情况下,多层密集的区域对城市通风影响小,而高层对城市通风影响很大,建筑高度相近的街道与风向平行的风速大于与风向成角度的,与风向平行的街道沿线为高层的风速高于沿线为多层的,较大的开敞空间及背景风速更有利于城市通风环境。     

贵阳市夏季大气颗粒物及多环芳烃污染特征研究

采集贵阳市老城区夏季5个典型监测点(太慈桥、贵州师范大学、大西门、省政府及省植物园)的样品进行PM2.5、PM10质量浓度分析。同时对PM2.5中PAHs的质量浓度进行分析。结果表明:贵阳市夏季PM2.5和PM10浓度排序均为太慈桥省政府大西门贵州师范大学省植物园,且PM2.5和PM10之间有良好的相关性,PM10=0.931 3 PM2.5+0.019 4,R2=0.996 7,PM2.5污染较重。此外,5个监测点总PAHs和苯并(a)芘的分析结果均为太慈桥省政府大西门贵州师范大学省植物园,苯并(a)芘浓度均未超标。     

西安市区大气中PM2.5和PM10质量浓度污染特征

2013年3月—2014年2月期间,设置1个监测点位,采集了西安市区大气环境中PM10和PM2.5样品,采用重量法测定了PM2.5和PM10质量浓度。结果表明,西安市区PM2.5质量浓度为16~558μg/m3,平均值为128μg/m3,超标率69.1%;PM10质量浓度范围为32~887μg/m3,平均值为249μg/m3,超标率71.8%。虽然PM2.5和PM10质量浓度的逐日变化幅度比较大,但是整体变化趋势非常相似,存在显著的正相关关系(r=0.831 9)。PM2.5和PM10质量浓度存在明显的季节变化,均为冬季最高,春季次之,秋季较低,夏季最低。ρ(PM2.5)/ρ(PM10)为0.245~0.822,平均值为0.510,说明PM2.5在PM10中所占比例大于PM2.5~10;此外,该比值呈现一定的季节变化规律,冬季、夏季较高,秋季次之,春季最低。霾天气发生时,该比值和PM2.5质量浓度明显高于无霾天气。     

t分布受控遗传算法优化BP神经网络的PM2.5质量浓度预测

根据齐齐哈尔大学监测点2014年3—5月PM2?5质量浓度及其对应的每小时的气象因素、气体污染物浓度，建立基于t分布受控遗传算法的BP神经网络模型（ BPM?TCG），对PM2?5质量浓度进行模拟预测。并将其与BP神经网络模型、遗传算法优化BP神经网络模型（ BP?GA）进行对比分析。3种模型预测结果表明：BPM?TCG模型预测精度最高，泛化能力最好。 BPM?TCG模型对PM2?5质量浓度的准确预测为预防和控制PM2?5提供依据。     

冬季大气中PM_(10)和PM_(2.5)污染特征及形貌分析

2008年冬季采集大气中PM10和PM2.5样品,利用SPSS软件进行分析。结果表明,PM10质量浓度在92.87～384.7μg/m3之间,平均值为201.09μg/m3,超标率71.43%。PM2.5浓度跨度为57.27～230.21μg/m3,平均值为133.82μg/m3,超标率89.47%。PM10和PM2.5空间分布略有差异。PM2.5/PM10在29.10%～94.76%之间,均值为66.55%。PM2.5与PM10质量浓度之间有显著相关性,相关方程:PM2.5=0.7993×PM10-55.984(R2=0.9524,置信度为95%)。通过颗粒物形貌分析,初步判定冬季大气主要污染源为燃煤和机动车尾气排放。     

天津市PM10和PM2.5中水溶性离子化学特征及来源分析

2011年5月—2012年1月在天津市南开区设立采样点,采集大气中PM10和PM2.5样品。采用离子色谱法测定颗粒物中水溶性无机阴离子、阳离子成分,分析其主要组成、季节变化及污染来源。结果表明,天津市PM10中离子平均浓度为71.2μg/m3,占PM10质量浓度的33.7%。PM2.5中离子平均浓度为54.8μg/m3,占PM2.5质量浓度的39.6%。NH+4、SO2-4、NO-3等二次离子含量较大,且夏季含量均为最高。颗粒物总体呈酸性,PM10中∑阳离子/∑阴离子平均值为0.92,PM2.5中该比值为0.75。来源分析发现,PM10可能主要来源于海盐、工业源、二次反应及土壤和建筑尘等,PM2.5则主要来源于海盐污染源、二次反应及生物质燃烧。     

石家庄市大气颗粒物元素组分特征分析

为研究石家庄市大气颗粒物的污染特征及其来源,于2013年4—5月在主城6区分别采集TSP、PM10和PM2.5颗粒物样品,利用ICP-MS分析其中的22种元素浓度。结果表明,石家庄市城区Ca、Fe元素在各粒径颗粒物中含量都较高,PM2.5中的S、K含量较高,PM10和TSP中Mg、Al的浓度相对较高。颗粒物的主要来源为燃煤尘、道路尘和建筑尘,TSP、PM10和PM2.5具有较好的统计相关性和同源性。     

北京地区不同季节PM2.5和PM10浓度对地面气象因素的响应

利用2013年1月—2014年12月北京地区PM_(2.5)和PM_(10)监测数据和同期近地面气象观测数据,采用非参数分析法(Spearman秩相关系数)研究了北京地区PM_(2.5)和PM_(10)的浓度对不同季节地面气象因素的响应。结果表明:北京地区大气颗粒物浓度水平具有明显的季节特征,冬季大气颗粒物污染最严重,夏季最轻。不同季节影响颗粒物浓度水平的气象因素各不相同,其中风速和日照时数为主要影响因素。PM_(2.5)和PM_(10)质量浓度对气象因素变化的响应程度也有较大区别,PM_(2.5)/PM_(10)比值冬季最高,PM_(2.5)影响最大,春季最低,PM_(10)影响最大。这些结论可对制订科学有效的大气污染控制策略提供参考。     

烟花爆竹禁燃对春节期间东北地区空气质量影响评估

利用2015—2017年春节期间东北地区主要大气污染物(PM_(10)、PM_(2.5)、SO_2、NO_2、CO和O3)质量浓度监测资料及相应气象因子(温度、湿度、风速和气压)观测资料,分析了春节期间烟花爆竹禁燃对东北地区空气质量的影响。结果表明:随着东北地区主要城市禁燃力度的增强,空气质量逐年提升,PM_(2.5)和SO_2浓度逐年大幅度下降。禁燃可明显降低城区PM_(2.5)浓度,而由于春节期间污染源整体减少,城区和城郊监测点PM_(2.5)浓度值差异减小。烟花爆竹对PM_(10)和PM_(2.5)浓度影响高于对气体污染物SO_2、NO_2和CO的影响。此外,气象条件对东北地区春节期间禁燃改善空气质量的效果也有明显影响。因此,结合春节期间的气象条件,在东北地区实施禁燃政策动态调整非常必要。     

Influence of Meteorological Parameters on Particulates and Atmospheric Pollutants at Taichung Harbor Sampling Site

Atmospheric aerosol particles and metallic concentrations, ionic species were monitored at the Experimental harbor of Taichung sampling site in this study. This work attempted to characterize metallic elements and ionic species associated with meteorological conditions variation on atmospheric particulate matter in TSP, PM_2.5, PM_2.5–10. The concentration distribution trend between TSP, PM_2.5, PM_2.5–10 particle concentration at the TH (Taichung harbor) sampling site were also displayed in this study. Besides, the meteorological conditions variation of metallic elements (Fe, Mg, Cr, Cu, Zn, Mn and Pb) and ions species (Cl⁻, NO₃ ⁻, SO₄ ²⁻, NH₄ ⁺, Mg²⁺, Ca²⁺ and Na⁺) concentrations attached with those particulate were also analyzed in this study. On non-parametric (Spearman) correlation analysis, the results indicated that the meteorological conditions have high correlation at largest particulate concentrations for TSP at TH sampling site in this study. In addition, the temperature and relative humidity of meteorological conditions that played a key role to affect particulate matter (PM) and have higher correlations then other meteorological conditions such as wind speed and atmospheric pressure. The parameter temperature and relative humidity also have high correlations with atmospheric pollutants compared with those of the other meteorological variables (wind speed, atmospheric pressure and prevalent wind direction). In addition, relative statistical equations between pollutants and meteorological variables were also characterized in this study.     

基于GIS的烟台市PM10时空分布与气象因素分析

以2006-2010年的烟台城区PM₁₀监测数据及同期烟台市气象数据为依据,采用ArcGIS分析其时间、空间分布,研究几种气象因素对PM₁₀分布的影响。发现PM₁₀浓度呈现出春、冬季较高,夏、秋季较低的变化趋势,但各区域PM₁₀的变化有一定的不同。在空间上,PM₁₀表现出了一定的污染集中性,且其污染的中心随季度不同会出现移动。烟台城区内PM₁₀浓度分布与风速、湿度具有一定的相关关系,而与气温的关系为非线性。     

2001年～2008年及奥运会期间天津市大气污染特征分析

根据天津市大气质量监测数据,对2001年～2008年及奥运会期间天津市大气污染特征和主要大气污染物的变化规律进行了分析。结果表明,2001年～2008年天津市的PM10、SO2和NO2污染总体呈下降趋势,但质量浓度仍相对较高。2008年8月奥运会期间天津市PM10和SO2质量浓度达到国家空气质量二级标准,NO2质量浓度达到国家空气质量一级标准,空气质量良好。天津市PM10污染相对稳定,SO2和NO2的污染分布呈现明显的季节性,时间上表现为冬强夏弱。气象条件对污染物浓度影响明显,沙尘、大雾等天气可使污染物浓度急剧升高。     

Numerical Simulations on the Effect of Sea–Land Breezes on Atmospheric Haze over the Pearl River Delta Region

The atmospheric haze over the Pearl River Delta (PRD) was investigated by using the Models-3 Community Multi-scale Air Quality modeling system with meteorological fields simulated by the Fifth-generation National Center for Atmospheric Research/Penn State University Mesoscale Model (MM5) from September 26th to September 30th, 2004. The model-simulated meteorological elements and particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter less than 10 μm (PM₁₀) were compared with observations at four air quality-monitoring stations. The results showed that MM5 successfully reproduced the diurnal variations of temperature, wind speed, and wind directions at these stations. The temporal variations of the simulated values were consistent with those of the observed (such as temperature, wind speed, and wind direction). The correlation coefficient was 0.91 for temperature and 0.56 for wind speed. The modeling results show that the spatial distributions of simulated PM₁₀ were closely related to the source emissions indicating three maxima of PM₁₀ over the PRD. The sea–land breezes diurnal cycle played a significant role in the redistribution and transport of PM₁₀. Nighttime land breeze could transport PM₁₀ to the coast and the sea, while daytime sea breeze (SB) could carry the accumulated PM₁₀ offshore back to the inland cities. PM₁₀ could also be transported vertically to a height of up to about 1000 m because of strong turbulence in the SB front. Process analyses indicated that the emission sources and the vertical diffusion were the major processes to influence the concentrations of particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter less than 2.5 μm (PM_2.5).     

Characterisation of PM10, PM2.5 and Benzene Soluble Organic Fraction of Particulate Matter in an Urban Area of Kolkata, India

In this study, the relationship between inhalable particulate (PM₁₀), fine particulate (PM_2.5), coarse particles (PM_{2.5 – 10}) and meteorological parameters such as temperature, relative humidity, solar radiation, wind speed were statistically analyzed and modelled for urban area of Kolkata during winter months of 2003–2004. Ambient air quality was monitored with a sampling frequency of twenty-four hours at three monitoring sites located near traffic intersections and in an industrial area. The monitoring sites were located 3–5 m above ground near highly trafficked and congested areas. The 24 h average PM₁₀ and PM_2.5 samples were collected using Thermo-Andersen high volume samplers and exposed filter papers were extracted and analysed for benzene soluble organic fraction. The ratios between PM_2.5 and PM₁₀ were found to be in the range of 0.6 to 0.92 and the highest ratio was found in the most polluted urban site. Statistical analysis has shown a strong positive correlation between PM₁₀ and PM_2.5 and inverse correlation was observed between particulate matter (PM₁₀ and PM_2.5) and wind speed. Statistical analysis of air quality data shows that PM₁₀ and PM_2.5 are showing poor correlation with temperature, relative humidity and solar radiation. Regression equations for PM₁₀ and PM_2.5 and meteorological parameters were developed. The organic fraction of particulate matter soluble in benzene is an indication of poly aromatic hydrocarbon (PAH) concentration present in particulate matter. The relationship between the benzene soluble organic fraction (BSOF) of inhalable particulate (PM₁₀) and fine particulate (PM_2.5) were analysed for urban area of Kolkata. Significant positive correlation was observed between benzene soluble organic fraction of PM₁₀ (BSM10) and benzene soluble organic fraction of PM_2.5 (BSM2.5). Regression equations for BSM10 and BSM2.5 were developed.     

Study of urban atmospheric pollution in Navarre (Northern Spain)

An ambient air quality study was undertaken in two cities (Pamplona and Alsasua) of the Province of Navarre in northern Spain from July 2001 to June 2004. The data were obtained from two urban monitoring sites. At both monitoring sites, ambient levels of ozone, NO_x, and SO₂ were measured. Simultaneously with levels of PM₁₀ measured at Alsasua (using a laser particle counter), PM₁₀ levels were also determined at Pamplona (using a beta attenuation monitor). Mean annual PM₁₀ concentrations in Pamplona and Alsasua reached 30 and 28 μg m⁻³, respectively. These concentrations are typical for urban background sites in Northern Spain. By using meteorological information and back trajectories, it was found that the number of exceedances of the daily PM₁₀ limit as well as the PM₁₀ temporal variation was highly influenced by air masses from North Africa. Although North African transport was observed on only 9% of the days, it contributed the highest observed PM₁₀ levels. Transport from the Atlantic Ocean was observed on 68% of the days; transport from Europe on 13%; low transport and local influences on 7%; and transport from the Mediterranean region on 3% of the days. The mean O₃ concentrations were 45 and 55 μg m⁻³ in Pamplona and Alsasua, respectively, which were above the values reported for the main Spanish cities. The mean NO and NO₂ levels were very similar in both sites (12 and 26 μg m⁻³, respectively). Mean SO₂ levels were 8 μg m⁻³ in Pamplona and 5 μg m⁻³ in Alsasua. Hourly levels of PM₁₀, NO and NO₂ showed similar variations with the typically two coincident maximums during traffic rush hours demonstrating a major anthropogenic origin of PM₁₀, in spite of the sporadic dust outbreaks.     

石家庄市空气颗粒物污染与气象条件的关系

利用2013—2014年石家庄市环境监测中心PM_(2.5)、PM_(10)逐时监测资料、同期的石家庄市地面气象观测站常规观测资料以及环境监测梯度站2013年1月各层PM_(2.5)和PM_(10)逐时观测资料,分析了PM_(2.5)、PM_(10)质量浓度的时空分布特征及与气象要素的相关关系。结果表明:石家庄市PM_(2.5)与PM_(10)的质量浓度及两者的比值均为冬季和秋季较高;在水平分布上,PM_(2.5)与PM_(10)的平均质量浓度为市区西部高于东部;在垂直分布上,随着高度的增加,PM_(2.5)和PM_(10)平均质量浓度先上升后下降;PM_(2.5)与PM_(10)的质量浓度与相对湿度呈正相关,其中PM_(2.5)的质量浓度与相对湿度相关性更高;PM_(2.5)与PM_(10)的质量浓度与风速呈负相关,随着风速的增大,PM_(2.5)与PM_(10)的平均质量浓度呈下降的趋势,但当风速大于5 m/s时,PM_(10)的质量浓度随着风速增大而上升,出现扬尘污染,总体来讲,刮西北风时PM_(2.5)与PM_(10)的质量浓度较高,刮东南风时PM_(2.5)与PM_(10)的质量浓度较低,这与风向和风速的日变化有关;PM_(2.5)与PM_(10)的质量浓度与降水呈负相关,随着降水的增加,PM_(2.5)与PM_(10)的平均质量浓度呈下降的趋势。