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1.
Development of regional climate mitigation baseline for a dominant agro-ecological zone of Karnataka,India 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
P. Sudha D. Subhashree H. Khan G. T. Hedge I. K. Murthy V. Shreedhara N. H. Ravindranath 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2007,12(6):1051-1075
Setting a baseline for carbon stock changes in forest and land use sector mitigation projects is an essential step for assessing
additionality of the project. There are two approaches for setting baselines namely, project-specific and regional baseline.
This paper presents the methodology adopted for estimating the land available for mitigation, for developing a regional baseline,
transaction cost involved and a comparison of project-specific and regional baseline. The study showed that it is possible
to estimate the potential land and its suitability for afforestation and reforestation mitigation projects, using existing
maps and data, in the dry zone of Karnataka, southern India. The study adopted a three-step approach for developing a regional
baseline, namely: (i) identification of likely baseline options for land use, (ii) estimation of baseline rates of land-use
change, and (iii) quantification of baseline carbon profile over time. The analysis showed that carbon stock estimates made
for wastelands and fallow lands for project-specific as well as the regional baseline are comparable. The ratio of wasteland
Carbon stocks of a project to regional baseline is 1.02, and that of fallow lands in the project to regional baseline is 0.97.
The cost of conducting field studies for determination of regional baseline is about a quarter of the cost of developing a
project-specific baseline on a per hectare basis. The study has shown the reliability, feasibility and cost-effectiveness
of adopting regional baseline for forestry sector mitigation projects.
相似文献
N. H. RavindranathEmail: |
2.
Greenhouse gas mitigation in developing countries through technology transfer?: a survey of empirical evidence 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Sonja Peterson 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2008,13(3):283-305
While greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are projected to rise primarily in the developing countries, the potential for developing
new GHG mitigation technologies exists primarily in the industrialized countries. It is thus important, not only for predictions
about future emission paths but also for climate change mitigation policies, to understand how the international diffusion
of such technologies takes place and how it affects the energy infrastructure and GHG emissions in developing countries. This
paper provides an overview of the channels through which these technologies diffuse and focuses on the empirical evidence
pertaining to the effects these technologies have on GHG emissions in developing countries.
相似文献
Sonja PetersonEmail: |
3.
Neil Strachan 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2007,12(4):455-470
There is substantial uncertainty regarding baseline greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions forecasts—i.e., how GHG emissions will
grow over time in the absence of policy intervention. Thus baseline uncertainty should be a key consideration in setting GHG
emissions targets as a mitigation strategy to respond to global climate change. At a minimum, the emissions target must be
less than the baseline level to induce changing behavior and new investment. Despite this fundamental policy criterion, baseline
considerations have played only a minor role in target setting under international climate policy. Baseline uncertainty applies
to both absolute and intensity based emissions targets. It is demonstrated that one advantage of intensity targets is reduced
uncertainty in the projected baseline, however there will always be some residual uncertainty in model projections. To illustrate
the importance of considering baseline uncertainty in GHG target setting, the Bush Climate Change Initiative is analyzed against
its projected baseline as a case study of a modest intensity target. Based on comparison with historical data, the range of
projections by major energy-economic models, past discrepancies in the accuracy of model projections and the added complexity
of sector-specific drivers for non-CO2 GHGs, it is shown that the Bush Initiative cannot be guaranteed or even expected to deliver actual reductions against an
uncertain baseline. This finding emphasizes the importance of setting a target that accounts for baseline uncertainty to achieve
genuine mitigation of GHG emissions.
相似文献
Neil StrachanEmail: |
4.
Methodological issues in forestry mitigation projects: a case study of Kolar district 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
N. H. Ravindranath I. K. Murthy P. Sudha V. Ramprasad M. D. V. Nagendra C. A. Sahana K. G. Srivathsa H. Khan 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2007,12(6):1077-1098
There is a need to assess climate change mitigation opportunities in forest sector in India in the context of methodological
issues such as additionality, permanence, leakage and baseline development in formulating forestry mitigation projects. A
case study of forestry mitigation project in semi-arid community grazing lands and farmlands in Kolar district of Karnataka,
was undertaken with regard to baseline and project scenario development, estimation of carbon stock change in the project,
leakage estimation and assessment of cost-effectiveness of mitigation projects. Further, the transaction costs to develop
project, and environmental and socio-economic impact of mitigation project was assessed.
The study shows the feasibility of establishing baselines and project C-stock changes. Since the area has low or insignificant
biomass, leakage is not an issue. The overall mitigation potential in Kolar for a total area of 14,000 ha under various mitigation
options is 278,380 t C at a rate of 20 t C/ha for the period 2005–2035, which is approximately 0.67 t C/ha/year inclusive
of harvest regimes under short rotation and long rotation mitigation options. The transaction cost for baseline establishment
is less than a rupee/t C and for project scenario development is about Rs. 1.5–3.75/t C. The project enhances biodiversity
and the socio-economic impact is also significant.
相似文献
N. H. RavindranathEmail: |
5.
Serge I. P. Stalpers André R. van Amstel Rob B. Dellink Ivo Mulder Saskia E. Werners Carolien Kroeze 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2008,13(4):359-378
This article discusses an approach for identification and evaluation of short-term greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction
options in firms. The approach is based on lessons learnt from a project using Participatory Integrated Assessment (PIA) and
builds on the idea that effective public climate policy for firms requires options that have support from stakeholders and
are practically feasible. Scenarios are used to provide a link with short-term policy developments and a model assists to
communicate quantitative effects of options to participating stakeholders. Our approach can be seen as a first step towards
a framework that meets the need for more systematic approaches to PIAs identifying effective public policies for short-term
GHG emission reduction options in firms. In order to identify effective options for non-carbon dioxide GHG emission reductions,
our approach has been applied to Dutch dairy farms, after which it has been refined. The case study suggests that our approach
can provide balance between practical, context specific issues and scientific-theoretical aspects, thereby avoiding common
pitfalls of participatory research projects to focus too much on either theory or practical issues.
相似文献
Serge I. P. StalpersEmail: |
6.
Pablo del Río 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2009,14(3):203-213
Internal mitigation projects have recently been proposed as an additional flexibility mechanism, particularly in the context
of the European Union. Their main objective is to engage sectors not included in the European Union emissions trading scheme
(EU ETS) in cost-effective emissions reductions. However, in this paper it is argued that, when assessed in terms of dynamic
efficiency, the instrument is likely to be, at best, irrelevant to induce the scale of systemic technological changes which
are required to tackle the climate change problem and, at worst, detrimental for this task. Insights from the Evolutionary
Economics of technological change complemented with political economy considerations are used to support this claim.
相似文献
Pablo del RíoEmail: |
7.
C. Streck A. Tuerk B. Schlamadinger 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2009,14(5):455-463
An important aspect in the linking of different emissions trading schemes is the degree to which these systems allow (or ban)
external offset project categories. The EU Emission Trading Scheme (EU ETS) currently allows the use of credits from energy
and industry projects developed under the Kyoto Protocol’s Joint Implementation (JI) and Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)
but excludes the use of carbon credits from forestry projects for compliance in the EU ETS. Forestry credits generated by
the CDM have a limited lifetime and expire at the end of a project’s crediting period, or earlier if the carbon stock for
which the credits have been issued ceases to exist. According to the recently adopted amendment of the EU ETS Directive forestry
credits will remain to be excluded until 2020. The present article reviews how the New South Wales Greenhouse Gas Abatement
Scheme (Australia), the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (US) and the voluntary scheme of the Chicago Climate Exchange integrate
forestry offsets into the respective system and how they deal with the risk of losing stored and credited biomass. By comparing
the results of different scenarios this article shows how differences in the treatment of forestry offsets could impact the
efforts to link various emission trading systems in future.
相似文献
A. TuerkEmail: |
8.
Integrating Joint Implementation Projects for Energy Efficiency on the Built Environment with White Certificates in The Netherlands 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1
V. Oikonomou W. van der Gaast 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2008,13(1):61-85
In this paper we analyze policy interactions between two innovative climate and energy policy instruments, namely White Certificates
(WhC) and Joint Implementation (JI) that target at energy efficiency improvement and reductions of Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions.
We have selected The Netherlands and Bulgaria as a case study given that the former has a cumulated experience in energy efficiency
policies and the latter for a growing potential in JI projects as a host country. Based on a method of analyzing policy interactions,
we demonstrate how a possible design of such a scheme can take place and how it should function. A couple of parameters that
deserve attention are a baseline definition and a conversion rate for credits. Our basic finding is that an integrated scheme
is complementary and can assist substantially in achieving Dutch national United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
(UNFCCC) Kyoto Protocol targets. Dutch electricity and gas suppliers (parties that receive energy efficiency obligations)
can implement energy efficiency projects domestically and in other countries, hence reducing total abatement costs. Furthermore,
such a scheme can stimulate further energy efficiency actions from other stakeholders participating in energy markets. Based
on an ex-ante assessment, a carefully designed hybrid WhC and JI scheme appears to be effective in terms of targets, efficient,
generating positive impacts on markets and society, while uncertain in stimulating innovation.
相似文献
V. OikonomouEmail: |
9.
Luis J. Mata June Budhooram 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2007,12(5):799-807
The water cycle, a fundamental component of climate, is likely to be altered in important ways by climate change. Climate
change will most likely worsen the already existing water related problems. Then the question is how should policy makers
respond to this dilemma. Climate change mitigation, through greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction and sequestration is
not a sufficient response. Adaptation will also need to feature as a response strategy. Mitigation and adaptation need to
be viewed as complementary responses to climate change. Complementarity between adaptation and mitigation in the water sector
will be addressed in this paper. The paper will also outline the main impacts of climate change on water resources and identify
those areas that are most dependent and vulnerable to hydrological systems (e.g., hydroelectric systems, irrigation, agriculture)
and any changes thereof resulting from climate change. It will aim to assess the impact of water demand and water use, with
a view to identifying the main relationships between mitigation and adaptation in the water sector and the means through which
individual mitigation and adaptation actions can potentially interact with each other for the benefit of the water sector
as a whole. It will also explore the implications of climate change on the management of water resources. Adaptation and mitigation
options would be considered in the context of their socio-economic and environmental impacts and their contribution to sustainable
development. A brief evaluation of how this information can be directly used for planning purpose will also be presented.
相似文献
Luis J. MataEmail: |
10.
Adaptation and mitigation as complementary tools for reducing the risk of climate impacts 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Gary Yohe Kenneth Strzepek 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2007,12(5):727-739
This paper uses the likelihood of flooding along Brahmaputra and Ganges Rivers in India to explore the hypothesis that adaptation
and mitigation can be viewed as complements rather than sustitutes. For futures where climate change will produce smooth,
monotonic and manageable effects, adopting a mitigation strategy is shown to increase the ability of adaptation to reduce
the likelihood of crossing critical threshold of tolerable climate. For futures where climate change will produce variable
impacts overtime, though, it is possible that mitigation will make adaptation less productive for some time intervals. In
cases of exaggerated climate change, adaptation may fail entirely regardless of how much mitigation is applied. Judging the
degree of complementarity is therefore an empirical question because the relative efficacy of adaptation is site specific
and path dependent. It follows that delibrations over climate policy should rely more on detailed analyses of how the distributions
of possible impacts of climate might change over space and time.
相似文献
Gary YoheEmail: |
11.
Shimpei Iwasaki Bam Haja Nirina Razafindrabe Rajib Shaw 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2009,14(4):339-355
Climate change combined with human activities poses significant risks to people’s livelihood especially in developing countries.
Adaptation at the community level is of crucial importance in enabling them to respond to the direct and indirect effects
of changes in climate. In a case study of fishing communities in Chilika lagoon, India, the focus is made on understanding
climate change adaptation at the community level and scaling it up into the policy perspective through application of Sustainable
Livelihood Approach. This article challenges the research and policy community to encourage the identification of locally
negative constraints and positive strengths toward climate resilient communities in rural areas.
相似文献
Rajib ShawEmail: |
12.
Preety M. Bhandari Suruchi Bhadwal Ulka Kelkar 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2007,12(5):919-933
India occupies 2.4% of the world’s geographical area with a large percentage of its land under agriculture. About 228 Million
hectares (Mha) of its geographical area (nearly 69%) fall within the dryland (arid, semi-arid and dry sub-humid) region. Of
the total cultivated area of 142 Mha, major part of agriculture in the country is rainfed, extending to over 97 Mha and constituting
nearly 68% of the net cultivated area, therefore making the agricultural sector vulnerable and exposed to the vagaries of
weather conditions. Climate change adds to this dimension of stress. A strong need is felt for targeting programmes in these
areas that address issues related to employing suitable soil and water conservation measures. In this context this paper seeks
to examine the case for watershed development as an adaptive strategy. An examination of the possibility of fortifying the
existing programme with a view to adapting to expected changes in climate in future is undertaken. Also, the possibility of
watershed development integrating into a suitable mitigation strategy for the country is assessed.
相似文献
Preety M. BhandariEmail: |
13.
B. H. J. De Jong E. Esquivel Bazán S. Quechulpa Montalvo 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2007,12(6):1153-1168
The acceptance of forestry-based project activities to mitigate greenhouse gases emissions has been subjected to a number
of methodological questions to be answered, of which the most challenging are baseline establishment and identification of
and measuring leakage. Here we pose hypotheses for and quantify leakage of the Scolel Té project in Chiapas, Mexico. In this
project small-scale farmers are implementing forestry, agroforestry, and forest conservation activities, with carbon sequestration
as one of the goals. The main leakage monitoring domain is defined as the area owned by the participating farmers or communities
outside the area where the specific project activities take place. The null-hypothesis (no leakage) is that non-project land
owned by the farmer or community will experience the same carbon stock changes as predicted by the regional baseline, specifically
developed for the project. First we assessed the most likely causes and sources of leakage that may occur in the project.
From this analysis, one type of leakage seems to be important, i.e., activity shifting. Second we estimated the leakage of
a sample of participating farmers and communities. Actual land use was then compared with expected land use derived from the
baseline. The Plan Vivo of each participant, complemented with readily available tools to identify the main sources and drivers
of leakage are used to develop simple leakage assessment procedures, as demonstrated in this paper. Negative leakage was estimated
to be negligible in this study. Incorporating these procedures already in the project planning stage will reduce the uncertainties
related to the actual carbon mitigation potential of any forestry project.
相似文献
B. H. J. De JongEmail: |
14.
Synergisms between climate change mitigation and adaptation: an insurance perspective 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Evan Mills 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2007,12(5):809-842
As the world’s largest industry, the insurance sector is both an aggregator of the impacts of climate change and a market
actor able to play a material role in decreasing the vulnerability of human and natural systems. This article reviews the
implications of climate change for insurers and provides specific examples of insurance-relevant synergisms between adaptation
and mitigation in the buildings and energy sectors, agriculture, forestry, and land use. Although insurance is far from a
“silver bullet” in addressing climate change, it offers significant capacity and ability to understand, manage, and spread
risks associated with weather-related events, more so today in industrialized countries but increasingly so in developing
countries and economies in transition. Certain measures that integrate climate change mitigation and adaptation also bolster
insurers’ solvency and profitability, thereby increasing their appeal. Promising strategies involve innovative products and
systems for delivering insurance and the use of new technologies and practices that both reduce vulnerability to disaster-related
losses and support sustainable development. However, climate change promises to erode the insurability of many risks, and
insurance responses can be more reactive than proactive, resulting in compromised insurance affordability and/or availability.
Public–private partnerships involving insurers and entities such as the international relief community offer considerable
potential, but have not been adequately explored.
相似文献
Evan MillsEmail: URL: http://insurance.lbl.gov |
15.
The double trade-off between adaptation and mitigation for sea level rise: an application of FUND 总被引:6,自引:2,他引:4
Richard S. J. Tol 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2007,12(5):741-753
This paper studies the effects of adaptation and mitigation on the impacts of sea level rise. Without adaptation, the impact
of sea level rise would be substantial, almost wiping out entire countries by 2100, although the globally aggregate effect
is much smaller. Adaptation would reduce potential impacts by a factor 10–100. Adaptation would come at a minor cost compared
to the damage avoided. As adaptation depends on socio-economic status, the rank order of most vulnerable countries is different
than the rank order of most exposed countries. Because the momentum of sea level rise is so large, mitigation can reduce impacts
only to a limited extent. Stabilising carbon dioxide concentrations at 550 ppm would cut impacts in 2100 by about 10%. However,
the costs of emission reduction lower the avoided impacts by up to 25% (average 10%). This is partly due to the reduced availability
of resources for adaptation, and partly due to the increased sensitivity to wetland loss by adaptation.
相似文献
Richard S. J. TolEmail: |
16.
Approaches to semi-synthetic minimal cells: a review 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Following is a synthetic review on the minimal living cell, defined as an artificial or a semi-artificial cell having the
minimal and sufficient number of components to be considered alive. We describe concepts and experiments based on these constructions,
and we point out that an operational definition of minimal cell does not define a single species, but rather a broad family
of interrelated cell-like structures. The relevance of these researches, considering that the minimal cell should also correspond
to the early simple cell in the origin of life and early evolution, is also explained. In addition, we present detailed data
in relation to minimal genome, with observations cited by several authors who agree on setting the theoretical full-fledged
minimal genome to a figure between 200 and 300 genes. However, further theoretical assumptions may significantly reduce this
number (i.e. by eliminating ribosomal proteins and by limiting DNA and RNA polymerases to only a few, less specific molecular
species). Generally, the experimental approach to minimal cells consists in utilizing liposomes as cell models and in filling
them with genes/enzymes corresponding to minimal cellular functions. To date, a few research groups have successfully induced
the expression of single proteins, such as the green fluorescence protein, inside liposomes. Here, different approaches are
described and compared. Present constructs are still rather far from the minimal cell, and experimental as well as theoretical
difficulties opposing further reduction of complexity are discussed. While most of these minimal cell constructions may represent
relatively poor imitations of a modern full-fledged cell, further studies will begin precisely from these constructs. In conclusion,
we give a brief outline of the next possible steps on the road map to the minimal cell.
相似文献
Pier Luigi Luisi (Corresponding author)Email: |
Francesca FerriEmail: |
Pasquale StanoEmail: |
17.
Community-based vulnerability assessment has often assumed that the local is the relevant level of adaptation to climate change.
This paper suggests that not only do a number of levels from the international to the regional influence which adaptations
can take place locally, but the governance network that is made up by actors on different levels may to a large extent be
formed in responses to globalising factors, such as internationalisation of economies and the changing role of the state.
The paper presents a study of adaptation in reindeer (Rangifier tarandus) herding, forestry and fishing communities in northern Norway, Sweden, and Finland, with a focus on assessing stakeholders’
own perceptions of environmental, socio-political and economic factors that affect them. In general, the paper illustrates
the integration of non-subsistence economies into large and complex interactions where local adaptation is a result of the
sum of stresses impacting individual entrepreneurs, and the potential they have to adapt their practices given governance
(and their access to support) on different scales.
相似文献
E. Carina H. KeskitaloEmail: |
18.
P. Sudha V. Ramprasad M. D. V. Nagendra H. D. Kulkarni N. H. Ravindranath 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2007,12(6):1131-1152
This paper addresses methodological issues in estimating carbon (C) sequestration potential, baseline determination, additionality
and leakage in Khammam district, Andhra Pradesh, southern part of India. Technical potential for afforestation on cultivable
wastelands, fallow, and marginal croplands was considered for Eucalyptus clonal plantations. Field studies for aboveground and belowground biomass, woody litter, and soil organic carbon for baseline
and project scenarios were conducted to estimate the carbon sequestration potential. The baseline carbon stock was estimated
to be 45.3 t C/ha, predominately in soils. The additional carbon sequestration potential under the project scenario for 30 years
is estimated to be 12.8 t C/ha/year inclusive of harvest regimes and carbon emissions due to biomass burning and fertilizer
application. Considering carbon storage in harvested wood, an additional 45% carbon benefit can be accounted. The project
scenario has a higher benefit/cost ratio compared to the baseline scenario. The initial investment cost requirement, however,
is high and lack of access to investment is a significant barrier for adoption of agroforestry in the district.
相似文献
N. H. RavindranathEmail: |
19.
Alexander Golub Jos Cozijnsen Annie Petsonk 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2009,14(5):433-453
This article examines possibilities for linkage between the European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) and Russia, with
a view to enhancing cooperation on a broader scale than the project-based approaches that have been tested thus far. Three
paths for possible EU-Russia linkage are presented by which the Russian Assigned Amount under the Kyoto Protocol can be greened
in order to stimulate emissions trading: 1. Joint implementation—reductions earned via individual projects in Russia; 2. Greened
allowances or green investment schemes; and 3. Linked cap-and-trade systems, in which a Russian domestic emissions trading
system would link with the European Union Emissions Trading System. The authors conclude that the third option, emissions
trading through linked domestic emissions trading systems, offers the best opportunities at the lowest transaction costs.
The authors discuss useful innovative instruments like call options and slip level arrangements on government-to-government
and business-to-business levels.
相似文献
Annie PetsonkEmail: |
20.
Veronika Dornburg Gregg Marland 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2008,13(3):211-217
Kirschbaum (Mitig Adapt Strat Glob Change 11:1151–1164, 2006) explores the climatic impact over time of temporarily sequestering carbon from the atmosphere. He concludes that temporary
storage of carbon in the terrestrial biosphere “achieves effectively no climate-change mitigation”. His strongly worded statement
begs for a response. This paper argues that Kirschbaum’s conclusion is an artifact of the specific perspective of his analysis
and his choice of a definition for climate-change impact. Even temporary sinks put us on a lower path for climate change,
a path that will not otherwise be accessible. For carbon sinks in the terrestrial biosphere, we argue that sooner is better
and longer is better, but even known temporary sinks have value.
相似文献
Gregg Marland (Corresponding author)Email: |