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1.
广州市1980-2002年间产业发展可分为两个阶段,即工业化中期(1980-1993年)和工业化后期(1994-2002年)。在这两个产业发展阶段,耕地数最变化存在较大差异:耕地年均减少工业化中期大于后期,变化速度则是后期大于中期,利用效益后期明显优于中期。利用相关分析和主成分分析方法,得出人口增长、经济发展、城市化进程、农业产业结构调整、交通发展是广州市1980-2002年间耕地数量变化的主要驱动力,在不同产业阶段各驱动因子存在差异,其中农业比重、实际利用外资、城市化、客运量等因子差异较为明显,从而导致了不同时期耕地数量变化的差异性。  相似文献   

2.
安徽省耕地时空变化及驱动力研究   总被引:7,自引:0,他引:7  
利用安徽省各地、市50余年来的长序列统计资料,对安徽省耕地时空动态变化进行了研究,应用相关分析与主成分分析方法相结合,定量地诊断出耕地变化的驱动因子,揭示耕地变化的驱动机制。结果表明,经济发展、人口增长和农业科技进步是影响安徽省耕地数量变化的三大驱动因素,在此基础上提出了安徽省耕地保护的对策,并将研究结果应用GIS进行了空间表达,该成果对安徽省农业可持续发展具有重要意义。  相似文献   

3.
天津市耕地数量动态变化及保护对策研究   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
根据土地调查和统计资料,分析了天津市自1949年以来耕地数量动态变化及其驱动机制,并在此基础上,提出了抑制耕地流失和促进耕地数量增加的相关对策。研究表明,1949年以来,天津市耕地数量经历了波动变化和持续缓慢减少两大阶段,耕地数量总体上缓慢减少;人口增长、经济发展、城市化、相关政策、比较经济利益、环境变化和灾害等因子对耕地数量变化具有明显的驱动作用;耕地保护需要进行多方面地不懈努力。  相似文献   

4.
经济发展与耕地变化的关系--以江苏省为例   总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5  
一直以来,对于经济发展与耕地变化间的关系问题,许多学者都认为两者是负相关的关系.辨证地分析了经济发展与耕地变化之间的关系,并结合对江苏省的实证研究,对这一问题有了更深的认识:即经济发展对耕地变化不仅有负面作用,还在一定程度上存在着正向作用.从总体来看,经济发展所消耗的耕地数量将先上升后下降,呈现明显的倒"U"型曲线状.  相似文献   

5.
广东省耕地资源的动态变化特征   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
耕地资源问题已成为制约广东省农业以至社会经济发展的主要因素之一。本文通过分析该省耕地资源数量、质量变化特征及各地区耕地资源的流失、净增减情况,得出耕地资源动态变化特征,并简要地阐述了产生这些变化的机制和原因,最后提出了保护耕地资源的基本对策  相似文献   

6.
典型区耕地变化与GDP值变化的脱钩研究   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
研究目的:为了深入分析耕地占用与GDP值增长之间的关系,研究不同区域之间耕地数量变化与GDP值变化的差异性与相似性,有利于平衡耕地占用与GDP值增长之间的矛盾,同时有利于“状态-压力-响应”体系的研究。研究方法:主要是应用脱钩理论,引入了脱钩指数来分析不同区域各时点耕地数量变化与GDP值变化之间的关系,同时运用相关分析与回归分析的方法,确立了不同研究区耕地数量与社会经济指标之间的相关性,建立了耕地面积与GDP值的回归曲线。研究结论:耕地数量的变化与GDP值之间的关系因地域差异而表现不同,但是也存在一些相似点,即各个区域相对脱钩与绝对脱钩的年份基本一样;此外脱钩理论有利于进一步深化土地利用的研究。  相似文献   

7.
云南省罗平县土地利用变化及驱动力研究   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
土地利用问题是实现生态脆弱区环境-经济协调发展的关键所在。选取喀斯特地区的罗平县作为研究对象,将遥感、GIS和多元统计技术结合运用于土地利用变化研究中,对罗平县1990~2001年的土地利用变化情况及驱动力进行了研究。结果表明,罗平县耕地逐年减少;影响耕地变化的主要驱动因子包括人口、经济和社会投资。  相似文献   

8.
根据1985—2005年的统计年鉴数据,基于ArcGIS及SPSS软件平台,分析了近20年来陕西省耕地面积的总体变化趋势、空间区域差异变化;利用相关分析与主成分方法分析了驱动因子;运用相关模型,科学预测出2015年、2020年、2025年、2025年耕地的数量,提出了实现陕西省耕地可持续发展的相关对策。结果表明,近20年来,陕西省耕地数量总体上呈下降趋势,其中人口增长、社会经济发展和农业科学技术进步是主要驱动因子。  相似文献   

9.
湖北省粮食产量与耕地非农化关系研究   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
利用计量经济分析方法,分析了湖北省粮食产量与耕地非农化之间的关系。结果表明,耕地非农化是湖北省粮食产量变化的影响因素,但并不是主要的影响因素,两者存在着低度负相关关系。耕地非农化会从耕地数量和质量上影响粮食播种面积和粮食单产,从而影响粮食产量总产的变化,因此需要从法律、制度、技术、行政和意识方面保护耕地,确保全省粮食安全。  相似文献   

10.
论我国耕地保护与粮食安全   总被引:13,自引:0,他引:13  
耕地资源关系到国家经济发展、社会稳定和粮食安全。对我国而言,经济飞速增长,人地矛盾十分突出,每寸土地都显得弥足珍贵。在收集我国1997-2005年耕地面积变化的资料,并作相关分析的基础上,研究得出我国耕地资源呈现不断减少的趋势,其中生态退耕和非农建设用地占用耕地是其变化的主要原因。耕地资源的减少引起了粮食总产量和单产量的变化,而耕地复种指数也是影响耕地产量的主要原因之一。在此基础上分析了耕地保护和粮食安全的内在关系,并提出适合我国的耕地资源可持续利用与粮食安全的措施。  相似文献   

11.
ABSTRACT: Sustained interest in and concern about the health status of the aquatic environment has resulted in extensive research focused on (1) effects of pollution on survival, growth, and reproduction of resource species at all life stages; (2) diseases of fish and shellfish, as they may be related to pollution and as they may serve as indicators of environmental stress; and (3) contaminant body burdens in fish and shellfish - their effects on the aquatic animals and their potential effects on humans. Effects, lethal and sublethal, of pollutants on life history stages of fish and shellfish have been documented, as have impacts on local stocks in badly degraded habitats, but as yet there has been no adequate quantitative demonstration of effects on entire aquatic species - probably because of the difficulty in sorting out relative effects of the many environmental factors that influence abundance. Sublethal effects, especially those that result in disease, have been examined intensively, and some diseases and disease syndromes have been associated statistically with pollution. Other pollution indicators (biochemical, physiological, genetic, behavioral, and ecological) have also received some attention, as have body burdens of contaminants in aquatic species. Research, especially that conducted during the past decade, has done much to clarify the many pathways and toxic effects of contaminants on aquatic animals, and has also helped to identify mechanisms for survival of fish and shellfish in the presence of environmental changes caused by human activities.  相似文献   

12.
Mapped environmental classifications are defined using various procedures, but there has been little evaluation of the differences in their ability to discriminate variation in independent ecological characteristics. We tested the performance of environmental classifications of the streams and rivers of France that had been defined from the same environmental data using geographic regionalization and numerical classification of individual river valley segments. Test data comprised invertebrate assemblages, water chemistry, and hydrological indexes obtained from sites throughout France. Classification performance was measured by analysis of similarity (ANOSIM). Geometric regions defined by a regular grid and without regard to environmental variables and a posteriori classifications based on clustering the test datasets defined lower and upper bounds of performance for a given number of classes. Differences in classification performances were generally small. The ANOSIM statistics for the a posteriori classifications were around twice that of all environmental classifications, including geometrically defined regions. The hydro-ecoregions performed slightly better for the invertebrate data and the network classification performed slightly better for the chemistry and hydrological data. Our results indicate that environmental classifications that are defined using different procedures can be comparable in terms of their ability to discriminate variation of ecological characteristics and that alleged differences in performance arising from different classification procedures can be small relative to unexplained variation. We conclude that definition procedures might have little effect on the performance of large-scale environmental classifications and decisions over which procedures to use should be based primarily on pragmatic considerations.  相似文献   

13.
All major journalism ethical codes explicitly state that journalists should protect editorial copy from undue influence by outside sources. However, much of the previous research on agricultural information has concentrated on what information various media communicate (gatekeeping studies) or communication's role in increasing innovation adoption (diffusion studies). Few studies have concentrated specifically on organizational and structural constraints that might adversely affect agricultural journalists' ethical standards; those that have, focus largely on farm magazines. A study of newspaper reporters who cover agricultural news found that the most pressing ethical concern is the effect of advertiser (agri-business) pressure on editorial copy, and that their concerns in general parallel those of farm magazine writers and editors. The majority reported being in situations in which they might be exposed to advertiser pressure, including pressures to change or withhold editorial copy. Large minorities suggested that advertising pressures affect the overall environment in which agricultural journalists work, and more than one in ten said they allow advertiser pressures to influence editorial decisions. The newspaper reporters who cover agricultural beats showed slightly more resistance to advertiser pressure than did farm magazine editors in a parallel study.  相似文献   

14.
Zimbabwean provincial plans were instituted to help in the achievement of the national goal of the creation of an egalitarian, socialist and integrated society. The national goal itself was adopted as an antithesis to the dualist society characterised by spatial, economic, social, politican and technological inequalities that Zimbabwe inherited from colonialism. This meant that provincial plans had to play both a functional (or growth allocating/distribution) and a territorial (or redistribution) role.

This paper reviews their role in achieving the national goal by examining their functions, content, structure and methodology. The paper concludes that because of their nature, provincial plans are not suitable tools for the achievement of the national goal.  相似文献   


15.
Biodegradation of [A‐ring 14C] Estrone (E1), 17β‐estradiol (E2), and 17α‐ethinylestradiol (EE2) to 14CO2 was investigated under light and dark conditions in microcosms containing epilithon or sediment collected from Boulder Creek, Colorado. Mineralization of the estrogen A‐ring was observed in all sediment treatments, but not epilithon treatments. No difference in net mineralization between light and dark treatments was observed for 14C‐E2. Net mineralization of 14C‐E1 and 14C‐EE2 was enhanced in light treatments. Extents of 14CO2 accumulation and rates of mineralization were significantly greater for E2 than E1 under dark conditions, but were comparable under light conditions. These results indicate substantial differences in the uptake and metabolism of E1 and E2 in the environment and suggest biorecalcitrance of E1 relative to E2 in light‐limited environments. The extent of 14CO2 accumulation and rate of mineralization for EE2 in dark treatments were less than half of that observed for E2 and generally lower than for E1, consistent with previous reports of EE2 biorecalcitrance. However, 14CO2 accumulation and rates of mineralization were comparable for EE2, E2, and E1 under light conditions. These results indicate photoactivation and/or phototransformation/photodegradation processes can substantially enhance heterotrophic biodegradation of estrogens in sunlit environments and may play an important role in estrogen transport and attenuation.  相似文献   

16.
Abstract

Sustainable ecosystems can be designed to eliminate environmental toxins and reduce pathogen loads through the direct and indirect consequences of plant and microbial activities. We present an approach to the bioremediation of disturbed environments, focusing on petroleum hydrocarbon (PHC) contaminants. Treatment consists of incorporating a plant-based amendment to enhance ecosystem productivity and physiochemical degradation followed by the establishment of plants to serve as oxidizers and foundations for microbial communities. Promising amendments for widespread use are entire plants of the water fern Azolla and seed meal of Brassica napus (rapeseed). An inexpensive byproduct from the manufacture of biodiesel and lubricants, rapeseed meal is high in nitrogen (6% wt/wt), stimulates >100-fold increases in populations of resident Streptomyces species, and suppresses fungal infection of roots subsequently cultivated in the amended soil. Synergistic enzymatic and chemical activities of plant and microbial metabolism in root zones transform and degrade soil contaminants. Emphasis is given to mechanisms that enable PHC functionalization via reactive molecular species.  相似文献   

17.
This paper explains how the well-accepted concept of improved stakeholder participation during mineral policy development leads to a national mineral policy that accommodates the diverging views and interests that allows wide acceptance of decisions, enhancing the success of implementation and, ultimately, national benefits. This process is based on lessons learnt during the South African experience and has been successfully applied in the development of the Namibian and Malawian national minerals policies. An effective policy in the SADC will engineer the delicate balance between poverty reduction and an internationally competitive minerals sector. This balance enhances the possibility of long-term economic growth and development in the SADC region. The overriding advantage of this strategy is that it generates ‘home-grown’ policy instruments and implementation of mineral law with which stakeholders can identify. This process presents a new challenge to traditional policy formulation strategies in emerging economies and the bottom-up approach, linked to wide political support, allows the potential realisation of national objectives.  相似文献   

18.
The present article, based on a study of five village ecosystems, assesses the energy efficiency of rain-fed agriculture in a dry tropical environment and the impact of agricultural activity on the surrounding natural ecosystems. Agronomic yield is insufficient to meet the food requirement of the human population, hence 11.5%–49.7% of the required amount of food grains are imported from the market. Energy requirements of five studied agroecosystems are subsidized considerably by the surrounding forest in the form of fodder and firewood. Natural ecosystems supply about 80%–95% of fodder needs and 81%–100% of fuelwood needs. The output-input ratio of agriculture indicated that, on average, 4.1 units of energy are expended to obtain one unit of agronomic energy. Of this, 3.9 units are supplied by the natural ecosystem. In addition, 38% of the extracted firewood is marketed. The illegal felling and lopping of trees result in ever-increasing concentric circles of forest destruction around the villages and together with excessive grazing results in savannization. The forests can be conserved by encouraging fuelwood plantations (0.7 ha/ha cultivated land) and developing village pastures (1.6 ha/ha cultivated land) and reducing the livestock numbers. Agricultural production in the region can be stabilized by introducing improved dry farming techniques such as intercropping, planned rainwater management, and adequate use of fertilizers.  相似文献   

19.
ABSTRACT The term “institution” and several variants are used frequently in the literature on metropolitan water management. The state-of-the art investigation on which this paper is based revealed that 1) many uses of the term do not include careful definitions; 2) many users of the term seemed unaware of the general, theoretical literature on the subject of institutions; 3) there was little consistency among uses, either in the practical literature dealing with water or in the conceptual literature dealing with theories of institutions or institutionalization; 4) some usages were without significant meaning; 5) in many cases the term was used as a kind of “black box” to account for behavioral, societal, or managerial factors; 6) the term was often used as a synonym for “organization”. This latter use is frequently found in federal reports, including National Water Commission studies, and is most unfortunate because it tends to slight significant social-psychological factors. A suggested definition is: “An institution is the structured result or outcome of a process by which values are articulated, arranged, and communicated, having continuity over time, and influencing behavior of persons who did not necessarily participate in formulating those values (norms).”  相似文献   

20.
One of the major hindrances to waste minimisation on a construction site is the difficulty in establishing a methodology and using this methodology to benchmark future construction projects. This paper introduces SMARTWaste, a software tool that has been used to audit, reduce and target waste arisings on a construction site. This tool tries to link the construction process and the waste hierarchy. That is reducing waste on a construction site rather than landfilling it. Three applications of the SMARTWaste software will be discussed using case studies from three different types of construction. An evaluation of these case studies shows that, by implementing a waste minimisation scheme on-site, you can improve material recovery for reuse. Also, by using the waste arisings as a benchmark you can reduce your waste arisings on future sites. Application of SMARTWaste or a similar waste minimisation tool on a wider basis could reduce waste arisings and could result in a built environment that consumed less natural resources and energy, and also produced less pollution and waste. Such a built environment would be environmentally and socially more responsive and responsible.  相似文献   

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