中国主要电子废物产生量估算

在分析了电子废物类型及其可能造成的主要环境问题的基础上。根据电子电器产品的销量、社会保有量以及产品寿命期等因子建立模型对我国2000-2010年间的电脑、电视机、冰箱、洗衣机、空调等5大类电子电器产品的年度废弃量进行估算。结果显示到2003年电脑年度废弃量达到447万台，总体呈增长趋势；电视机、冰箱的废弃量在2003年分别达到4229万台和976万台；洗衣机年度废弃量有一定波动。大约在2005年达到一个高峰，废弃量为1521万台；空调废弃量相对于其他家电较少，但一直处于稳步增长期。并在此基础估算了我国2003年主要电子废物中的可回收资源含量。量大而且增长较快的电子废物的处置和资源再生化将是我国电子废物管理面临的一个难题。     

Algal toxicity induced by effluents from textile-dyeing wastewater treatment plants

This research aimed to evaluate the alga Scenedesmus obliquus toxicity induced by textiledyeing effluents(TDE).The toxicity indicator of TDE in alga at the physiological(algal growyth),biochemical(chlorophyll-a(Chl-a) synthesis and superoxide dismutase(SOD) activity) and structural(cell membrane integrity) level were investigated.Then we further study the relationship among toxicity indicators at physiological and biochemical level,and supplemented by research on algal biomacromolecules.According to the analysis of various endpoints of the alga,the general sensitivity sequence of toxicity endpoints of Scenedesmus obliquus was:SOD activity Chl-a synthesis algal growth.The stimulation rate of SOD activity increased from day 3(57.25%～83.02%) to day 6(57.25%～103.81%),and then decreased on day 15(-4.23%～-32.96%),which indicated that the antioxidant balance system of the algal cells was destroyed.The rate of Chl-a synthesis inhibition increased gradually,reaching19.70%～79.39% on day 15,while the rate of growth inhibition increased from day 3(-12.90%～10.16%) to day 15(-21.27%～72.46%).Moreover,the algal growth inhibition rate was positively correlated with the inhibition rate of SOD activity or Chl-a synthesis,with the correlation coefficients were 0.6713 and 0.5217,respectively.Algal cells would be stimulating to produce excessive reactive oxygen species,which would cause peroxidation in the cells,thereby destroying chloroplasts,inhibiting chlorophyll synthesis and reducing photosynthesis.With increasing exposure time,irreversible damage to algae can lead to death.This study is expected to enhance our understanding of the ecological risks through algal tests caused by TDE.     

大气自净能力指数的气候特征与应用研究

为了定量地评估污染气象条件对空气污染的作用并实现对空气污染潜势的预报,本文在城市大气污染数值预报系统（CAPPS）预报原理的基础上,定义了大气自净能力指数,并分别给出了采用气象站观测资料和通过数值模拟计算大气自净能力指数的方法.基于气象站观测资料的全国大气自净能力指数分析计算表明,全国大气自净能力最差的地区分布在四川盆地和新疆塔里木盆地,大气自净能力最强的地区分布在青藏高原、蒙古高原、云贵高原、以及东北平原和三江平原、山东半岛和海南岛;1961~2017年,京津冀、长三角和珠三角地区的大气自净能力指数呈下降的变化趋势,全年低自净能力日数呈上升的变化趋势.采用大气自净能力指数评估2014年北京APEC会议期间大气污染防控效果,表明在11月8~10日极端不利扩散气象条件发生时,减排措施使北京市空气质量AQI平均降低77%,使京津冀平原地区11个城市的空气质量AQI平均降低37%.基于国家气候中心月动力延伸气候预测模式（DERF2.0）的预报产品和中尺度模式（WRF）,建立了可以预测全国未来40d逐日大气自净能力指数的延伸期-月尺度大气污染潜势预测系统,回报实验表明,在大多数情况下可以提前15d预报出大气重污染过程;月尺度的大气重污染过程预报效果更大程度上取决于月动力延伸气候预测模式（DERF2.0）的预报准确率.     

空空导弹定延寿技术应用研究

介绍了国外典型的定延寿方法,以美国为代表采用的跟踪监测法和以俄罗斯为代表采用的加速试验法,之后概述了国内常用的厂内寿命试验法、领先使用法、外场信息法、工程分析法、加速试验法。在此基础上,总结了适用于国内空空导弹开展定延寿工作的方法,最后对深入开展空空导弹定延寿技术研究提出了几点建议。     

A Variance Estimator for Constrained Estimates of Change in Relative Categorical Frequencies

Consistent estimators of change and state becomes an issue when sample data come from a mix of permanent and temporary observation units. A joint maximum likelihood estimator of state and change creates estimates of state that depend on antecedent viz. posterior survey results and may differ from estimates of state derived from a single-date analysis of the sample data. A constrained estimator of change in relative categorical frequencies that eliminates this potential inconsistency is proposed and a model based estimator of their sampling variance is developed. The performance of the constrained estimator is quantified against six criteria and a joint maximum likelihood estimator in simulated sampling from 15 populations with three combinations of permanent and temporary samples, four to six categorical class attributes, and constant size between sampling dates. Bias of the constrained estimators was negligible but larger than for joint maximum likelihood estimators. Mean absolute deviations and variances of constrained estimators were generally at par with the joint estimators. Constrained estimators of root mean square errors and achieved coverage of nominal confidence intervals of constrained estimators were occasionally better. A generalized variance function for the constrained estimates of change is provided as a computational shortcut.     

发光细菌法评价工业废水的毒性

用发光细菌测定法估算了两城市污水对河道水体污染的分担率，评价了工厂排放废水的毒性，并据此确定了污染源监督管理中应优先治理的工厂（车间）废水。     

沿江施工产生悬浮物对环境影响分析

通过对太仓港围滩吹填工程施工过程泥浆水的采样分析，研究涉及工程施工过程泥浆扩散和演变规律；进而评价吹填工程施工引起悬浮物的增加对水质、水生生物和鱼类的影响。     

8级大震的预测研究讨论

两个8级地震的预测在某种程度上被验证了。一个是 2001 年11月14 日昆仑山口西 8.1 级大震,另一个是 2003年9 月27日中蒙俄交界处的7.9 级地震(矩震级为 8级)。基于月球最北直下点的引潮力触发效应和8级大震的三性法分析,我们预测在2005～2008年间,西藏南部和附近地区可能再次发生 8级大震。     

甲基紫褪色光度法测定电镀废水中微量的铜

研究了在HNO3介质 ,95℃沸水浴中 ,Cu2 + 催化过氧化氢氧化甲基紫褪色反应的适宜条件及影响因素 ,据此建立了动力学褪色光度法测定微量Cu2 + 的新方法。方法的线性范围为 0～ 12 0 μg L ,表观摩尔吸光系数为 2 88× 10 5L mol·cm ,最大吸收波长为 5 80nm ,方法的检出限为 1 79× 10 - 1 0 μg L。该法应用于电镀废水中铜的测定 ,结果令人满意。     

植物油脂废水处理工艺经济性分析

分析了植物油废水处理工艺，从工艺流程选择、预处理单元组合，絮凝剂优选、生物处理、污泥处理几方面讨论了提高植物油废水处理经济性的措施。