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91.
Jorge M. Mendes Patrícia Cortés de Zea Bermudez José Pereira K. F. Turkman M. J. P. Vasconcelos 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2010,17(1):1-28
In Portugal, due to the combination of climatological and ecological factors, large wildfires are a constant threat and due
to their economic impact, a big policy issue. In order to organize efficient fire fighting capacity and resource management,
correct quantification of the risk of large wildfires are needed. In this paper, we quantify the regional risk of large wildfire
sizes, by fitting a Generalized Pareto distribution to excesses over a suitably chosen high threshold. Spatio-temporal variations
are introduced into the model through model parameters with suitably chosen link functions. The inference on these models
are carried using Bayesian Hierarchical Models and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. 相似文献
92.
David W. Clow Harrison Forrester Benjamin Miller Heidi Roop James O. Sickman Hodon Ryu Jorge Santo Domingo 《Environmental management》2013,52(6):1400-1414
During 2010–2011, a study was conducted in Sequoia and Kings Canyon National Parks (SEKI) to evaluate the influence of pack animals (stock) and backpackers on water quality in wilderness lakes and streams. The study had three main components: (1) a synoptic survey of water quality in wilderness areas of the parks, (2) paired water quality sampling above and below several areas with differing types and amounts of visitor use, and (3) intensive monitoring at six sites to document temporal variations in water quality. Data from the synoptic water quality survey indicated that wilderness lakes and streams are dilute and have low nutrient and Escherichia coli concentrations. The synoptic survey sites were categorized as minimal use, backpacker-use, or mixed use (stock and backpackers), depending on the most prevalent type of use upstream from the sampling locations. Sites with mixed use tended to have higher concentrations of most constituents (including E. coli) than those categorized as minimal-use (P ≤ 0.05); concentrations at backpacker-use sites were intermediate. Data from paired-site sampling indicated that E. coli, total coliform, and particulate phosphorus concentrations were greater in streams downstream from mixed-use areas than upstream from those areas (P ≤ 0.05). Paired-site data also indicated few statistically significant differences in nutrient, E. coli, or total coliform concentrations in streams upstream and downstream from backpacker-use areas. The intensive-monitoring data indicated that nutrient and E. coli concentrations normally were low, except during storms, when notable increases in concentrations of E. coli, nutrients, dissolved organic carbon, and turbidity occurred. In summary, results from this study indicate that water quality in SEKI wilderness generally is good, except during storms; and visitor use appears to have a small, but statistically significant influence on stream water quality. 相似文献
93.
Jorge H. García Matthew T. Heberling Hale W. Thurston 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》2011,47(1):52-58
García, Jorge H., Matthew T. Heberling, and Hale W. Thurston, 2011. Optimal Pollution Trading Without Pollution Reductions: A Note. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) 47(1):52‐58. DOI: 10.1111/j.1752‐1688.2010.00476.x Abstract: Various kinds of water pollution occur in pulses (e.g., agricultural and urban runoff). Ecosystems, such as wetlands, can serve to regulate these pulses and smooth pollution distributions over time. This smoothing reduces total environmental damages when “instantaneous” damages are marginally increasing. This paper introduces a water quality trading model between a farm (a pulse‐pollution source) and a firm (a more steady pollution source) where the object of exchange is the “temporary” retention of runoff as opposed to total runoff reductions. The optimal trading ratio requires firm emissions to be offset by more than a proportional retention of the initial agricultural runoff pulse. The reason is twofold: (1) emissions are steady or constant over time and, in this sense, have relatively larger environmental impact; and (2) certain kinds of runoff management cause delayed environmental damages. 相似文献
94.
Jorge A. Achcar Eliane R. Rodrigues Guadalupe Tzintzun 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2011,18(2):271-290
In this paper we make use of some stochastic volatility models to analyse the behaviour of a weekly ozone average measurements
series. The models considered here have been used previously in problems related to financial time series. Two models are
considered and their parameters are estimated using a Bayesian approach based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods.
Both models are applied to the data provided by the monitoring network of the Metropolitan Area of Mexico City. The selection
of the best model for that specific data set is performed using the Deviance Information Criterion and the Conditional Predictive
Ordinate method. 相似文献
95.
Jorge Alberto Achcar Josmar Mazucheli Emílio Augusto Coelho-Barros 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2011,18(2):315-329
In this paper we present a hierarchical Bayesian analysis for a predator–prey model applied to ecology considering the use
of Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. We consider the introduction of a random effect in the model and the presence of a covariate
vector. An application to ecology is considered using a data set related to the plankton dynamics of lake Geneva for the year
1990. We also discuss some aspects of discrimination of the proposed models. 相似文献
96.
Baseline levels of PCDD/Fs in soil and herbage samples collected in the vicinity of a new hazardous waste incinerator in Catalonia,Spain 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
Schuhmacher M Agramunt MC Rodriguez-Larena MC Díaz-ferrero J Domingo JL 《Chemosphere》2002,46(9-10):1343-1350
The construction in Constantí (Catalonia, Spain) of a new hazardous waste incinerator (HWI), which is the first one in Spain, finished in 1999. In order to determine the temporal variation (1996–1998) in the concentrations of polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins (PCDDs) and dibenzofurans (PCDFs) in the vicinity of the new HWI, 40 soil and 40 herbage samples were collected (1998) at the same sampling points in which samples had been taken two years before (1996). Each sample was analyzed for PCDDs and PCDFs by high resolution gas chromatography/high resolution mass spectrometry. In the 1996 survey, PCDD/F concentrations in soils ranged from 0.13 to 24.20 ng I-TEQ/kg (d.m.), with median and mean values of 0.67 and 1.68 ng I-TEQ/kg (d.m.), respectively. In the present study, PCDD/F concentrations ranged from 0.12 to 17.20 ng I-TEQ/kg (d.m.), with a median value of 0.75 ng I-TEQ/kg (d.m.) and a mean value of 1.59 ng I-TEQ/kg (d.m.). In turn, in the present study PCDD/F concentrations in vegetation ranged from 0.14 to 2.01 ng I-TEQ/kg (d.m.) (median and mean values: 0.23 and 0.31 ng I-TEQ/kg, respectively), while in the 1996 survey PCDD/F concentrations ranged from 0.24 to 1.22 ng I-TEQ/kg (d.m.) (median and mean values: 0.53 and 0.61 ng I-TEQ/kg, respectively). According to the present (1998) and the previous (1996) levels of PCDD/Fs found in soils and vegetation, the area under potential influence of the new facility shows a rather low contamination by these compounds. The current results should be useful to establish the environmental impact of the HWI. 相似文献
97.
Guimarães Tábata C. Araújo Everton S. Hernández-Macedo María Lucila López Jorge A. 《Journal of Polymers and the Environment》2022,30(7):2669-2684
Journal of Polymers and the Environment - In recent decades, the global accumulation of plastics and the resulting pollution, as well as the increase in the price of oil, have driven studies aimed... 相似文献
98.
Gonzlez-Arias Judith Snchez Marta E. Cara-Jimnez Jorge Baena-Moreno Francisco M. Zhang Zhien 《Environmental Chemistry Letters》2022,20(1):211-221
Environmental Chemistry Letters - The replacement of traditional and non-renewable resources by shifting towards renewable-based strategies is a strategy implemented by the European Union... 相似文献
99.
Montaño-González Ricardo Iván Gutiérrez-Salmeán Gabriela Mojica-Villegas María Angélica Cristóbal-Luna José Melesio Briseño-Bugarín Jorge Chamorro-Cevallos Germán 《Environmental science and pollution research international》2022,29(12):17441-17455
Environmental Science and Pollution Research - Cadmium (Cd) is known for its many toxic effects on male population such as hypogonadism and fertility difficulties, which are oftenly associated with... 相似文献
100.
Montaud Jean-Marc Davalos Jorge Pécastaing Nicolas 《Environmental Modeling and Assessment》2022,27(5):853-853
Environmental Modeling & Assessment - 相似文献