基于风险指数RI的选址评价在LNG储备库中的应用

研究基于风险指数RI的选址评价方法,确定评价方法的框架和程序,并将该评价方法用于某拟建LNG储备库的选址.结果表明,沸腾液体扩展蒸气爆炸在拟建LNG储备库可能发生的事故中的后果最严重.以沸腾液体扩展蒸汽爆炸的计算结果为依据,在GIS中对LNG储备库进行缓冲区分析,得到直观显示的事故影响区域和影响对象.计算拟建LNG储备库的选址风险并与可接受风险水平进行比较,确定选址的合理性且适当调整周边布局.研究表明,基于风险指数RI的选址评价方法对合理确定重大工程选址是切实可行的.     

危险品运输泄漏引发的河流污染事故模拟研究

针对农药运输过程中发生翻车泄漏事故造成的河流污染,结合SMS软件中的二维有限元水动力模块RMA2及美国环境保护署推出的WASP软件进行模拟研究.利用RMA2模拟水在河流系统中的物理运动,通过一定的转换规则将RMA2输出的结果转变为WASP所需要的形式,运行WASP得到污染物浓度在空间和时间上的变化规律并加以分析.模拟结果表明:在泄漏事故后不久,污染物还没有完全扩散到泄漏点对岸;在一段时间后,在横向扩散的作用下,污染物开始整个横断面上蔓延,断面横向浓度梯度不断减小,但还没有达到完全混合;断面浓度最大值开始从泄漏一侧向河流中心迁移.最后,针对研究案例提出与模拟结果相应的预警分析和应急措施.     

风险感知理论模型及影响因子分析

笔者目的在于通过文献凝练,明确风险感知在现代风险评估体系中的重要性,分析风险感知研究中亟需解决的定量化分析等关键问题,并提出相应的解决办法。通过心理测量范式和社会认知模型等经典理论方法的研究,梳理总结出适用于风险感知研究的理论模型;同时,对风险感知影响因子进行了定量化测量并对文化理论进行了探讨。结果表明,情绪因子使得63%的人产生面对风险时的态度波动。其中,愤怒和恐惧是体现最为明显的情绪类型。风险目标因子则直接影响人们对风险等级的判断。文化理论等方法表明,面对风险人们因心理特征和个性差异有不同行为选择并形成4种不同类别的人群。最后得出,风险感知是风险中人群行为决策和风险判断过程的基础,其中情绪因子应为今后相关研究探讨重点。     

地铁运行引起建筑物振动的三维有限元分析

随着城市轨道交通的迅猛发展,大量建筑设施不可避免地受到周边铁路或地铁列车振动的影响。基于并行计算集群平台,建立了车辆-轨道-高架桥-基础-地基-建筑物耦合的大型三维有限元分析模型,得到了不同工况下列车运行引起地表及临近建筑结构的振动特征。主要结论如下:不同高度的建筑物在同一楼层的振级相差极小;随着车速的提高,建筑物各楼层的振级均呈逐渐增大趋势;此外,各楼层的振级随建筑物距高架桥距离的增大而逐渐减小。一般高度的建筑物各楼层的振级基本沿高度单调增加,顶层振级最大,而高层建筑物却有明显的拐点,在中间某层出现最大振级。建筑物各层楼板的竖直向振动峰值速度远大于水平向振动峰值。     

高效纤维素降解菌分离筛选、复合菌系构建及秸秆降解效果分析

从川西高原贡嘎山区杜鹃林下土壤中分离纤维素降解菌,构建具有高效降解纤维素能力的复合菌系,并对秸秆降解效果进行分析,为农业废弃物的循环利用提供菌种资源和理论依据.样品及经风干、高温等预处理后,采用平板涂布法进行分离,共获得79株菌株;通过刚果红实验对分离获得的菌株进行初步筛选,运用DNS法测定各菌株的羧甲基纤维素酶活(Carboxymethyl cellulase,CMCase),复筛得到15株具有CMCase活能力的菌株.经滤纸条崩解实验、秸秆崩解实验及降解率测定,最终确定了各菌株的纤维素降解能力,进一步经拮抗实验,选取相互无拮抗的菌株构建5个复合菌系:A(112、146、156、171),B(145、147、150、153),C(110、116、174),D(147、154、171),E(145、146、150、152、153).复合菌系的滤纸酶活(Fpase)与秸秆降解率测定结果显示,组合C对秸秆的降解率较单菌株116提高了50.71%,组合D对秸秆的降解率较单菌株154提高了41.54%.经形态学和分子生物学鉴定,纤维素降解能力比较好的两个组合中的菌株分别被鉴定为类芽孢杆菌属(Paenibacillus sp.)、芽孢杆菌属(Bacillus sp.)、不动杆菌属(Acinetobacter sp.)以及链霉菌属(Streptomyces sp.).本研究表明,复合菌系纤维素降解能力优于单一菌株,C、D两组复合菌系表现出较高的纤维素降解能力,具有进一步开发的价值.     

一起钢质无缝气瓶爆炸事故技术分析

文章简要描述了一起消防气体灭火钢质气瓶爆炸事故,对爆炸气瓶进行了断口分析、金相试验和理化试验,并分析了事故的原因,提醒制造厂家规范制造工艺,对预防类似事故的发生具有一定的参考意义。     

磷在农田溪流中的动态变化

磷是水体富营养化的限制因子,河流系统是农业非点源污染物的主要运移通道,污染物在河流中的持留控制着污染物向受纳水体的输出.本次研究对象是巢湖流域一个长约1.8 km的农田源头溪流六岔河,河流由4个渠道型、1个水塘型和3个河口型断面构成,长度分别为1.3 km、0.15 km和0.36 km.在河流上设置9个监测点研究总磷、磷酸盐和悬浮物在六岔河中的持留空间特征,评价人为严重干扰下的农田溪流在农业非点源污染物运移中的生态功能.结果表明:总磷、磷酸盐、悬浮物在溪流中的持留和释放受溪流的渠道型、水塘型和河口型断面控制,水塘型和河口型断面是污染物持留的主要区域,总磷、磷酸盐和悬浮物在水塘型、河口型断面内的持留量分别占溪流持留量的58%、77%和58%;污染物在降雨-径流过程中的持留是溪流持留的主要部分,总磷、磷酸盐和悬浮物的持留分别占溪流持留量的96%、98%和93%;渠道型断面是溪流最主要的内在污染源,总磷、磷酸盐和悬浮物的释放分别占溪流释放量的93%、99%和94%;养分和悬浮物在渠道型断面中具有不同的持留特性,而位于水塘前的渠道型断面在基流和降雨-径流过程中均能有效地持留污染物.     

Arsenic species in the well water and sediments of the blackfoot disease area in Taiwan

The blackfoot disease (BFD) observed in southwestern Taiwan is due to drinking high arsenic concentrations in well water. This paper presents some results concerning the distributions of arsenic species in water and sediments collected in the BFD (well, river and coastal) area and the background (lake and ocean) area for comparison. The results show that the concentrations of arsenate (870 ± 26 ug/L) and arsenite (70.2 ± 2.6 ug/ L) in well waters, and the contents of arsenic (1640 ug/g) with high percentage of easily reducible (Fe and Mn oxides, 91.7%) and exchangeable and carbonate (4.6%) phases in well sediments were much higher than those in river, lake and coastal samples. Low arsenic (3.46–31.8 ug/g) with high percentages (73.8–97.3%) of detritus and minerals phase with low percentages (0.4–9.8%) of total carbonate and exchangeable phases were found in the river and coastal samples in the BFD area as well as the lake and ocean samples in background area. It might suggest that the higher concentrations of toxic As(III) in well water and arsenic with higher values of easily reducible, carbonate and exchangeable phases in the well sediments, combined with the higher values of dissolved organic carbon, humic and fulvic acids and aromatic carbon as well as the higher fluorescence indensity in the well water are the key factors to cause the BFD in Taiwan.     

Sustainability analysis of Chinese transport policy

SUMMARY

Whilst the world economy is developed, the life and development of human beings have been threatened by the imbalance between environmental and ecological aspects. Thus, sustainability is becoming increasingly the focus of various social fields. For most developing countries, a strategy with good sustainability for social development is of long-term significance to keep the economy in expansion. This paper first reviews the conceptual framework and up-to-date development of sustainability. Second, it reviews the current transport situation of China and its future demands. Third, the paper analyses transport policy from the viewpoints of energy consumption and environment pollution caused by transportation. It finally summarises suggestions for transport policy that China should consider in the future.     

Ecological restoration,social-economic changes and sustainable development in the Three Gorges Reservoir area: A case study in Yunyang,Chongqing Municipality

The Three Gorges Reservoir area contains high mountains and deep valleys. The fragile mountainous ecosystems are facing problems such as overpopulation, less available farmland, ecological degradation and poverty. The construction of the Three Gorges Project and a series of ecological restoration activities and social-economic changes have influenced the present and future viability of this area. The measures which have been taken indicate that restoring and renewing the degraded ecosystems and improving the economy is a prerequisite and is possible. Yunyang, a typical county, both in terms of poverty and ecological degradation in the Three Gorges Reservoir area of Chongqing Municipality, was chosen for the case study. This paper discusses the impacts of the Grain-for-Green project, ecological agriculture, urban and infrastructure building and ecological immigrants on the regional sustainable development through detailed field investigation and a questionnaire survey.