基于轴-辐理论的皖江城市带物流网络空间构建

大力发展现代物流业和皖江城市带承接产业转移示范区建设是两大重要国家级战略。首先对轴-辐理论的国内外研究现状进行了总结和归纳，分析了轴-辐网络的结构及其优劣势。其次，设计了物流中心性指数的评价指标体系，运用主成分分析法对皖江城市带的9个地级城市进行物流节点等级划分，根据分析结果的总得分和区位特征确定合肥、芜湖、安庆3个一级物流节点，形成轴三角。分析了各级物流节点间的干线及支线物流通道，构建了皖江城市带轴-辐物流网络空间。     

A Note on the Use of Conservation Practices in U.S. Agriculture

This article measures the effect of an increase in productivityattributable to an increase in soil organic carbon associated with theincrease in the use of conservation practices in agriculture in theUnited States. Both the direct and indirect effects are calibrated. Theanalytical approach used consists of a dynamic computable generalequilibrium model composed of 14 producing sectors, 10 consumingsectors, seven household categories classified by income, and agovernment. The results suggest that the impact of a change inproductivity is an increase in output over a six year period starting in1998 in field crops. The most significant impact is felt in thelivestock sector. This is because field crops are a major input in theproduction of livestock. The food processing sector also exhibits arelatively large increase because of the increase in inputs of both fieldcrops and livestock. Manufacturing output increases primarily becauseoverall investment rises and most investment utilizes manufacturinggoods. The other producing sectors are generally unaffected by theincrease in agricultural production due to an increase in soil organiccarbon. Coincident with the increase in the production of field cropsis a relatively large decrease in the price of field crops. Othernoticeable price reductions occur in the livestock sector and the foodprocessing sector. For the consuming sectors, the consumption offood and alcohol and tobacco increase but consumption in all of theother sectors remains basically unchanged. Prices in the food andalcohol and tobacco sectors decline by about 1% while theprices in the other sectors remain static. Household welfare increasesin the aggregate by only 0.1% with this increase occurringuniformly across all household categories. Revenue received by thegovernment increases a modest 2% in response to an increase inoutput and, hence, an increase in taxes paid. The results indicate thatthere are significant production benefits for several sectors that can berealized by an increase in the use of conservation practices inagricultural production which, in turn, enhances soil organic carbon.There are a number of policy options available to promote the use ofconservation practices. These include education and technicalassistance, financial assistance, research and development, landretirement, and regulation and taxes.     

农地城市流转中农民集体福利均衡分析

农地城市流转中不同利益集团的福利状况韭已成为学者和政策制定者关注的焦点.农民集体作为影响最为深刻的利益集团之一,其福利在农地城市流转中能否实现以及如何实现均衡成为本文研究的核心内容.本文首先介绍了农民集体福利的概念及其测度方法,然后论述福利均衡的概念,提出农民集体福利均衡分析的三个假设,在此基础上,对农地城市流转中的农民集体福利进行分析,提出实现农民集体福利均衡的条件,结果表明农地城市流转中农民集体福利均衡的必要条件为农民集体获得的经济补偿大于或等于其福利损失.然后通过比较分析发现当前土地征收中农民集体获得的福利补偿不能弥补其福利损失,农地城市流转前后农民集体福利呈现不均衡状态.最后提出农地城市流转中要尊重农民集体的土地产权,进一步提高农地征收的补偿标准,使农民集体获得的货币补偿能够弥补其由于土地财产损失造成的福利损失,以实现农民集体福利的均衡;政府应当通过改善农村交通、通讯、电力、饮水、居住等条件,完善农村社会保障体系等措施提高农民集体的福利水平,以弥补农民集体土地发展权受限造成的二次福利损失.     

基于数量化理论Ⅱ的鄂西北山区坡面土壤侵蚀强度评价

水土流失既是资源问题，又是生态环境问题。土壤侵蚀对人类生存和发展构成了严重威胁，成为制约可持续发展的障碍因素。以鄂西北丹江口库区郧西县坡面径流小区为试验点，通过分析小区的实地观测数据，建立坡面土壤侵蚀定性评价指标体系，并将数量化理论II作为有效的数学方法，建立郧西县坡面径流小区土壤侵蚀强度评价模型，对参与建立模型的样本进行回归分析，其准判率达到800%以上，并且利用该模型对其他年份坡面土壤侵蚀强度实测数据进行对比验证，得到土壤侵蚀强度分级的精度较高。研究表明，建立的郧西县坡面径流小区土壤侵蚀强度评价模型有较好的适用性与可靠性，可为郧西县及类似自然地理环境的其他区域水保工作起到一定指导意义     

Use of Scale Invariance in Evaluating Judgement Indicators

Indicators are used to draw conclusions about ecological endpoints when these endpoints cannot be measured directly. In many cases, inferences about an endpoint are only possible because assumptions have been made about the relationship between indicator and endpoint; we refer to such indicators as judgement indicators. The validity of inferences made using a judgement indicator can be gauged by examining the known or assumed form of the general relationship between indicator and endpoint. The rules for this kind of inference are a consequence of scale invariance, which originates from measurement theory. For simple indicators comprised of a single indicator measurement, the inferences allowed – equivalence, rank, equality of intervals, and equality of ratios – depend on whether the data are nominal, ordinal, interval, or ratio scaled. For composite indicators containing two or more simple indicators, inferences are also affected by the mathematical form of combination; e.g., whether the terms are summed or multiplied. Standardizing simple or composite indicators can allow inferences about the relative importance of observations, based on the natural range of occurrence. Scale invariance is a particularly important consideration in landscape assessments, since these often make use of judgement indicators.     

基于灰色模糊理论的尾矿库安全评价方法研究

针对专家评分法对较小分数差异对象的评价结果存在较大误差,提出了一种模糊灰色综合评价方法.该方法的实质是通过灰色隶属度算子U的作用,放大系统内各种信息的差异,并使相似信息得到压缩,同时,根据类别之间的隶属度信息确定类别权系数.应用结果表明,模糊灰色综合评价方法和专家评分方法相比更符合实际情况.     

工业水环境监管契约研究

对工业污水排放的有效监管是水环境保护的重要环节。分析了我国目前监管主体所处的困境，考虑中央监察与公众参与的监督约束作用，构建了水环境监管体系。并设计出具有激励约束惩罚效力的水环境监管契约，建立委托 代理模型，通过求解得出监管契约中污水排放标准、监管频率、补偿额度以及罚款数额的最优值。在此基础上，以太湖流域两个成本类型差异较大的印染企业为例，定量设计两级水环境监管契约，分析公众参与程度和地方政府庇护企业程度对契约取值的影响。结果表明：提高公众参与程度可以有效降低罚款额度，削减政企矛盾；当公众参与程度和惩罚额度一定时，通过环境问责等制度降低地方政府庇护企业的程度，能够减小监管频率，从而削减监管执行成本     

无性系林业的研究进展

介绍了无性系林业的基本理论及其发展状况,分析了无性系林业的优缺点,提出了无性系林业的发展方向。     

Sorption of chlorpyrifos and fonofos on four soils and turfgrass thatch using membrane filters

Abstract

Chemical transport in soil is a major factor influencing soil and water contamination. Four soils and turfgrass thatch, representing a wide range of organic carbon OC content were studied to determine sorption K_d and K_f parameters for the insecticides chlorpyrifos and fonofos. The batch equilibrium method was used. The concentration of insecticide was measured in the solution as well as in the solid phase to determine the most accurate sorption data. Four soils and thatch were equilibrated for 24 h at 22 ± 1^OC with aqueous insecticide solutions. Four concentrations of the insecticides, each <50% of their respective water solubilities, were selected for the experiments. After extraction with an organic solvent, the concentration of insecticides in the aqueous solution was determined by gas liquid chromatography using electron capture detection for chlorpyrifos, and nitrogen/phosphorus detection for fonofos. Data obtained were fitted to the log and simple linear form of the Freundlich equation. Mass balance Freundlich isotherm exponents n ranged between 0.82 and 0.93 for chlorpyrifos. 0.82 and 1.21 for fonofos, with r² ≥ 0.97. K_oc (percent of organic carbon %OC normalized Sorption coefficient) values were calculated by using experimentally developed K_d and K_f coefficients in relation to OC levels from 0.29 to 34.85%. K_d and K_f coefficients of both insecticides were positively correlated with OC (r² ≥ 0.96). organic matter OM (r² ≥ 0.96), and cation exchange capacity CEC (r² ≥ 0.90).     

特大黄土滑坡事故责任认定中的岩土力学问题

在滑坡影响因素研究的基础上，采用极限平衡和数值模拟的方法分析了西部某矿山特大黄土滑坡灾害的发生机理，认为此次滑坡是在断层和地下开采等不利条件下，由大气集中降水诱发黄土湿陷形成的推移式滑坡，与管线漏水形成的“过湿带”不构成直接因果关系，为事故责任认定，解决矛盾纠纷提供了理论依据。