铬污染土壤超低频复电阻率频散特性

在超低频段(2-5~26Hz)内,研究了铬污染土壤复电阻率在不同含水率、铬含量和孔隙率下的幅值及相位频散特性. 结果显示,铬污染土壤复电阻率的幅值随频率的增大呈单调递减趋势,但相位随频率的变化曲线呈平放的S形. 含水率、铬含量和孔隙率的变化均会引起土壤复电阻率的幅值和相位大小的改变,而相位峰值的位置只对含水率及孔隙率的变化较为敏感,与铬含量变化的关系不大. 含水率从0.08增至0.24时可导致相位峰值的位置产生约8Hz的右移;而当w(Cr6+)从0.5g/kg增至4.0g/kg时,相位峰值的位置基本不发生变化. 表明铬含量和含水率的增大均会引起电阻率减小的异常现象,若单纯地使用电阻率很难区分引起这2种异常现象的原因,但结合土壤复电阻率频散特性特别是相位峰值的位置可以进行有效判别,进而可判定铬污染场地的铬含量分布.      

Providing health services during a civil war: the experience of a garrison town in South Sudan

The impact of conflict, particularly conflict arising during civil wars, on the provision of healthcare is a subject that has not been widely considered in conflict‐related research. Combatants often target health services to weaken or to defeat the enemy, while attempts to maintain or improve health systems also can comprise part of counter‐insurgency ‘hearts‐and‐minds’ strategies. This paper describes the dynamics associated with the provision of health services in Malakal, an important garrison town in South Sudan, during the second Sudanese civil war (1983–2005). Drawing on the concepts of opportunity hoarding and exploitation, it explores the social and political dynamics of service provision in and around the town during the war. These concepts provide a useful lens with which to understand better how health services are affected by conflict, while the empirical case study presented in the paper illustrates dynamics that may be repeated in other contexts. The concepts and case study set out in this paper should prove useful to healthcare providers working in conflict zones, including humanitarian aid agencies and their employees, increasing their understanding of the social and political dynamics that they are likely to face during future conflict‐related complex emergencies.     

基于自然保护区属性的管理成本分析

从自然保护区的管理成本构成入手,分析了自然保护区属性对不同尺度上管理成本的影响方式,在分类总结自然保护区管理成本的分析方法基础上,提出基于自然保护区属性的管理成本分析流程。该研究结果可为准确掌握自然保护区管理成本规模与构成、科学评估与预测资金投入后的使用效率与保护效果提供支持,并可为揭示自然保护区复合生态系统格局与过程提供新思路。     

加速填埋场稳定化进程复合菌系的构建

针对传统的填埋场稳定化时间长等问题,采用生物强化技术以加速填埋场的稳定化进程.以反复筛选与多次传代培养的性能稳定的功能菌群为基础,通过研究不同组合的功能菌群对填埋场所产渗滤液及填埋垃圾稳定过程的影响,构建了一组能加速填埋场稳定化进程的复合菌系.结果表明,该复合菌系较其他组合功能菌群对渗滤液指标影响最大,渗滤液的产量、COD和氨氮影响最大,使各指标在填埋初期达到峰值后明显消减,分别在49,30和44d后持续低于其他各组,且氨氮浓度130d后低于10mg/L,达到国家生活垃圾填埋场污染控制标准(GB 16889-2008)规定的渗滤液氨氮排放标准.渗滤液累计产量、COD和氨氮总量在整个填埋周期较对照组分别减少了26.66%、26.59%和25.40%,降低了填埋场的污染负荷.该复合菌系对垃圾稳定化指标影响最大,至填埋结束时,填埋垃圾TOC 、TN和C/N较对照组分别低39.6%、18.95%和25.48%,垃圾沉降率和总有机质生物降解率分别较对照组提高了9.99%和26.23%.     

Should all disaster risks be reduced? A perspective from the systems concept of the edge of chaos

The field of disaster risk reduction (DRR) has risen to prominence since the declaration of the International Decade of Disaster Risk Reduction between 1990 and 2000. This decade provided the impetus for a change from the predominant paradigm of disaster response to that of disaster risk reduction as a means of addressing the underlying drivers that lead to disasters. In an effort to promote risk reduction, the UNISDR (the principal agency for disaster risk reduction within the UN structure) formulated policies and strategies to provide both conceptual and practical guidance as to how risk should be reduced. However noble the efforts, this paper contends that the current approach to and understanding of risk within the international community might not be cognisant of complex adaptive systems (CAS) concepts such as the edge of chaos. Specifically, this concept argues that risk (or chaos) within a system is actually a fundamental requirement to the functioning of all resilient socio-ecological systems. Therefore, the reduction of risk without an understanding of the role of that risk within the larger socio-ecological system might actually end up reducing the system’s overall level of disaster resilience. This paper aims to explore the concept of edge of chaos through a literature review of key theoretical works on the topic, followed by a discussion on its implications for the predominant paradigm of risk reduction within disaster risk management policy and practice.     

中国区域物流系统脆弱性评估研究

为了提升区域物流系统可靠性与可持续发展能力,基于复杂系统理论对区域物流系统脆弱性进行概念界定,构建了区域物流系统脆弱性的概念模型;在分析区域物流系统脆弱性影响因素的基础上,提出了脆弱性评价指标体系及综合评价模型,并对中国大陆地区31个省（直辖市、自治区）区域物流系统脆弱性的空间分异特征进行了研究。研究表明:全国层面的区域物流系统脆弱性两极分化的空间分异特征显著,具有明显的“西高东低”特征;高生态环境脆弱性和高社会脆弱性是区域物流系统脆弱性居高的主要原因;全国的区域物流系统生态环境脆弱性普遍偏高,而东部地区物流系统资源脆弱性最高。     

基于最佳范化能力的BP网络隐节点数反比关系式的环境预测模型

网络结构和样本集复杂性是影响BP网络泛化能力的两个最重要因素.对一个给定的训练样本集,为了构造一个与样本集复杂性相匹配的网络结构,使BP网络具有最佳泛化能力,在分析BP网络的泛化能力（用检测误差E₂表示）与网络结构和样本集复杂性之间关系的基础上,建立了含参数的BP网络检测误差E₂与网络隐节点数H、样本的因子数n、样本数N和样本集的复相关系数R之间的一般关系表达式,并提出了用于定量描述样本集复杂性的"广义"复相关系数R_n的新概念.借助于222个复杂函数的模拟仿真实验,应用免疫进化算法,对表达式中的参数进行优化,得到参数优化后的网络检测误差E₂的定量解析表达式;依据误差理论和灵敏度概念,对优化得到的最小检测误差E₂₀的表达式进行了可靠性论证.在此基础上导出了具有最佳泛化能力的BP网络隐节点数H₀与"广义"复相关系数R_n之间满足的H₀-R_n反比关系式.分别用满足H₀-R_n反比关系式的隐节点数和6个经验公式的隐节点数构造的BP网络用于100个模拟检测函数进行仿真实验,发现前者构造的BP网络具有最佳泛化能力（即最小检测误差）的函数个数达到76个,远远多于后者构造的BP网络具有最佳泛化能力的函数个数;还将二者构造的BP网络用于环境预测的7个具体实例,进行预测效果比较,结果表明,前者预测的相对误差绝对值的平均值和最大值小于或远小于后者的相应值.从而验证了由H₀-R_n反比关系式得出的BP网络隐节点数计算公式的可行性和实用性,为具有最佳泛化能力的BP网络的结构设计指出了新途径.     

基于RepastS平台的太湖水环境系统承载力研究

运用计算实验方法,以计算机为工具,构造太湖水环境系统承载力模型,通过研究水和人类的各主体行为得出太湖水环境系统的整体特征,并通过人口、TP、TN、CODMn承载度来反映。研究结果表明太湖目前点源污染得到了有效控制,但面源污染和城镇生活用水污染尚需要重点治理。实验显示:通过系统参数的调整,将大大改善太湖现有水环境系统。     

两性-阳离子复配修饰塿土对苯酚的吸附

研究了采用两性表面修饰剂十二烷基二甲基甜菜碱(BS-12)和阳离子表面修饰剂十六烷基三甲基溴化铵(CTMAB)复配修饰塿土后对苯酚的吸附反应和热力学特征,并探讨其吸附机理.结果表明,复配修饰后的土样对苯酚的吸附能力明显增强.20℃时表现为CK(原土)<50BS(50%BS-12)<100BS(100%BS-12)<50BS+25CT(50%BS-12+ 25%CTMAB)<100BS+25CT (100%BS-12+25%CTMAB)<50BS+ 50CT(50%BS-12+50% CTMAB)<100BS+50CT(100%BS-12+50%CTMAB), 40℃时表现为CK(原土)<50BS(50%BS-12)<100BS (100%BS- 12)<50BS+25CT(50%BS-12+25%CTMAB)<50BS+50CT(50%BS-12+50%CTMAB)<100BS+25CT(100%BS-12+25%CTMAB)<100BS+50CT (100%BS-12+50%CTMAB).其吸附等温线可用Henry模型描述.供试土样对苯酚的吸附呈现放热焓减反应特征,属于焓减控制的自发性过程.     

The interactive effects of conscientiousness,openness to experience,and political skill on job performance in complex jobs: The importance of context

Caveats concerning the ability of personality to predict job performance have been raised because of seemingly modest criterion‐related validity. The goal of the present research was to test whether narrowing the context via the type of job (i.e., jobs with complex task demands) and adding a social skill‐related moderator (i.e., political skill) would improve performance prediction. Further, along with political skill, the broad factor of personality demonstrated in prior research to have the strongest criterion validity (i.e., conscientiousness) was joined with a narrow construct closely related to openness to experience (i.e., learning approach) in a three‐way interactive prediction of supervisor‐rated task performance. With the employee–supervisor dyads among professionals, but not with the control group of non‐professional employees, task performance was predicted by the three‐way interaction, such that those high on all three received the highest performance ratings. Implications, strengths and limitations, and directions for future research are discussed. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.