a study of the temporal variability of atrazine in private well water. part ii: analysis of data

In 1988, the Iowa Department of Natural Resources, along withthe University of Iowa, conducted the Statewide Rural WellWater Survey, commonly known as SWRL. A total of 686private rural drinking water wells was selected by use of aprobability sample and tested for pesticides and nitrate. A subsetof these wells, the 10% repeat wells, were additionally sampledin October, 1990 and June, 1991. Starting in November, 1991,the University of Iowa, with sponsorship from the United StatesEnvironmental Protection Agency, revisited the 10% repeat wellsto begin a study of the temporal variability of atrazine and nitratein wells. Other wells, which had originally tested positive foratrazine in SWRL but were not in the 10% population, wereadded to the study population. Temporal sampling for a year-long period began in February of 1992 and concluded in Januaryof 1993. All wells were sampled monthly, a subset was sampledweekly, and a second subset was sampled for 14 day consecutiveperiods. Of the 67 wells in the 10% population tested monthly,7 (10.4%) tested positive for atrazine at least once during theyear, and 3 (4%) were positive each of the 12 months. Theaverage concentration in the 7 wells was 0.10 µg/L. Fornitrate, 15 (22%) wells in the 10% repeat population monthlysampling were above the Maximum Contaminant Level of 10 mg/L at least once. This paper, the second of two papers on thisstudy, describes the analysis of data from the survey. The firstpaper (Lorber et al., 1997) reviews the study design, theanalytical methodologies, and development of the data base.     

Modeling the spatial pattern of farmland using GIS and multiple logistic regression: a case study of Maotiao River Basin, Guizhou Province, China

Land use change is an important topic in the field of global environmental change and sustainable development. Land use change modeling has attracted substantial attention because it helps researchers understand the mechanisms of land use change and assists regulatory bodies in formulating relevant policies. Maotiao River Basin is located in the province of Guizhou, China, which has a developed agricultural industry in the karst mountain areas. This paper selected biophysical and social–economic factors as independent variables, and constructed a multiple logistic regression of farmland spatial distribution probability by random sampling. Then, by using GIS technology and integrating the 2000 data, this study predicted the farmland spatial pattern. When the predicted map was compared with the actual farmland map for 2000, we noted that 71% of the simulation is in accordance with the 2000 farmland pattern. The result satisfactorily proves the reasonability and applicability of our model.     

2017年上半年北京市及周边地区空气质量特征分析

依托北京市、廊坊市和保定市高密度的地面空气质量监测、气象要素监测以及PM_2.5化学组分监测和后向轨迹分析等手段，对2017年上半年三地的空气质量进行分析。研究发现：三地中北京市空气质量较好，保定市较差。分污染物来看，保定市SO₂浓度水平明显高于廊坊市和北京市，颗粒物PM₁₀和PM_2.5也呈现保定市最高、北京市最低的规律。从污染物日变化来看，CO、SO₂、NO₂、PM₁₀和PM_2.5呈双峰型分布，O₃呈单峰型分布。从区域整体分布规律来看，PM_2.5和SO₂呈现明显的"南高北低"特征。PM_2.5化学组分分析结果表明：1—4月燃煤对该区域空气质量的影响较大，5—6月机动车排放的影响更为凸显。后向轨迹分析结果表明：在2017年上半年到达北京市的气流中有24%来自于北京市南部，且这些气流多为低空传输，表明区域传输对于北京市空气质量具有一定的影响。     

8级大震的预测研究讨论

两个8级地震的预测在某种程度上被验证了。一个是 2001 年11月14 日昆仑山口西 8.1 级大震,另一个是 2003年9 月27日中蒙俄交界处的7.9 级地震(矩震级为 8级)。基于月球最北直下点的引潮力触发效应和8级大震的三性法分析,我们预测在2005～2008年间,西藏南部和附近地区可能再次发生 8级大震。     

重庆市主城区大气中NO2浓度时空分布特征

利用2017年1月1日～2017年12月31日重庆市主城区17个国控空气质量监测站24 h自动连续采样的二氧化氮(NO_2)浓度小时数据,探讨九个主城区大气中NO_2浓度的时空分布特征、与气象参数之间的关系和气团运动的影响。结果表明,主城区大气NO_2浓度全年北碚区达标率较高(76.16%),渝中区达标率低(3.84%),日均浓度呈夏季前下降、夏季后上升的趋势;月均浓度表现为冬季月份浓度高,其次为春季、秋季和夏季月份;周六、周日、周一和周二的浓度均值较高,周三、周四和周五的较低;小时浓度基本呈5:00～11:00和16:00～20:00上升、其余时间段下降的变化趋势;大气NO_2浓度空间分布差异显著,西北地区(北碚)大气NO_2浓度偏低、渝中区及其附近区域浓度偏高。影响大气中的NO_2浓度的主要气象因素有:气温、降水量、气压、日照和相对湿度;四季气流输送中,春冬季气流轨迹相似,主要源自西部、西北部气流,春季气流轨迹的ρ(NO_2)最高,夏季最低。研究结果可为今后重庆市大气的治理提供研究基础。     

我国海域赤潮灾害的类型、分布与变化趋势

根据赤潮灾害发生的空间位置、水动力、营养物质来源等因素。将赤潮灾害类型划分为河口型、海湾型、养殖型、沿岸流型、上升流型和外海型六类。对赤潮灾害记录分析表明,河口型赤潮的发现次数占总数的30％,海湾型赤潮占29％,养殖型赤潮占27％,沿岸流型和上升流型均各占6％,外海型赤潮最少,只占2％。并讨论了不同类型的赤潮灾害发生的主要区域,除海湾型赤潮的发现次数呈下降趋势外,其他各类型成因的赤潮均呈上升趋势。     

多元回归分析法在突发性事故污染预测中的应用

运用多元回归性，通过预测模型的选择、基础数据系列化、回归模型的建立和回归效果的检验，建立了化学污染危害面积、纵深与诸条件的关系，达到了快速估算的目的，是突出性化学环境污染危害预测的一种方法。     

现代智力观对教学的启示

现代智力扩充了传统智力的内涵。从现代智力出发,提出了学校教育要注意开发学生的 多元智力。改革教育方法。贯彻因材施教,培养学生的创新能力。     

基于市域尺度的中国化肥施用与粮食产量的时空耦合关系

化肥施用是一把双刃剑,在促进粮食产量增加、保障粮食安全的同时,导致了生态环境退化,当前亟需辨明化肥施用与粮食生产之间的时空耦合关系,以便为维护粮食安全与生态安全提供有效的对策。以中国336个地级行政区为研究单元,分析2005-2015年中国粮食产量与化肥施用量的时空格局变化特征、化肥施用量与粮食产量的时空耦合关系及其动态变化过程。研究发现：（1）2005-2015年中国化肥施用量与粮食产量均呈上升趋势,化肥施用量的区内差异呈“粮食主产区—产销平衡区—粮食主销区”递减态势;而粮食产量的区域差异总体趋于增大,且呈“粮食主产区—产销平衡区—粮食主销区”递增态势。（2）化肥施用量增幅大致呈“东—中—西”阶梯式递增的趋势,而粮食产量增幅呈明显的南北分异特征。（3）从空间分布来看,胡焕庸线以东地区以“双高区”为主,胡焕庸线以西地区以“双低区”为主,且“低效施肥区”收缩,“他因素影响区”扩张。（4）期间,粮肥耦合关系以“双增型”为主,其他类型为辅,粮肥耦合关系主要向“双增型”与“他因素影响型”转变。     

多目标决策-理想点法综合评价淮北市地下水环境质量

运用多目标决策-理想点法对淮北市地下水质量进行评价,结果表明淮北市地下水质量达到了Ⅱ类水质标准以上,能够达到当地地下水环境功能区划要求.评价结果与实际情况一致,评价方法较精确,具有一定科学性.