NONLINEAR MODELING AND PREDICTION OF A RIVER FLOW SYSTEM1

ABSTRACT: Model estimation and prediction of a river flow system are investigated using nonlinear system identification techniques. We demonstrate how the dynamics of the system, rainfall, and river flow can be modeled using NARMAX (Nonlinear Autoregressive Moving Average with eXogenuous input) models. The parameters of the model are estimated using an orthogonal least squares algorithm with intelligent structure detection. The identification of the nonlinear model is described to represent the relationship between local rainfall and river flow at Enoree station (inputs) and river flow at Whitmire (output) for a river flow system in South Carolina.     

UV/H2O2光催化氧化法处理表面活性剂废水

采用UV/H2O2光催化氧化法处理含表面活性剂废水,考察了反应时间、体系pH值、表面活性剂初始浓度、H2O2投加量、表面活性剂的种类等因素对处理效果的影响,并初步探讨了表面活性剂降解的反应动力学.结果表明,当初始pH值为4、H2O2投加量为1mL/L,反应时间为20min时,表面活性剂DBS的去除率为96%,AOS的去除率为93%,且UV/H2O2体系中,表面活性剂DBS和AOS的降解反应均符合表观拟一级反应动力学特征.     

水质对UV/H_2O_2降解2,4-二氯酚的影响

研究了UV/H2O2工艺对2,4-二氯酚(2,4-DCP)的去除效果和水中阴离子、腐殖酸对该工艺降解2,4-DCP的影响。结果表明:UV/H2O2工艺可以有效的去除水中2,4-DCP,光降解过程符合一级反应动力学模型;在H2O2投加量为8mg/L,1个30W低压汞灯照射下,2,4-DCP在蒸馏水和自来水中光降解速率常数分别为0.0232/min和0.0162/min;NO3-、Cl-、HCO3-对2,4-DCP光降解有抑制作用;当3种离子浓度为0.5mmol/L、10mmol/L、20mmol/L时,对2,4-DCP光降解的抑制程度为HCO3->NO3->Cl-;随着离子浓度增大,抑制作用增强;自来水中的光降解速率常数低于蒸馏水中的光降解速率常数是由于水中多种离子影响的结果;腐殖酸在低浓度时,促进光降解反应的进行,在高浓度时,2,4-DCP的光降解氧化受到抑制。     

成都平原城市热岛效应的遥感分析

将AVHRR第4通道数据经过辐射校正,再计算得到等效辐射亮温。用城市与郊区的亮温之差代表热岛温度,并以摄氏温标表示。采用统计、平面等值线和三维立体等方法,统计分析了成都平原12个城市的热岛最大强度!Tmax;分析了成都市白天和夜间城市热岛的动态变化规律,从宏观上形象地展示了成都平原的城市热岛现象及其特点。研究证明:利用NOAA/热红外遥感数据进行城市热岛效应的快速监测和宏观动态分析是可行的。     

新型单级A/O程序无回流复合膜生物反应器处理氨氮废水的试验

采用单级A/O程序复合膜生物反应器(HSMBR)处理高氨氮废水,研究在低DO浓度下系统对有机物、氨氮和总氮的去除效率。研究结果表明:在低DO浓度下,CODCr、氨氮的平均去除率分别为94.4%和92.8%。由于进水CODCr/TN值仅为2.01,则使得总氮平均去除率仅为69.4%,但是当系统亚硝化累积率从60.5%～67.1%提高到83.5%～86.4%时,系统总氮去除率提高了17.7%。另外,维持低DO浓度可以实现亚硝酸型同时硝化反硝化反应。     

悬浮载体生物膜反应器修复受污染河水试验研究

利用自行开发的悬浮载体生物膜反应器 (SCBR)进行了修复受污染河水的试验 ,考察了水力停留时间对CODCr和氨氮去除效果的影响 .试验结果表明 ,在水温为 15～ 2 0℃ ,进水CODCr为 70～ 10 0mg/L ,进水氨氮为 8～ 2 0mg/L的条件下 ,反应器水力停留时间采用 1 0h时 ,SCBR反应器可以有效去除河水中的CODCr和氨氮 ,其中对CODCr的平均去除率可以达到 5 6 9% ,对氨氮的平均去除率可以达到 76 0 % .     

TiO_2光催化降解垃圾焚烧炉飞灰中二噁英的实验研究

光催化降解有机污染物是目前环保研究的热点课题。本文以垃圾焚烧炉的飞灰为对象,研究TiO2作为催化剂在500w汞灯照射下,飞灰中二噁英的随光照时间的降解效率。实验结果表明:在一定的光照条件下,TiO2光催化氧化分解二噁英的效率与飞灰本身的特性有关,特别是与飞灰含碳量以及铁等金属含量有关。飞灰中铁、铜等金属元素可促进二噁英光解,而碳则抑制了二噁英的光解。     

Accounting for time in Mitigating Global Warming through land-use change and forestry

Many proposed activities formitigating global warming in the land-use change and forestry(LUCF) sector differ from measures to avoid fossilfuel emissions because carbon (C) may be held out ofthe atmosphere only temporarily. In addition, thetiming of the effects is usually different. Many LUCFactivities alter C fluxes to and from the atmosphereseveral decades into the future, whereas fossil fuelemissions avoidance has immediate effects. Non-CO₂ greenhouse gases (GHGs), which are animportant part of emissions from deforestation inlow-latitude regions, also pose complications forcomparisons between fossil fuel and LUCF, since themechanism generally used to compare these gases(global warming potentials) assumes simultaneousemissions. A common numeraire is needed to expressglobal warming mitigation benefits of different kindsof projects, such as fossil fuel emissions reduction,C sequestration in forest plantations, avoideddeforestation by creating protected areas and throughpolicy changes to slow rates of land-use changes suchas clearing. Megagram (Mg)-year (also known as`ton-year') accounting provides a mechanism forexpressing the benefits of activities such as these ona consistent basis. One can calculate the atmosphericload of each GHG that will be present in each year,expressed as C in the form of CO₂ and itsinstantaneous impact equivalent contributed by othergases. The atmospheric load of CO₂-equivalent Cpresent over a time horizon is a possible indicator ofthe climatic impact of the emission that placed thisload in the atmosphere. Conversely, this index alsoprovides a measure of the benefit of notproducing the emission. One accounting methodcompares sequestered CO₂ in trees with theCO₂ that would be in the atmosphere had thesequestration project not been undertaken, whileanother method (used in this paper) compares theatmospheric load of C (or equivalent in non-CO₂GHGs) in both project and no-project scenarios.Time preference, expressed by means of a discount rateon C, can be applied to Mg-year equivalencecalculations to allow societal decisions regarding thevalue of time to be integrated into the system forcalculating global warming impacts and benefits. Giving a high value to time, either by raising thediscount rate or by shortening the time horizon,increases the value attributed to temporarysequestration (such as many forest plantationprojects). A high value for time also favorsmitigation measures that have rapid effects (such asslowing deforestation rates) as compared to measuresthat only affect emissions years in the future (suchas creating protected areas in countries with largeareas of remaining forest). Decisions on temporalissues will guide mitigation efforts towards optionsthat may or may not be desirable on the basis ofsocial and environmental effects in spheres other thanglobal warming. How sustainable development criteriaare incorporated into the approval and creditingsystems for activities under the Kyoto Protocol willdetermine the overall environmental and social impactsof pending decisions on temporal issues.     

CH_4火焰中CO_2对NO行为影响的实验研究

针对CH4 火焰中CO2 浓度对于NO降解的影响进行了详细地分析研究。结果表明 :过量空气系数对于NO的降解有着很大的影响。和氧化性气氛相比 ,还原性气氛更有利于NO的降解。同时还原性气氛中CO2 的存在降低了NO的降解率 ,而氧化性气氛中CO2 的存在能够促进NO的降解。在还原性气氛中 ,随着CO2 浓度的升高 ,其继续减少NO降解率的作用也越来越不明显     

焦化废水中有机物在A1-A2-O系统各段的降解与转化

在厌氧酸化－缺氧－好氧（A1－A2－O）生物膜系统小试装置中处理焦化废水，以探讨有机物在各阶段的降解与转化情况。通过UV吸收光谱及GC／MS分析发现，上海焦化厂废水中的有机组分主要为：甲酚、苯酚、二甲酚等酚类化合物，及以喹啉、吲哚为代表的含氮杂环化合物，约占有机物总量的90％。经A1－A2－O生物膜系统处理后，大部分有毒有害难降解有机物得到了降解和转化。厌氧段中原有物质浓度的增加和新物质的生成，是厌氧酸化使部分有机物降解产生中间产物而造成；缺氧段使大部分有机物被完全降解或转化，还产生一些新的简单有机物，如卤代烃、酯类、醛类等；经好氧段反应后，有机物进一步降解和转化，部分被完全去除，在降解转化过程中又产生了一些中间产物和衍生物，如苯酚、羟基喹啉等。