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公众灾害风险可接受性与避灾意愿的初探——以川渝地区旱灾风险为例 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
在综述前人研究的基础上,以川渝地区旱灾为例,通过实地调查与访谈,从公众可接受的旱灾损失与频率、假定旱灾风险情景下的避险意愿等角度,对公众旱灾风险可接受性进行了初步探讨。结果表明,公众合理可接受的旱灾损失与频率分别在26.5%~52.8%与32.0%~64.3%区间范围内;并以一般旱灾、严重旱灾风险情景为限制线,确定了公众合理可接受风险区域;随着灾害损失风险增加,公众规避风险投资意愿呈现出中间高两头低的趋势,当灾害损失达到约50%~70%时,公众避险投资意愿达到最高,意愿避险投资占可能损失的比重约为62%。鉴于川渝地区的旱灾形势,今后旱灾风险管理的关键,一是加强对旱灾的监测与预警预报;二是完善旱灾风险的常规化管理,发展高效灌溉农业,充分利用客水资源,完善提高现有农田水网建设;三是积极探索公众-企业-政府多方共同参与的高效风险管理模式。 相似文献
54.
Effective EU and Member State policies for stimulating CCS 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Although CO2 capture and storage (CCS) is widely recognised as an option to mitigate climate change, consistent and effective EU policies to advance CCS are still absent. This paper discusses policy instruments for advancing large-scale deployment of CCS in the European Union, and evaluates them in a multi-criteria analysis. The EU Emissions Trading Scheme (EU-ETS) is a cost-effective instrument for limiting greenhouse gas emissions, but it is questionable whether its currently limited time horizon and short-trading periods will lead to substantial CCS diffusion. Complementary policies at the EU and the Member State level may repair this and provide sufficient incentives for CCS. Potential policies include financial instruments such as investment subsidies, a feed-in scheme, or a CO2 price guarantee, as well as a CCS mandate or a low-carbon portfolio. These policy options differ with respect to their environmental effectiveness, possible interaction with the EU-ETS, costs and financial risk involved, and their competition with other mitigation options. Interactions between Member State policies and the EU-ETS are smaller in scope than those of EU-wide policies, but they are more likely to lead to displacement of financial resources from other low-carbon technologies. In addition, national policies may pose a significant part of the financial risk of CCS operations with Member States, reducing the operator's incentive to innovate. Overall, structural policies at the EU level, such as a mandate or a low-carbon portfolio standard would be more conducive for realising large-scale deployment of CCS across the EU as well as more acceptable to environmental organisations. 相似文献
55.
Oviposition of carrot fly (Psila rosae) in response to foliage and leaf surface extracts of host plants 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Summary. Foliage of twelve host and two non-host species and surrogate leaves treated with the respective leaf extracts were presented
to laboratory populations of the carrot fly (Psila rosae) in oviposition choice assays. The stimulatory activity of dichloromethane surface extracts and the diethyl ether fraction
of hot water extracts did not reflect accurately the differences in acceptability observed among intact leaves. A better correlation
was found using hexane extracts prepared in a microwave oven. Two out of five fractions of this crude hexane extract obtained
by silica gel column chromatography stimulated oviposition. The diethyl ether fraction, which contained the previously identified
oviposition stimulants (propenylbenzenes, furanocoumarins, polyacetylenes), could account for only a minor part of the variation
in the acceptability of host leaves. The preference hierarchy for intact leaves corresponded better to the ranking of species
according to activity of the methanolic fraction, which apparently contains unknown stimulatory compounds.? The water fractions
of the hot water extracts were shown to reduce egg-laying underneath surrogate leaves treated with a stimulatory extract.
This oviposition-deterring effect was particularly strong with the non-preferred species Pimpinella major, which is also highly resistant in the field. Hence, unidentified inhibitory compounds may also contribute to differential
accept ability of host plants. It is concluded that antixenotic (non-preference) resistance of host plants to carrot fly attack
depends on complex mixtures of semiochemicals.
Received 11 June 1997; accepted 26 November 1997. 相似文献
56.
本文介绍了区域岩屑地球化学异常Ⅲ级检查方法,并从单元素异常、多元素组合异常、岩层元素丰度及背景分布理论、元素点异常概率、特殊样品的地球化学特征等方面对区域化探异常进行综合解释评价,取得了较好效果。 相似文献
57.
基于灰关联的坝地分层淤积量与侵蚀性降雨响应研究 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
论文在全面调查陕北黄土高原淤地坝的基础上,选取典型淤地坝挖取剖面,进行分层测量取样,利用库容曲线和实测各淤积层的厚度求得各层泥沙淤积量,根据黄土高原暴雨产沙过程原理及淤积过程降雨资料,反演各淤积层所对应的侵蚀性降雨。运用灰色关联分析法,分析计算了坝地泥沙淤积量和侵蚀性降雨的4个指标(降雨侵蚀力R、降雨量P、最大30分钟降雨强度I30、平均降雨强度I)之间的关联度。研究结果表明:侵蚀性降雨4个指标中,降雨侵蚀力R和坝地泥沙淤积量的关系最为密切,降雨量P对淤积量的影响次之,最大30分钟降雨强度I30和平均降雨强度I对淤积量的影响最小;并且建立了坝地泥沙淤积量与降雨侵蚀力R和降雨量P的二元线性回归方程。 相似文献
58.
针对建设项目竣工环境保护验收监测中存在的一些疑难问题,分别从废水监测中采样点位的确定和描述及采样时间的确定、清污合总排口的情况下监测点位的确定;厂界噪声监测中测点的选择、背景值的修正与测量、环境敏感点的监测;废气监测中无组织废气监控点的布设、有组织废气采样方法的选择、燃烧性废气监测中过剩系数的影响;验收监测期间的生产工况的确定等方面进行了探讨,提出了一些解决办法。 相似文献
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60.
结合工作实践,归纳了目前建设项目环保设施竣工验收监测报告中存在的几个突出问题,提出了完善竣工验收监测报告的几点建议。 相似文献