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101.
A dynamic simulation model was constructed using outputs from a balanced Gulf of Maine (GOM) energy budget model as the initial parameter set. The model was structured to provide a recipient control set of dynamics, largely based off of flows to and from different biological groups. The model was used to produce Monte Carlo simulations that were compared (percent change in biomass) with basecase simulations for a variety of scenarios. Changes in primary production, large increases in pelagic and demersal fish biomass, increases in fishing mortality, and large increases in top predators such as baleen whales and pinnepids were simulated. These scenarios roughly simulated the potential impacts of climate change, altered fishing pressure, additional protected species mitigations, and combinations thereof. Results suggest that the GOM system is primarily influenced by bottom-up processes involving phytoplankton, zooplankton, and bacterial biomass. Pelagic and demersal fish were important in determining trends in some of the scenarios. Marine mammals, large pelagic fish, and seabirds have a minor role in the GOM system in terms of biomass flows among the ecosystem components. The system is resilient to large-scale change due, in part to many predator–prey linkages. However, major alterations could occur from sustained climate change, high fishing rates, and by combinations of these types of external forcing mechanisms.  相似文献   
102.
合理确定重金属土壤筛选值是污染场地风险识别和调查评估的基础,过松或过严的标准都会增加风险评估的不确定性,甚至可能会导致风险管控措施失效或修复资金浪费,确定重金属土壤筛选值的关键影响因子是合理确定重金属土壤筛选值的前提。选择工业污染场地中检出频率高、毒性大的砷作为研究对象,通过假设工商业用地下的暴露情景,根据《污染场地风险评估技术导则》(HJ25.3—2014)得到砷筛选值计算公式,利用基于蒙特卡罗模拟的Crystal Ball模型计算公式中各参数对结果的敏感性和贡献率来确定关键影响因子,通过调研国内外砷筛选值现状,从计算模型、毒性评估及关键影响因子等方面对引起各国砷筛选值差异的原因进行了分析探讨。结果表明:工商业用地下土壤砷筛选值取值为0.84~175.7 mg·kg~(-1),均值为21.4 mg·kg~(-1),95%的置信上限为24.19 mg·kg~(-1);风险可接受水平、每日土壤摄入量(IR)、暴露频率(EF)和暴露周期(ED)对砷筛选值的贡献率依次为41.3%、-27.3%、-16.3%和-12.7%,其余因子的贡献率均小于1%;关键影响因子按贡献率绝对值从大到小分别为风险可接受水平、每日土壤摄入量(IR)、暴露频率(EF)、暴露周期(ED)。计算模型和毒性评估存在差异是国内外土壤砷筛选值差异的基础原因,当计算模型和毒性评估差异不大时,关键影响因子才是决定性因素,其影响程度与模拟计算的结果一致。建议我国完善筛选值计算模型,对砷的毒性效应和符合我国暴露人群特征的关键影响因子展开深入研究。  相似文献   
103.
污染地块土壤多氯联苯(PCBs)污染主要来自含PCBs电力设备封存点的泄漏及非故意产生源,建立土壤PCBs筛选标准是开展PCBs污染地块调查、评估和修复的基础.本研究通过文献分析统计了典型PCBs单体的占比,并基于人体健康风险评估模型推导了污染地块土壤PCBs风险筛选值.结果表明,不同商用PCBs混合物中共平面PCBs总量(∑Co-PCBs)占比为0.01%~16.10%,难以代表PCBs的总体风险水平.研究建立了PCBs总量、指示性PCBs总量(∑Id-PCBs)及∑Co-PCBs等3个指标共同作为土壤PCBs筛选值体系,敏感用地和非敏感用地情景下,PCBs总量、∑Id-PCBs、∑Co-PCBs分别为2.10、0.24、0.03 mg·kg-1和6.20、0.71、0.09 mg·kg-1.通过6个含PCBs电容器地下封存点485个污染土壤样品的分析,进一步证明了仅控制∑Co-PCBs将低估PCBs污染风险,采用本研究提出的3个指标进行筛选能够更有效地识别和评估PCBs污染地块的风险.  相似文献   
104.
行政办公室内PBDEs污染特征及人体暴露量   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
为研究普通行政办公场所内多溴联苯醚(PBDEs)的污染现状、同类物分布特征及办公人群吸入暴露量,于2013年3月~8月期间在杭州市行政办公场所采集20个空气样品,用GC-ECD分析样品中14种PBDEs同类物.结果发现:杭州市办公场所空气中PBDEs总平均浓度达9.57×102pg/m3,与欧洲国家相比处于较高污染水平,其中BDE-209是主要污染成分,占总含量的57.4%,说明杭州市办公场所PBDEs的主要工业品来源是十溴联苯醚.与家庭住宅空气样品对照发现,办公场所PBDEs平均浓度是家庭住宅的1.26倍,并且这一浓度差异主要体现在BDE-209单体上.办公场所各采样点同类物气固相对百分含量在50.0%左右,说明空气中PBDEs一半以气态形式存在,一半则吸附在空气颗粒物中,这可能是PBDEs气固分配还未平衡所致.此外,杭州市普通行政办公人群BDE-99的总摄入量为2.03′102pg/(kg×d),比国际标准BDE-99每日允许摄入量低21.7%.  相似文献   
105.
太湖不同营养水平湖区汞的形态和分布特征   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2       下载免费PDF全文
为研究富营养化对太湖汞形态分布特征的影响,于2011年水华暴发期,在太湖不同营养水平湖区(竺山湾、贡湖湾及南太湖)采集水样,测定了水体中THg(总汞)、DHg(溶解态总汞)、RHg(活性汞)、TMeHg(总甲基汞)、DMeHg(溶解态甲基汞)的质量浓度及其分布特征. 结果表明,太湖不同营养水平湖区水体中ρ(THg)和ρ(DHg)无显著差异,ρ(THg)为4.67~12.15 ng/L,ρ(DHg)为2.27~10.36 ng/L. 太湖水体中ρ(RHg)平均值为0.79 ng/L,藻类的生长对水体中ρ(RHg)的分布有显著影响,水体营养水平越高,ρ(RHg)越低. 水体中ρ(TMeHg)和ρ(DMeHg)分别为0.10~0.27和0.09~0.23 ng/L,藻类的吸附及水体中较高的Eh(氧化还原电位)和pH抑制了汞的甲基化,但在富营养化较严重的竺山湾,受藻类生长及水华的影响,水体中ρ(TMeHg)(0.22 ng/L)仍相对较高.   相似文献   
106.
运用确定性和概率性人体健康风险评估的方法,推算一般工业暴露情景和拆卸清理暴露情景下三氯杀螨醇生产设备表面污染物的筛选值.结果表明:p,p'-滴滴涕、p,p'-滴滴滴和p,p'-滴滴依基于确定性风险评估的设备表面筛选值在一般工业暴露情景下分别为0.224 mg/m2、0.214 mg/m2和0.151 mg/m2,在拆卸...  相似文献   
107.
采用P25纳米TiO2为催化剂,对NOx浓度360 mg/m3的模拟烟气进行了光催化氧化实验研究,以期为此种方法在电厂烟气脱硝方面的应用提供依据.经SEM、XRD等表征手段,探讨了催化剂晶型尺寸对光催化的作用.实验考察了光催化反应过程规律以及负载量、光照度、NO初始浓度、O2含量、相对湿度和停留时间对光催化氧化效率的影响.结果表明,光催化反应是瞬态到稳态的过程,其催化效率与上述影响因子有密切关系.实验最优条件下NOx的脱除率为46%,但只需适当提高氧化效能,便能达到理想的效果.  相似文献   
108.
Dust samples collected from the Beijing metropolitan area (China) were evaluated to determine the distribution and the concentration of platinum group elements (PGEs). The dust particles that were smaller than 100 mesh size fraction (150 μm) were analyzed after aqua regia digestion. Concentrations[RL2] of Pt, Rh, and Pd were found to be between 3.96 and 356.3 ng/g, 2.76 and 97.11 ng/g, and 0.1 and 124.9 ng/g, respectively, in the urban areas of Beijing, whereas for the background samples collected from the suburbs of Beijing, the concentration of Pt, Pd, and Rh were very low and ranged from 0.1 to 0.9 ng/g, 0.5 to 1.4 ng/g, and 0.8 to 2.2 ng/g, respectively. The[RL3] distributions of PGEs in road dust were an accurate reflection of the levels of pollution and were found to match with the local traffic conditions. A strong positive correlation was established among all the elements found in road dust. This suggests that emissions of abraded fragments from vehicle exhausts may be the source of the high concentration of Pt, Rh, and Pd in road dust along the main roads of Beijing.  相似文献   
109.
Measurements of indoor and outdoor PM10, as well as indoor O3 and CO concentrations were conducted and are presented here. These measurements were carried out at an institute building, located in a suburban industrial area in Greece. Both indoor and outdoor PM10 samples were also collected and their elemental composition was identified by ED-XRF analysis. Twenty seven major, minor and trace elements were identified. The measurements took place generally in different periods of institute operation, from June 2004 to February 2005. The indoor PM10 concentrations which were measured during the normal operation period of the institute were found to be many times higher than the respective outdoor PM10 concentrations of the same periods. On the contrary, the indoor PM10 concentrations which were measured during the holiday period were found to be lower than their corresponding outdoor values. Indoor O3 and CO concentrations were found to be in low level. Indoor PM10 concentrations were found to be in a relative good correlation with O3 (r = 0.45) and in high correlation (r = 0.98) with CO concentrations. On average, total elements concentrations were much higher indoors relative to outdoors. Based on above findings we attempted to determine the pollution sources of the indoor environment and to investigate some parameters or chemical processes that affect indoor pollutants’ levels.  相似文献   
110.
Microcystins are cyanobacterial hepatotoxins capable of accumulation into animal tissues. The toxins act by inhibiting specific protein phosphatases and both non-covalent and covalent interactions occur. The 2-methyl-3-methoxy-4-phenylbutyric acid (MMPB) method determines the total, i.e. the sum of free and protein-bound microcystin in tissues. The aim of the method development in this paper was to tackle the problems with the MMPB methodology: the rather laborious workflow and the loss of material during different steps of the method. In the optimised workflow the oxidation recovery was of acceptable level (29-40%), the extraction efficiency good (62-97%), but the signal suppression effect from the matrix remained severe in our system (16-37% signal left). The extraction efficiency for the determination of the free, extractable microcystins, was found to be good, 52-100%, depending on the sample and the toxin variant and concentration.  相似文献   
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