中国民航运输航空器偏/冲出跑道统计分析

为了查找民航运输航空器偏/冲出跑道事件的共性特点及成因,对比了国外不同研究机构的相关数据,统计分析了1996年至2010年间中国民航偏/冲出跑道事件。结果表明,6月、7月、8月因常常伴有降水、雷暴等复杂天气现象,事件数量最为集中;着陆阶段航空器偏出跑道是本类事件中最突出的问题。驾驶术欠缺、CRM失效、复杂气象条件、违反SOP、夜航或受灯光不利影响是促成着陆阶段偏出跑道的主要因素。当两种或两种以上风险因素同时存在时,因耦合效应着陆偏出跑道事件的发生概率会明显增加。     

起飞阶段冲偏出跑道事故预防分析

对中国民航1990—2007年期间飞机在起飞阶段发生的冲出/偏出跑道事件进行统计分析,总结其原因有:飞行程序的遗漏和检查单的不落实、中断起飞决策的正确性和程序的熟练性、飞行程序的偏离和飞行前的准备不足等。以调查问卷形式就起飞滑跑阶段发生轮胎爆破的训练情况进行调查,分析其结果发现:占中断起飞首要原因的轮胎爆破,在航空公司的飞行员中没有得到充分的训练。笔者调查及研究结论是,起飞阶段冲出/偏差跑道基本上都是由于机组的原因造成的;为了减少和预防起飞阶段冲偏出跑道事故的发生,航空公司应增加起飞性能、中断起飞的决策、中断起飞的风险等理论培训,在模拟机的训练中增加起飞滑跑阶段轮胎爆破的训练。     

The Influence of Enhanced Side Impact Protection on Kinematics and Injury Measures of Far- or Center-Seated Children in Forward-Facing Child Restraints

Objective: To evaluate the influence of forward-facing child restraint systems’ (FFCRSs) side impact structure, such as side wings, on the head kinematics and response of a restrained, far- or center-seated 3-year-old anthropomorphic test device (ATD) in oblique sled tests.

Methods: Sled tests were conducted utilizing an FFCRS with large side wings and with the side wings removed. The CRS were attached via LATCH on 2 different vehicle seat fixtures—a small SUV rear bench seat and minivan rear bucket seat—secured to the sled carriage at 20° from lateral. Four tests were conducted on each vehicle seat fixture, 2 for each FFCRS configuration. A Q3s dummy was positioned in FFCRS according to the CRS owner's manual and FMVSS 213 procedures. The tests were conducted using the proposed FMVSS 213 side impact pulse. Three-dimensional motion cameras collected head excursion data. Relevant data collected during testing included the ATD head excursions, head accelerations, LATCH belt loads, and neck loads.

Results: Results indicate that side wings have little influence on head excursions and ATD response. The median lateral head excursion was 435 mm with side wings and 443 mm without side wings. The primary differences in head response were observed between the 2 vehicle seat fixtures due to the vehicle seat head restraint design. The bench seat integrated head restraint forced a tether routing path over the head restraint. Due to the lateral crash forces, the tether moved laterally off the head restraint reducing tension and increasing head excursion (477 mm median). In contrast, when the tether was routed through the bucket seat's adjustable head restraint, it maintained a tight attachment and helped control head excursion (393 mm median).

Conclusion: This testing illustrated relevant side impact crash circumstances where side wings do not provide the desired head containment for a 3-year-old ATD seated far-side or center in FFCRS. The head appears to roll out of the FFCRS even in the presence of side wings, which may expose the occupant to potential head impact injuries. We postulate that in a center or far-side seating configuration, the absence of door structure immediately adjacent to the CRS facilitates the rotation and tipping of the FFCRS toward the impact side and the roll-out of the head around the side wing structure. Results suggest that other prevention measures, in the form of alternative side impact structure design, FFCRS vehicle attachment, or shared protection between the FFCRS and the vehicle, may be necessary to protect children in oblique side impact crashes.     

基于关联规则的跑道着陆事件演化网络构建研究*

为了提高航空运输系统安全性,针对航空器着陆过程中冲偏出和重着陆事件的关联机理开展研究。以84起跑道着陆事故调查报告为样本,利用Python分词工具提取风险因素并建立跑道着陆事件数据集,应用Apriori算法挖掘风险因素间关联规则,基于复杂网络理论构建该类事件演化网络,分析社团结构和拓扑特征。研究结果表明:本文所构建的网络密度为0.143,网络较为紧密,风险因素间强关联;网络社团结构显著,符合飞行操纵、运行状态、运行环境、不利条件的分类特点;网络关键节点“航线训练”、“接地速度大”综合值分别为0.599 8、0.589 0。研究结果可为飞行安全研究提供新思路。     

马兰黄土中Laschamp地磁漂移的10^Be记录与古地磁测试结果的初步对比

Laschamp地磁场漂移事件发生的确切年代(~42kaBP)已通过相对独立的同位素定年手段确定,并被证实具有全球性特征.但这一事件在我国马兰黄土地层中的记录存在着明显的空间差异.本文初步对比了最近发表的黄土高原洛川剖面mBe4L录的Laschamp漂移信息和前人根据该44面古地磁参数异常结合Heinrich冷事件所确...     

产品的二次筛选试验影响分析

通过某种产品的二次筛选试验前后的参数数据分析，从一个侧面分析了二次筛选试验对产品造成的影响，定量地表征了影响的程度，为以后的二次筛选乃至一次筛选对产品寿命影响的全面分析奠定基础。     

某温湿高度试验箱低温-高度试验温度漂移原因分析与对策

目的针对某国产温湿高度试验箱,给出在低温-高度试验时,温度漂移的解决方法。方法在低温-高度试验时,对温度漂移原因进行研究分析,找出温度漂移的原因,给出了利用箱体微电脑触摸屏编程控制方法与设备控制参数设置的参考数据,找出了解决问题的简单方法。结果在低温(如-55℃)、低气压(如11.9 kPa)阶段,温度波动小于±3℃。结论通过设备控制参数重置,特别是通过一种拟合编程摸底试验,成功地解决了低温-高度试验时温度漂移问题。试验结果满足试验技术条件要求,并且节约了人力物力,为产品的交付使用赢得了时间。     

飞机冲偏出跑道人为差错量化分析模型

为了分析飞机冲偏出跑道的人为差错,找到重点防控对象,提出了冲偏出跑道人为差错量化分析模型。首先应用STPA方法对飞机滑行、起飞及着陆程序进行建模,构建安全控制结构图,找出飞机冲偏出跑道的人为差错。然后将它作为BP神经网络的输入层节点,构建24-6-3的3层BP神经网络模型,从ASRS系统中抽取民航领域近5年的冲偏出跑道不安全事件报告作为数据源,根据发生阶段的不同将不安全事件报告分为滑行阶段、起飞阶段、着陆阶段3类,最后将数据源输入BP神经网络模型中进行训练,并利用测试数据检验模型的合理性,准确率为86. 7%。结果表明,特殊情况下机组人员操作不熟练、刹车系统/方向控制错误等是构成所有阶段冲偏出跑道的主要人为差错,飞机冲偏出跑道的发生阶段不同,影响因素的影响程度也不同。