| Yellow River Valley flood and drought disaster:spatial-temporal distribution predictionand early-warning |
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| 作者姓名： | Gao Lin Sha Wanying Liu Huaiquan Yang Xinhai |
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| 作者单位： | Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences . ChineseAcademy of Sciences，Beijing 100085，China |
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| 摘 要： | ＹｅｌｌｏｗＲｉｖｅｒＶａｌｌｅｙｆｌｏｏｄａｎｄｄｒｏｕｇｈｔｄｉｓａｓｔｅｒ：ｓｐａｔｉａｌ－ｔｅｍｐｏｒａｌｄｉｓｔｒｉｂｕｔｉｏｎｐｒｅｄｉｃｔｉｏｎａｎｄｅａｒｌｙ－ｗａｒｎｉｎｇＧａｏＬｉｎ，ＳｈａＷａｎｙｉｎｇ，ＬｉｕＨｕａｉｑｕａｎ，...
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| 关 键 词： | Yellow River Valley i flood and drought disaster i spatial-temporal distribution prediction andearly-warning. |
| 收稿时间： | 4/5/1994 12:00:00 AM |
Yellow River Valley flood and drought disaster:spatial-temporal distribution predictionand early-warning |
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| Gao Lin,Sha Wanying,Liu Huaiquan,Yang Xinhai.Yellow River Valley flood and drought disaster:spatial-temporal distribution predictionand early-warning[J].Journal of Environmental Sciences,1994,6(4):422-431. |
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| Authors: | Gao Lin Sha Wanying Liu Huaiquan Yang Xinhai |
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| Abstract: | By means of analysing the historical data of flood-drought grade series in the past 2000 years(A.D.0-1900),especially in the last 5000 years (1470-1900) , this paper revealed the spatial-temporaldistribution features of severe flood and drought in Yellow River Valley. Statistical methods of varianceanalysis, probability transition and the principles of scale correspondence were employed tocomprehensively predicate 90's tendency of severe flood and drought in the Yellow River Valley. In addi-tion, this paper pointed out the possible breaching dikes, sectors and the flooding ranges by future's se-vere flood, meanwhile estimating the associated economic losses and impact to environment. |
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| Keywords: | Yellow River Valley i flood and drought disaster i spatial-temporal distribution prediction andearly-warning |
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