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961.
针对海上输油管道在多层次、多变量、多种非定量因素的影响下缺乏有效定量评估手段的情况,建立输油管道体系的多层次安全评估指标,结合层次分析法,确定各层指标对应的权重,提出采用多层次灰色理论,对输油管道体系进行安全评估,将风险影响程度进行定量化处理,给出了在役输油管道的可靠性量化结果。多层次灰色评估方法针对少数据、小样本、信息不完全和经验缺乏的不确定性问题有着计算简便、直接、科学和实用的特点,可为海上输油管道的在役安全评估提供一种有效手段。 相似文献
962.
S. Mackinson G. Daskalov J.J. Heymans S. Neira H. Arancibia M. Zetina-Rejón H. Jiang H.Q. Cheng M. Coll F. Arreguin-Sanchez K. Keeble L. Shannon 《Ecological modelling》2009
Fishing mortality and primary production (or proxy for) were used to drive the dynamics of fish assemblages in 9 trophodynamic models of contrasting marine ecosystems. Historical trends in abundance were reconstructed by fitting model predictions to observations from stock assessments and fisheries independent survey data. The model fitting exercise derives values for otherwise unknown parameters that specify the relative strength of trophic interactions and, in some instances, a time series anomaly for changes in primary production. We measured how much better or worse were model predictions when bottom-up forcing by primary production were added to top-down forcing by fishing. Searching for cross system patterns, the relative contribution of fishing and changes in primary production, mediated through trophic interactions, are evaluated for the ecosystems as a whole and for selected similar species in different ecosystems. The analysis provides a simple qualitative way to explain which forcing factors have most influence on modeled dynamics. Both fishing and primary production forcing were required to obtain the best model fits to data. Fishing effects more strongly influenced 6 of 9 of the ecosystems, but primary production was more often found to be the main factor influencing the selected pelagic and demersal fish stock trends. Examination of sensitivity to ecological and model parameters suggests that the results are the product of complex food-web interactions rather than simple deterministic responses of the models. 相似文献
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965.
土地利用作为人地关系研究的核心内容,是人地关系最直接的反映。本文对莆田县土地利用特征进行了分析,针对其存在的问题,提出了相应的解决对策 相似文献
966.
Climate warming can substantially impact embryonic development and juvenile growth in oviparous species. Estimating the overall impacts of climate warming on oviparous reproduction is difficult because egg-laying events happen throughout the reproductive season. Successful egg laying requires the completion of embryonic development as well as hatching timing conducive to offspring survival and energy accumulation. We propose a new metric—egg-laying opportunity (EO)—to estimate the annual hours during which a clutch of freshly laid eggs yields surviving offspring that store sufficient energy for overwintering. We estimated the EO within the distribution of a model species, Sceloporus undulatus, under recent climate condition and a climate-warming scenario by combining microclimate data, developmental functions, and biophysical models. We predicted that EO will decline as the climate warms at 74.8% of 11,407 sites. Decreasing hatching success and offspring energy accounted for more lost EO hours (72.6% and 72.9%) than the occurrence of offspring heat stress (59.9%). Nesting deeper (at a depth of 12 cm) may be a more effective behavioral adjustment for retaining EO than using shadier (50% shade) nests because the former fully mitigated the decline of EO under the considered warming scenario at more sites (66.1%) than the latter (28.3%). We advocate for the use of EO in predicting the impacts of climate warming on oviparous animals because it encapsulates the integrative impacts of climate warming on all stages of reproductive life history. 相似文献
967.
Chen Xuemin Wu Weifeng Liu Yun Liu Chenrui Tian Jiang Li Feng Dang Zhi 《Environmental Chemistry Letters》2023,21(6):3077-3082
Environmental Chemistry Letters - Acid mine drainage is highly acidic and contains heavy metals, which can be harmful to soil, water, plants, and animals. To solve this issue, surface passivation... 相似文献
968.
Caiyan Qu Lushan Li Fan Feng Kainian Jiang Xing Wu Muchuan Qin Jia Tang Xi Tang Ruiyang Xiao Di Wu Chongjian Tang 《Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering》2023,17(9):115
969.
矿业废弃地对环境的扰动及其有效化解的对策选择 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
作为矿产资源开发活动的直接结果之一,矿业废弃地对环境的压力与污染在相当程度上与矿产资源开发利用的方式及环境直接相关。依据矿业废弃地污染环境的性质与特点,具体治理过程中,将基于生态恢复与生物技术利用以及正式与非正式的制度约束方面的对策措施结合起来,具有相当的必要性与合理性。 相似文献
970.
以处于脑发育期的新生3d大鼠为试验对象,研究不同剂量2,2',4,4'-四溴联苯醚(BDE - 47)对大鼠暴露21 d后,大鼠体内甲状腺激素内稳态、脑中谷胱甘肽及相关酶的变化.结果显示,与对照组相比,大鼠血清中总甲状腺激素(TT4)、游离甲状腺激素(FT4)、总三碘甲状腺原氨酸(TT3)无显著改变,但高暴露剂量组大鼠血清中游离三碘甲状腺原氨酸(FT3)含量显著降低(p< 0.01).氧化损伤试验结果表明,与对照组相比,各暴露组大鼠脑中氧化型谷胱甘肽(GSSG)含量显著上升(中、低剂量组p< 0.01,高剂量组p<0.05);暴露组大鼠脑中谷胱甘肽过氧化物酶(GSH - px)活力变化与剂量相关,呈现低、中剂量升高,高剂量暴露下降的趋势;暴露大鼠脑中谷氨酸半胱氨酸合成酶(GCL)活性、还原型谷胱甘肽(GSH)含量无显著变化,但GCL呈明显的下降趋势.脑发育期BDE - 47暴露将造成大鼠甲状腺激素,尤其是FT3的内稳态失衡,并造成机体GSH抗氧化系统相关指标的紊乱,出现氧化应激效应. 相似文献