大庆市土地利用动态变化分析与预测

本文主要以土地利用类型的时空变化为研究重点,通过数学建模,来研究大庆市土地利用的时空演变,尤其重点研究大庆市土地利用动态变化的预测。     

修正SO2被动式采样器的感度

二氧化硫被动式采样器的采样感度受环境中湿度和硫酸盐等的影响，感度经修正后用于环境监测，其结果与紫外荧光法的相对误差小于１０％。     

纳米ZnO浓度对EBPR系统除磷性能的影响

采用SBR工艺接种成熟的强化生物除磷(EBPR)絮状污泥,研究了不同浓度纳米ZnO(ZnO NPs)对颗粒化EBPR系统性能的影响。结果表明:低浓度(≤1 mg/L)ZnO NPs可促进厌氧释磷和好氧吸磷作用;随着ZnO NPs浓度的增加,磷酸盐及COD去除能力受到明显抑制;在厌氧释磷过程中,PAOs对ZnO NPs的毒性更为敏感;与未受ZnO NPs污染的系统相比,ZnO NPs浓度为15 mg/L条件下的释磷速率与吸磷速率分别下降了0.1 mg/(gVSS·min)和0.15 mg/(gVSS·min)。     

基于多星遥感影像的太湖北部湖湾春季沉水植被分布动态监测

利用多星遥感影像动态监测了2015年春季太湖北部湖湾沉水植被分布的变化过程,并对水生植被遥感监测中的几个关键问题展开了探讨。决策树方法获取的水生植被分布结果表明,2015年4月28日太湖北部湖湾发现明显沉水植被分布面积约11.2 km~2,与2014年同期相比,新出现的较大面积沉水植被分布区域主要集中在田鸡山西和锡东水厂附近。提出应及时清理打捞,避免水生植被死亡腐烂,威胁水质安全。     

感潮河段水环境容量计算方法探讨

对感潮河段水环境容量的污染物允许排放量的概念进行了分析，提出了基于动态的水质模型并利用计算机仿真和线性规划来进行感潮河段水环境容量计算的基本方法，该文着重介绍计算感潮河段水环境容量的技术方法，通过简化的计算实例对具体过程进行了说明，其原理成立，方法可行。     

动态顶空-气相色谱/离子阱质谱法测定土壤中苯系物

采用动态顶空进样,气相色谱/离子阱质谱法测定土壤中的苯系物。对样品的吹扫温度、吹扫时间和解析时间进行了优化,各组分的方法检出限：苯为0.43 μg/kg,甲苯为1.13 μg/kg,对、间二甲苯均为1.74 μg/kg,邻二甲苯为0.37 μg/kg;对5种苯系物的低、中质量浓度标液进行加标,回收率为82.0%～115%,重复测定7次的RSD为4.8%～15.1%。对某造纸厂周边土壤样品中苯系物进行测定,结果固废堆存处周边土壤中苯和甲苯检出。     

染整废水氧转移系数Kla值的研究

研究了染整废水中氧转移的速率,为工程设计、曝气机选择及动力效率测定,提供了科学理论依据。     

Time-series analysis of global zinc demand associated with steel

This study aimed to analyze the global-scale substance flow of zinc associated with steel in order to discuss the sustainable use of zinc resources in the future. The relationship between the demand for steel and zinc was characterized in terms of zinc intensity for galvanized steel and the percentage of galvanized steel that accounts for the total steel demand. Zinc consumption for steel was divided into end uses according to the statistics on steel. Zinc demand in the future was forecasted with three scenarios for zinc intensity. Future steel demand was estimated using the stocks-drive-flows model, in which the demand is determined by the change in stock. The growth of in-use stock of galvanized steel in the future was estimated by considering economic growth on the basis of the transition of in-use stock of galvanized steel in the past. The cumulative zinc demand for galvanized steel up to the year 2050 was compared with the zinc reserves. It was found that the global average recovery rate of zinc was estimated at approximately 20% by the dynamic substance flow analysis for zinc. It is hoped that the recovery rate will increase. Even if zinc intensity is continuously reduced according to an experience curve based on technological development, a large portion of the current reserves will be consumed for galvanized steel. It was concluded that technological development in reducing zinc intensity will play a significant role in zinc resource conservation.     

On modelling the global copper mining rates,market supply,copper price and the end of copper reserves

The world supply and turnover of copper was modelled using simple empirical estimates and a COPPER systems dynamics model developed for this study. The model combines mining, trade markets, price mechanisms, population dynamics, use in society and waste as well as recycling, into a whole world system. The degree of sustainability and resource time horizon was estimated using four different methods including (1) burn-off rates, (2) peak discovery early warning, (3) Hubbert's production model, and (4) COPPER, a system dynamics model. The ultimately recoverable reserves (URR) have been estimated using different sources that converge around 2800 million tonne, where about 800 million tonne have already been mined, and 2000 million tonne remain. The different methods independently suggest peak copper mine production in the near future. The model was run for a longer period to cover all systems dynamics and delays. The peak production estimates are in a narrow window in time, from 2031 to 2042, with the best model estimate in 2034, or 21 years from the date of writing. In a longer perspective, taking into account price and recycling, the supply of copper to society is estimated to run out sometime after 2400. The outputs from all models put focus on the importance of copper recycling so that society can become more sustainable with respect to copper supply.     

闽江流域森林资源与环境的动态分析

该文对闽江流域的森林与生态环境的变动情况及相互关系进行阐述，并提出了相应的对策建议。