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1.
基于复杂系统建模的水管理政策研究进展 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
基于Agent的建模方法(ABSS)通过自下而上的方式,考察系统中主体的不同状态和行为特征、主体与环境的作用、主体之间的作用,来表征系统的宏观特征,是进行复杂社会环境系统分析和政策研究的重要手段,在水资源、水环境管理系统中得到了有效的应用。本文在大量文献调研的基础上,讨论了ABSS建模方法的基本原理、主要特征、系统构成、分类方法和开发工具等特征,总结了其供水系统发展、水资源分配和流域水资源管理、农业土地和水资源利用、居民用水行为、农业污染控制及人类活动的水环境影响等方面的应用,分析了其在研究内容、研究方法、研究结果等方面的发展趋势,讨论了利用该方法研究我国水资源管理和水污染控制政策的必要性和重要性。 相似文献
2.
A fragment constant QSAR model for evaluating the EC50 values of organic chemicals to Daphnia magna.
Shu Tao Xiaohuan Xi Fuliu Xu Bengang Li Jun Cao R Dawson 《Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)》2002,116(1):57-64
The quantitative relationship between the median effective concentration (EC50) of organic chemicals to Daphnia magna and the number of molecular fragments was investigated based on experimental EC50 values for 217 chemicals derived from the literature. A fragment constant model was developed based on a multivariate linear regression between the number of fragments and the logarithmically transformed reciprocal values of EC50. Functional correction factors were introduced into the model. The model was verified using an independent set of randomly selected data. The mean residual of the final model was 0.4 log-units. The robustness of the model was discussed based on the results of three jackknife tests. 相似文献
3.
灰色协调度模型在产业用水系统分析中的应用 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
揭示产业用水系统的时空动态发展规律,探讨其内部的协调关系,是开展节水型社会建设规划,实现水资源可持续利用的关键。然而,目前对产业用水系统的协调性分析还缺乏较为有效的理论和方法。以往在利用协调度模型进行用水系统有序度研究时,通常采用两段叙述的线性分段函数表示,较不适用于描述产业用水系统内部要素的非线性结构。因此,针对产业用水系统的特性,利用灰关联原理建立有序度函数,以建立更适于用水系统分析的灰色协调度模型。利用该模型对上海市1997~2005年产业用水系统进行实证研究,结果显示:上海市产业用水系统基本有序,发展比较协调,其用水综合效益较大,但距离最优状态尚有潜力可挖;其中,农业用水子系统的发展较为欠缺,在未来用水规划中应予以重视。 相似文献
4.
Processes involved in uptake and release of nitrogen dioxide from soil and building stones into the atmosphere 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Atmospheric NO2 was taken up by samples of various soils and building stones. The NO2 uptake rate constants were highest in soil samples taken during the summer months. However, the NO2 uptake rate constants of the soils and building stones were not significantly correlated with any of the following variables: moisture, pH, ammonium, nitrite, or nitrate. NO2 uptake by soil and stone was not abolished by autoclaving indicating a chemical uptake process. NO2 uptake by acidic and air-dry soils and stones resulted in nearly stoichiometric reduction of NO2 to NO. This reduction was enhanced by the addition of ferrous iron and was further enhanced by incubation under 1 ppmv SO2. The results suggest that NO2 reduction may be coupled to oxidation of ferrous to ferric iron which may be reduced again by atmospheric SO2 thus regenerating the ferrous iron content of the soil or stone. Conversion of NO2 to NO was not observed in neutral or/and moist soils and stones. NO2 was also taken up by purified and sterilized quartz sand moistend with water. This uptake was enhanced by addition of humic material but not by addition of bacteria which both had been extracted from genuine soil. Under most conditions, only uptake but no release of NO2 was observed. However, NO2 was released in air-dry soils that were heated to 45–65°C, or in ammonium-fertilized soil or stone that was drying up at room temperature. Under the latter conditions mimicking field practice, the NO2 release reached rates that were similar to the NO release rates. 相似文献
5.
期权理论在排污权初始分配中的应用 总被引:16,自引:0,他引:16
排污权交易是当前总量控制目标下最具潜力的环境政策,它兼有环境质量保障和成本效率优化的特点.在对国内外排污权交易和初始分配充分考察的基础上,提出了在排污权初次分配中引入期权机制的尝试,并对这种方法的理论基础作了分析和讨论. 相似文献
6.
Jun Murotsuki MD Shigeki Uehara Kunihiro Okamura Akira Yajima Kazuhiro Murakami 《黑龙江环境通报》1994,14(7):637-639
A case of type III congenital cystic adenomatoid malformation of the lung was successfully diagnosed prenatally by fetal lung biopsy. We performed this procedure at 22 weeks of gestation, using a biopsy gun system under ultrasound guidance. The pregnancy was undisturbed by the procedure but as the condition was incompatible with life, an abortion was performed. The diagnosis was confirmed at post-mortem examination. Fetal lung biopsy appears to be a useful method for prenatal diagnosis of fetal lung disorders. 相似文献
7.
湖北省土地资源遥感调查与评价 总被引:4,自引:1,他引:3
根据1999年TM影像解译了湖北省土地利用现状,然后以土地利用现状图为基础,采用地理信息系统技术,结合湖北省的实际情况,选择土壤、地形、坡度等评价因子,对湖北省土地资源进行了适宜性评价,简要地将全省土地资源划分为九等。评价结果表明:湖北省水热条件好,土地适宜性广,宜农林牧业同时利用的土地广泛分布;但是该省的基本农田面积小,土地垦殖率高,低产田面积大,后备耕地资源严重不足;土地利用结构与土地资源的供给条件、利用要求不相适宜,利用效益末得到充分发挥。 相似文献
8.
新时期区域公共管理创新 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
信息社会发展与全球化趋势,出现了区域集群、区域竞争、区域创新、学习区域等新特征,给区域管理者带来了新的挑战。区域发展需要创新,区域公共管理同样需要创新。本文从新公共管理、区域创新系统、区域核心竞争力、支持系统等方面对区域管理创新进行了探讨。 相似文献
9.
10.
Hiroshi Yamamoto Yudai Nakamura Yuki Nakamura Chise Kitani Tetsuya Imari Jun Sekizawa Yuji Takao Naoyuki Yamashita Narisato Hirai Shigeto Oda Norihisa Tatarazako 《Environmental sciences》2007,14(4):177-193
Eight pharmaceuticals were selected on the basis of their domestic consumption in Japan, the excretion ratio of the parent compound and the frequency of detection in the aquatic environment or wastewater treatment plant effluent. Toxicity tests on these pharmaceuticals were conducted using Japanese medaka (Oryzias latipes), daphnia (Daphnia magna), and green algae (Psuedokirchneriella subcapitata). Predicted no effect concentration (PNEC) was calculated using lethal or effect concentration 50 (LC50 or EC50) values and no effect concentration (NOEC) obtained in the toxicity tests for these compounds. Predicted environmental concentration (PEC) was also calculated from annual consumption, the excretion rate of the parent compound, and removal rate in the preliminary batch activated sludge treatment performed in this study. Maximum concentrations found in the aquatic environment or sewage effluent in Japan or foreign countries were also used for another calculation of PEC. Initial risk assessment on the selected pharmaceuticals was performed using the PEC/PNEC ratio. The results of initial risk assessment on the eight selected pharmaceuticals suggest neither urgent nor severe concern for the ecological risk of these compounds, but further study needs to be conducted using chronic toxicity tests, including reproduction inhibition and endocrine disruption assessments. 相似文献