燃料空气炸药一次引爆爆炸效应实验研究

为了提高燃料空气炸药（FAE）爆炸威力,设计制备了不同相态的FAE,并采用光测和电测方法,开展了开放空间下FAE一次引爆对比实验研究。结果表明:固态、液固混合及液态FAE被一次引爆后,均存在引爆中心装药、抛撒燃料、点火和爆炸4个阶段,云雾存续时间均长于等质量TNT装药的相应值,随着距离增加,固态FAE爆炸场超压变化规律为“减少-增加-减少”,其值高于等质量TNT装药的相应值;液态、液固混合FAE爆炸场超压变化规律为“增加-减少”,远场超压高于等质量TNT装药的相应值。     

当量比和初压对二甲醚-空气爆炸特性的影响研究

为探究二甲醚-空气爆炸特性,采用高速光学纹影技术和高频动态压力测量技术获取当量比和初压对二甲醚-空气火焰形态和爆炸超压峰值的影响规律.采用刘易斯数、热膨胀比和火焰厚度理论分析了火焰形态,采用燃烧热损失理论分析了爆炸超压峰值.结果表明,高速光学纹影技术和高频动态压力测量技术可清晰、准确地获取二甲醚爆炸火焰形态和爆炸超压峰值.在热扩散不稳定和流体动力学不稳定相互作用下,火焰形态大致可以划分为3类:光滑火焰、裂痕火焰和胞状火焰.当量比Φ=0.8和Φ=1.0时,刘易斯数大于1.0,热扩散不稳定迫使球形膨胀火焰趋于稳定,不同初压下火焰形态相对光滑或表面出现少许裂痕,未观测到胞状火焰;当量比Φ=1.5时,刘易斯数接近于1.0,球形膨胀火焰仅受流体动力学不稳定的影响,初压达到200 kPa时形成胞状火焰.随初压增加,刘易斯数几乎恒定,热膨胀比缓慢增加,火焰厚度迅速减小,即热扩散不稳定对球形膨胀火焰的影响效应不变,流体动力学不稳定对球形膨胀火焰的失稳效应逐渐增强.另外,对于不同当量比和初压,绝热工况二甲醚爆炸超压峰值均高于试验工况.随初压增加,绝热工况和试验工况二甲醚爆炸超压峰值均线性增加,不同当量比下燃烧热损失单调增加.     

锅炉超压爆炸事故分析与危害性评价

运用事故树分析法（FTA）,对锅炉超压爆炸事故进行了定性的分析,指出了防止锅炉超压爆炸管理的要点;并以一台型号为SHX25-2．5-AⅡ的锅炉为例,用TNT当量法近似计算锅炉爆炸事故危害半径;同时计算了该锅炉爆炸时的烫伤范围。     

湿式氢气贮柜爆炸伤害效应预测

针对某动力公司工业用氢气贮柜发生的爆炸事故,建立了300 m3湿式氢气贮柜爆炸的模型,给出了事故模型的初始条件,用内能法和TNT当量法对爆炸伤害效应进行了预测.结果表明,对于300 m3湿式氢气贮柜,在混入空气整体达爆炸上限和局部达爆炸上限两种情况下,氢气柜发生一次爆炸的最高爆炸温度分别为1 637 K和1 120 K,最高爆炸超压分别为5.43×105Pa和3.73×105Pa,气柜腾空发生二次爆炸对周围环境的最大人体伤害半径分别为46.8 m和49.7 m,对房屋的最大损伤半径分别为72.5 m和81.6 m.     

不规则可燃气云爆炸威力预测方法研究

采用计算流体动力学（CFD ）方法,以实际球罐区甲烷泄漏扩散形成的不规则可燃气云为研究工况,探讨了不规则气云爆炸威力的模拟方法,并对比了实际形状可燃气云、最大直径球可燃气云、重心高度球可燃气云、等体积球可燃气云以及采用 TNT 当量法计算得到的气云爆炸超压值。结果表明,TNT 当量法计算结果过于保守。等体积球、重心高度球、最大直径球与实际形状气云爆炸超压偏差分别为-13．9％、-17．2％、52．3％。采用等体积球法估算不规则可燃气云爆炸威力较为便捷,且精度较高。     

巷道中瓦斯爆炸诱导激波传播特性研究

利用AutoReaGas软件,数值模拟巷道中瓦斯浓度和火源对瓦斯爆炸传播的影响,其计算结果表明:爆炸静态超压随着传播距离的增加而减小,而爆炸动压随着传播距离的增加而增大;点火位置距离巷道封闭端越近,各测点得到的爆炸静态超压值越大;瓦斯浓度对爆炸峰值超压影响显著,当浓度为9.5%的氧化反应当量比浓度时,得到的最大峰值超压为70.95kPa,爆炸威力最大。     

熔融硝盐高温分解爆炸事故后果严重度评价

为评价热处理用硝盐槽熔融硝盐高温分解爆炸事故机理和后果严重度,结合某企业铝合金件硝盐固溶热处理工艺进行研究。 利用压缩气体容器爆炸能量计算模型、超压准则和TNT当量法估算热处理用硝盐槽内熔融硝盐高温分解爆炸事故后果,得出35 000 kg熔融硝盐在高温分解转化率为50%时爆炸的TNT当量为1 257.6 kg,爆炸会造成半径53.97 m范围内的人员轻伤,该结果和利用政府推荐的危险指数法得出的外部防护距离为50 m较为接近。 以上分析计算表明:超温爆炸过程中,熔融硝盐在硝盐槽中超温分解快速产生大量气体,在硝盐槽上盖及上部硝盐的阻挡下不能及时排出,致使硝盐槽内气体压力瞬间升高,形成类似于压力容器的空间,发生物理爆炸并引发高温硝盐喷溅。     

LNG储罐组泄漏爆炸事故后果模拟

文章以某城镇天然气气化站10个100m3液化天然气(LNG)储罐组为例,利用TNT当量法和超压准则模拟预测单个储罐泄漏后引发蒸气云爆炸(VCE)的事故后果,并采用国际劳工组织(ILO)提出的模型和瞬间火灾作用下的热通量准则模拟预测其余9个储罐连锁发生沸腾液体扩展蒸气爆炸(BLEVE)的事故后果,定量计算爆炸事故的伤害半径范围,为火灾预防和消防抢险救援战斗提供现实的指导意义.     

液体火箭共底破裂爆炸安全设防距离

针对航天发射场一旦发生低温推进剂泄漏而导致火箭爆炸,会对人员和财产造成重大损失的问题,采用TNT当量模型和TNO(The Netherlands Organization)多能模型计算不同摩尔百分比的氢氧推进剂混合反应时产生爆炸冲击波的危害性,并模拟爆炸冲击波造成的事故影响范围,然后对两种模型的仿真结果加以对比分析,根据最不利原则选取出最终需要的结果,最后划分出安全设防距离。由仿真结果可知,不同的氢氧混合摩尔百分比造成的爆炸后果不同,同时TNT当量模型在爆炸近场处高估了爆炸超压值,在爆炸远场处低估了爆炸超压值,而TNO多能模型在理论上有效地对这一缺陷进行了弥补。对航天发射场的安全布局起到了一定的参考价值。     

城市环境中加油站燃爆灾害的安全评估探讨

为了准确计算城市环境中加油站的安全距离并进行安全评估,针对城市中一级加油站蒸汽云爆炸灾害效应开展分析,基于TNT当量法和Roberts点源模型,计算距离加油站不同距离上的爆炸波超压和火球热辐射通量。依据相应的伤害准则,系统评估了灾害效应,并与已有试验数据和规范进行对比验证和分析。研究结果表明,城市一级加油站的爆炸安全距离为37 m,热辐射安全距离为52 m。     

油浸变压器排油注氮装置在500kV变电站的设计与应用

在分析500kV变电站主变压器消防系统的现状,比较3类消防系统优缺点的基础上,详细论述了主变排油注氮装置的结构组成、工作原理、参数计算、控制系统设计以及需要注意的事项等,为下一步排油注氮装置的推广应用打下基础.     

HAZOP结合What-if方法在某延迟焦化装置除焦中的应用

为克服传统危险与可操作性（HAZOP）定性分析方法在复杂操作、间歇作业等过程中使用的局限性,提出在传统HAZOP定性分析方法的基础上结合What-if（故障假设）方法,对人的不安全行为和操作规程不完备所导致的风险后果分析作出补充。详细说明其技术原理、工作流程等使用细节,系统阐述该方法与传统HAZOP定性分析方法的区别,并在某延迟焦化装置的除焦操作的风险分析中应用。经分析,识别出在“给水-泡焦”节点,有“操作规程错误”场景2项,“操作规程不具体”场景1项,不存在“操作人员未按操作规程执行”场景。研究结果表明:本文方法有效且具有较好效果,可以广泛应用于操作规程/作业指导书审查、作业过程隐患排查等方面,帮助企业开展操作层面的风险识别与管理,提升企业的生产安全水平。     

Nighttime pedestrian fatalities: A comprehensive examination of infrastructure,user, vehicle,and situational factors

Introduction: Pedestrian fatalities in the United States increased 45.5% between 2009 and 2017. More than 85% of those additional pedestrian fatalities occurred at night. Method: We examine Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) data for fatal pedestrian crashes that occurred in the dark between 2002 and 2017. Within-variable and before/after examinations of crashes in terms of infrastructure, user, vehicle, and situational characteristics are performed with one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) and two-sample t-tests. We model changes in crash characteristic proportions between 2002–2009 and 2010–2017 using linear regressions and test for autocorrelation with Breusch-Godfrey tests. Results: The increase in fatal nighttime pedestrian crashes is most strongly correlated with infrastructure factors: non-intersection unmarked locations (saw 80.8% of additional fatalities); 40–45 mph roads (54.6%); five-lane roads (40.7%); urban (99.7%); and arterials (81.1%). In addition, SUVs were involved in 39.7% of additional fatalities, overrepresenting their share of the fleet. Increased pedestrian alcohol and drug involvement warrant further investigation. The age of pedestrians killed increased more (18.1%) than the national average (3.2%). Conclusions: By identifying factors related to the increase in nighttime pedestrian fatalities, this work constitutes a vital first step in making our streets safer for pedestrians. Practical Applications: More research is needed to understand the efficacy of different solutions, but this paper provides guidance for such future research. Engineering solutions such as road diets or traffic calming may be used to improve identified infrastructure issues by reducing vehicle speeds and road widths. Rethinking vehicle design, especially high front profiles, may improve vehicle issues. However, the problems giving rise to these pedestrian fatalities are likely a result of not only engineering issues but also interrelated social and political factors. Solutions may be correspondingly comprehensive, employing non-linear, systems-based approaches such as Safe Systems.     

森林地表火蔓延模拟方法及其计算机实现

进行了森林火蔓延的研究,对传统的经验公式和模型进行改进,明显发现改进的模型有更好的结果,用计算机巧妙准确地实现了模拟模型,在风力不是特别大,地形变化不是特别剧烈时,该模型有较高精度;并结合火蔓延的主要因素（气象因子、气候、地形等）,进行系统分析,写出算地,编制实现地表火蔓延的预测预报计算机系统软件。这对于有效的组织扑救、减少火灾损失、计算森林火灾的损失评估有重要意义。     

潞安矿区煤层渗透率的各向异性特征实验研究

为了研究原位煤体渗透性的各向异性特征,以山西潞安常村矿3号煤层圆柱试样为对象,利用TCQT-Ⅲ型低渗煤层气相驱替增产试验装置,对煤样进行加载,并以氮气注入压力2.0 MPa的条件下,分析垂直层理和平行层理2个方向的煤体变形和渗透率变化特征。实验结果表明:煤样在加载过程中,平行和垂直层理煤样渗透率均随着有效应力的增大而减小,平行层理方向的渗透率始终大于垂直层理方向,应力加载初期渗透率急剧下降,最后逐渐趋于平缓;径向应变的增加量与渗透率呈正相关性,且平行层理相关性大于垂直层理;沿平行层理方向的裂隙度大于沿垂直层理方向,沿垂直层理方向的应变量大于沿平行层理方向;应变增加量均随有效应力的增加而逐渐减小。研究结果可为煤层井网布置及优化提供参考。     

Footedness and Mounting—Short Review and Two Case Studies

Footedness is a personal quality like handedness. Footedness may be associated with moving ability during mounting, dismounting, and jumping movements. Occupational accidents have occurred during movement at different working levels, during the use of access and exit systems, and during the mounting of vehicles. Aging can also affect accident risk and body laterality. For example, falling accidents on stairs are common among the elderly. One reason for accidents may be that the structure of the access system or stair system is unsuitable for individual moving patterns depending partly on body laterality. Footedness and the way the feet are used may be contradictory to the demands of the moving situation, especially during uncommon or rapid situations. This contradiction may trigger disturbance during moving. The aims of this pilot study were (a) to review the literature briefly and (b) to describe the use of the dominant and nondominant foot by farmers and the elderly when mounting a tractor and stairs, respectively. The study also gives ideas for future studies based on both (a) and (b).     

AHP与GA-SVM耦合模型在滑坡预警中的应用*

为了减少滑坡造成的损失,提高滑坡预测的准确性,通过搭建灾害模拟平台获得滑坡的实验数据,在获得多组模拟实验数据后,分析各变量的特性。首先,通过层次分析(Analytic Hierarchy Process,AHP)算法,对滑坡进行危险度划分;然后,通过支持向量机(Support Vector Machine,SVM)建立模型,遗传算法(Genetic Algorithm,GA)再优化SVM参数,提出1种层次分析法与GA-SVM相耦合的模型。研究结果表明:AHP方法划分后的数据,通过GA与SVM结合建立的模型精度较好,实验预测结果与实际结果较为吻合,与单一SVM相比,精度更高,结果更好,更加适用于多变量的复杂非线性滑坡预警。     

一起有机过氧化物爆炸事故的调查和分析

阐述一起重大爆炸伤亡事故的现场调查和原因分析，介绍如何通过人证物证材料，用鱼刺图法找出可能引起事故的诸原因，逐项加以分析，将与人证或物证材料相矛盾的原因子以排除，最后剩下无法排除亦即能与人证物证相符的那个原因，就是事故的真正原因。笔者是这起事故调查专家组组长，取证和数据可靠。     

Debunking the false dichotomy of leadership idealism and pragmatism: Critical evaluation and support of newer genre leadership theories

Leadership theories have shifted over the last few decades from a focus on managerial functions and economic leader–follower exchanges toward greater focus on the interpersonal dynamics occurring within the leadership process. Theories such as transformational, ethical, authentic, and other “newer genre” theories were created to address neglected topics such as leader vision and inspirational messages, transparency, emotional effects, morality, individualized attention, and intellectual stimulation. Critiques of these theories, however, have been raised. In this paper, we address five of those critiques and argue for the validity and practical effectiveness of the new genre theories. Further, we describe how newer genre leadership research should be viewed as a performative epistemology, entailing a process of co‐creation involving scholars and practitioners. Finally, from this view, we provide general ideas for leader development. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Occupational Safety and Health in Finland

In Finland, occupational safety is the responsibility of the employer, while the occupational safety and health laws are enforced by the Labour Inspection Service, an organization of the state. The Labour Inspection is divided in 11 administrative districts, and it employs 360 professionals. They are mandated to carry out site visits without prearranged appointments to inspect safe work situations, working hours, construction safety, or any aspect of accident risks. The inspectors are also mandated to verify the existence of sufficient occupational health services as prescribed by the Occupational Health Services Act for all employees. The occupational health services are typically provided by enterprise-owned medical departments, by mutually owned health care centers, by private practitioners, or by municipal health care centers. The latter are required by law to provide all services as prescribed by the legislation to anyone who comes to the facility. This situation is prevalent in the countryside, where there are very few private caregiving centers. Declaring occupational accidents and disease cases is mandatory, and the Inspection districts examine all accidents to establish causes and consequences, and to initiate prosecution in case of criminal negligence. Labour Inspection Districts are also notified of the new occupational disease cases as they are declared to insurance companies. Insurance for occupational disease, accidents, and death is an obligation of the employer, although they can choose the insurance company. The medical confidentiality between the workers and their occupational health care providers is very strict. Official statistics are maintained by the state Statistics Finland organization, and they may be used, for example, for research purposes by scientific institutes like the Finnish Institute of Occupational Health. Construction industry accounts for 25% of all fatal accidents (120 cases per 1 million working hours), followed by mechanical, wood, metal, machinery, and pulp and paper industry (10% each of fatal accidents) with rates ranging from 100–160 cases per 1 million working hours. There are some 5,000 occupational disease cases per year (rate 22/10,000 employed). The major disease categories include repetitive strain injuries (1,300 cases), respiratory allergies (600 cases), occupational skin diseases (1,000 cases), and 900 cases of noise-caused hearing loss. In 1998, 589 cases of asbestos-related diseases were reported.